China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

[POTUS 2020]

43 minutes ago, druv10 said:

So 100M dead for Guardians? It's looking at over 670M before POTC opens.

Maybe not. It should reach 670m and with an 80% WoW drop reach 682, with holiday help it might reach 689

Edited May 20, 2017 by POTUS

[druv10]

57 minutes ago, POTUS said:

Maybe not. It should reach 670m and with an 80% WoW drop reach 682, with holiday help it might reach 689

Thanks, I was thinking the same. Legs have been good, just OW that was underwhelming and than Dangal stole the limelight.

[upriser7]

On 5/13/2017 at 4:52 PM, jb007 said:

Baahubali 1 & 2 movie box office grosses are exaggerated.  They will make sure BB2 will remain no.1.

 

My partner (in my second movie) bought distribution rights to Baahubali 1 for Karnataka State. While the trades and paid media were reporting bogus grosses of Rs. 79 crores in Karnataka, the actual was Rs. 43 Crores.

 

So, the only Bahubali 2 grosses that are trustworthy are the ones tracked by Rentrak locations like USA, Australia, UK etc.

 

 

If the part1 didn't gross 79C in Karnataka, part2 rights wouldn't have been bought for price of 35C, that too amidst protests against movie in karnataka last month. Part1 grossed around 79C, its Nett was around 68C and its distributor share was around 38-39C. Like you said, if part1 grossed around 40C, its distributor share would have been around 20C. In that scenario, no idiot would have bought part2 for 35C price.

Boxoffice tracking in India isn't perfect but as far as Telugu movies boxoffice reporting is concerned, ABO's numbers(Andhraboxoffice.com) are mostly reliable.(mostly +/- 5%). ABO gives detailed area wise breakdown atleast when it  comes to AP and Telengana. Some producers might give exaggerated numbers for publicity purposes but not everyone does that.

[jiangsen]

5 hours ago, upriser7 said:

If the part1 didn't gross 79C in Karnataka, part2 rights wouldn't have been bought for price of 35C, that too amidst protests against movie in karnataka last month. Part1 grossed around 79C, its Nett was around 68C and its distributor share was around 38-39C. Like you said, if part1 grossed around 40C, its distributor share would have been around 20C. In that scenario, no idiot would have bought part2 for 35C price.

Boxoffice tracking in India isn't perfect but as far as Telugu movies boxoffice reporting is concerned, ABO's numbers(Andhraboxoffice.com) are mostly reliable.(mostly +/- 5%). ABO gives detailed area wise breakdown atleast when it  comes to AP and Telengana. Some producers might give exaggerated numbers for publicity purposes but not everyone does that.

Dude...take it elsewhere!

[Gavin Feng]

$98m for GOTG2 I think.

 

$140m or more for Dangal.

[keysersoze123]

9 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said:

$98m for GOTG2 I think.

 

$140m or more for Dangal.

 

when would we know if Dangal is getting an extension?

[harleyquinnXD]

2 hours ago, Gavin Feng said:

$98m for GOTG2 I think.

 

$140m or more for Dangal.

dangal bu guo 10

qingzhenshi zhuti

[Gavin Feng]

SUN estimates
 
before service charges
Dangal  -  77.8m / 721m
Life  -  22.7m / 84m
Guardians of the Galaxy 2  -  17.8m / 614.7m
Guardians  -  3.33m / 15.1m
A Monster Calls  -  2.8m / 10m
Fate of the Furious  -  2.17m / 2,534m
 
after service charges
Dangal  -  84m / 782m
Life  -  24.4m / 90.8m
Guardians of the Galaxy 2  -  19m / 653.5m
Guardians  -  3.45m / 15.7m
A Monster Calls  -  3m / 10.8m
Fate of the Furious  -  2.35m / 2,687m

[Fake]

At this rate, Dangal will get to 1B even without extension.

[fmpro]

GOTG2 will come awfully close to 100 mill $

[POTUS 2020]

7 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

 

when would we know if Dangal is getting an extension?

 

1 hour ago, Fake said:

At this rate, Dangal will get to 1B even without extension.

 

32 minutes ago, fmpro said:

GOTG2 will come awfully close to 100 mill $

Needs to make 2m on Friday, will make 7x that for the 5 day,  to get to $100m. 

 

Dangal will reach 1b/ $145m by next monday with a lot of legs left. 

[movieboner]

I'm wondering how much the CBO will grow compared to last year. There are so many box office hits already. Pirates 5 and Transfomers 5 will be releasing soon and it'll be raining money.

[Barnack]

1 hour ago, movieboner said:

I'm wondering how much the CBO will grow compared to last year. There are so many box office hits already. Pirates 5 and Transfomers 5 will be releasing soon and it'll be raining money.

 

Probably not by much (once you remove the inflated online fee and the exchange rate drop):

 

http://variety.com/2017/film/asia/hollywood-lifts-china-four-month-box-office-1202404454/

 

Seem to have a 3% grow in USD from 2016.

Edited May 21, 2017 by Barnack

[jiangsen]

2 hours ago, movieboner said:

I'm wondering how much the CBO will grow compared to last year. There are so many box office hits already. Pirates 5 and Transfomers 5 will be releasing soon and it'll be raining money.

Market will need robust BO performance from mid-sized domestic films to see big growth. Domestic box office has been dismal this year and the one or two breakouts per month won't make up for that. 

[keysersoze123]

5 hours ago, POTUS said:

 

 

Needs to make 2m on Friday, will make 7x that for the 5 day,  to get to $100m. 

 

Dangal will reach 1b/ $145m by next monday with a lot of legs left. 

 

If it hits 1B by monday, 1.2B will happen with extension. Wonder Woman PS has not even started and its opening in 10 days. I am thinking that will underperform in China. So Dangal survives Pirates, it could continue on for sure.

[POTUS 2020]

9 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

 

If it hits 1B by monday, 1.2B will happen with extension. Wonder Woman PS has not even started and its opening in 10 days. I am thinking that will underperform in China. So Dangal survives Pirates, it could continue on for sure.

I think P5 will take 55-60% of shows and no other releases. Both Dangals and GV5s market share overperformed their show share while all other underperformed by 50% or more. Both should keep half their current shows or just 20-30% loss from last Fri.  If Dangal drops just 30% WoW on Fri 1.2b will be locked.

Worst case 50% WoW drop on Friday and following Kong 5 day weekend pattern:

        -50%     -33%

F      21m      28m

S      32         42

S      53         70

M     55         73

T      39         51

Tot  1.05B   1.11B

Edited May 22, 2017 by POTUS

[marveldcfox]

Btw Dangal was co-produced by Walt Disney Pictures!!!! Aamir just trolled them by releasing against GOTG2 in China.

[keysersoze123]

2 hours ago, marveldcfox said:

Btw Dangal was co-produced by Walt Disney Pictures!!!! Aamir just trolled them by releasing against GOTG2 in China.

 

I dont think It was planned. China the release date is set by SARFT.

[Gavin Feng]

2 hours ago, marveldcfox said:

Btw Dangal was co-produced by Walt Disney Pictures!!!! Aamir just trolled them by releasing against GOTG2 in China.

No matter how much Dangal makes, Disney will get 0% from its China BO

[jiangsen]

3 hours ago, marveldcfox said:

Btw Dangal was co-produced by Walt Disney Pictures!!!! Aamir just trolled them by releasing against GOTG2 in China.

Yes, a master stroke by the world's smartest man and greatest living actor. A god among mere mortals Aamir Khan is...