China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

[fmpro]

6 hours ago, firedeep said:

Interestingly POTC4 was also the 3rd biggest HLW release of 2011. But it's still early to call that. KONG at 1160m. Sunday should decide if Pirates5 catches up. And we dont know if Valerain/Geostorm/a sleeper hit breaks out in a big way.

 

5 hours ago, firedeep said:

Dangal will add another 100m+ through Tuesday. It needs 1080m to match Zootopia for the leggist (69x OD) wide release ever at CBO (releases with 1m+ OD). It should get there. So unprecedent.

 

5 hours ago, firedeep said:

$160m~  

 

Welcome back fd. Long time no see 

[TigerPaw]

8 hours ago, Polaroids said:

From someone whose opinion I trust: https://asianfilmstrike.wordpress.com/2017/05/22/god-of-war-2017-review/

 

Here's another review: http://bloodbrothersfilmreviews.blogspot.com/2017/05/god-of-war-2017.html?m=1

 

It has the highest Maoyan & Mtime rating among newcomers and second highest Douban score. 

Douban is at 6.2

2nd highest... but the absolute score is 6.2 is pathetic. Highest production budget out of the new films, but quality is barely better.

 

You should read what people are saying on weibo and tieba.  This review you posted is too optimstic.. comparing this to John Woo's Red Cliff? Lol.

 

Honestly you will cringe watching this show.

I am not saying he is lying. Maybe english reviewers don't get the small nuances in the film.Language used in the film, historical context etc.

 

Many reviewers also said the film felt like 2 episodes of TV shows squeezed into 1 movie, scenes were not epic enough to be felt like a movie.

 

The fact that Bona Film Group started fudging since opening Midnights and did a 6.9yuan presales (with the ticket stubbed printed at 50yuan) and gave away free tickets with ticket price printed on them... shows they have almost 0 confidence in their movie. They probably watched it, knew it was bad(or average at best) and just wanted to get the film out and not lose too much.

 

Now even with Fudging, 100m yuan is tough.

Edited May 28, 2017 by TigerPaw

[keysersoze123]

Welcome back @firedeep. You were definitely missed. 160m is 1.1B. It needs to hit 1.2B+ to beat Kong/RE5/XXX. I dont think outside TF5 any other movie will make that much(I am not looking at domestic). 

 

But what are your predictions for Spiderman, Apes and Dunkirk?

 

[Fake]

Dangal looking to do 40M+ today!

 

It should cross 1B by Tuesday.

[fmpro]

POTC looks to cross Sat take around 7 pm today.. Looks like a good increase today

[The Dark Rock]

Dangal seems to be doing really good today..already close to 30M with lot of steam left for the day

[fmpro]

20 hours ago, POTUS said:

120s today.  Not bad considering show loss and competition.

PS is going to be identical tomorrow but the multi should be bigger. 150-160m +20-30% . I was looking for 40%+. The weekend keeps getting smaller. 420-430m/$62m 3 day.  680m/ $98.5m 5 day.

Edit PS higher than I thought. 160-180m. $65m+ 3 day $100m+ 5day

 

Dangal bumping to the upper teens and will get to upper 20s tomorrow.

Edit: mid 30s happening

Edit 40s happening. 

 

 

 

Looks like its shooting at your edited highend today.

Its at 110 mill by 4pm and doing 10 mill+/hour...

[keysersoze123]

180m Pirates and high 40's Dangal. Amazing day for sure.

[fmpro]

1 minute ago, keysersoze123 said:

180m Pirates and high 40's Dangal. Amazing day for sure.

 

Yep.. Pirates will go well over 100 mill $ for the first 5 days.. Best guess for total is 160-170 mill $ IMO

[keysersoze123]

4 minutes ago, fmpro said:

 

Yep.. Pirates will go well over 100 mill $ for the first 5 days.. Best guess for total is 160-170 mill $ IMO

 

Probably will need really strong legs to hit 1.2B otherwise will fight with movies of similar gross( xxx, RE5, kong and Dangal).

[fmpro]

1 minute ago, keysersoze123 said:

 

Probably will need really strong legs to hit 1.2B otherwise will fight with movies of similar gross( xxx, RE5, kong and Dangal).

 

Agree. 1,2B is 175 mill and it will have a tough time hitting that atm. But lets see what happens in the coming days.. Stranger things has happend

[A Marvel Fanboy]

16 hours ago, POTUS said:

Welcome back

 

11 hours ago, fmpro said:

 

 

 

Welcome back fd. Long time no see 

 

9 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Welcome back @firedeep. You were definitely missed. 160m is 1.1B. It needs to hit 1.2B+ to beat Kong/RE5/XXX. I dont think outside TF5 any other movie will make that much(I am not looking at domestic). 

 

But what are your predictions for Spiderman, Apes and Dunkirk?

 

Thank you guys. missed you all too.

 

@keyseroze123 Well there is hope for a dark horse as we are half year through. SMH I think should perform better than GOTG2 but fall short of 1B; Apes3 will not grow much from Apes2, if at all; Dunkirk probably around $100m.

[A Marvel Fanboy]

Pirates5 could go like this: 280m + 190m(today) + 170m + 120m + 60m + 140m, 960m by next Thu/Jun 1st. GOTG2 did another 230m starting from 2nd Friday so Pirates5 could sail to exactly 1.2B.

 

Dangal will have much better holds and jumps through Children's Day, so: 900m + 45m(today) + 50m + 40m + 20m + 60m, 1115m by next Thu/Jun 1st, upsetting ZOO legs on CD. 1.2B finish likely now with run extended to July 4th.

 

Just rough projections.

Edited May 28, 2017 by firedeep

[fmpro]

2 minutes ago, firedeep said:

Pirates5 could go like this: 280m + 190m(today) + 170m + 20m + 60m + 140m, 960m by next Thu/Jun 1st. GOTG2 did another 230m starting from 2nd Friday so Pirates5 could sail to exactly 1.2B.

 

Dangal will have much better holds and jumps through Children's Day, so: 900m + 45m(today) + 50m + 40m + 20m + 60m, 1115m by next Thu/Jun 1st, upsetting ZOO legs on CD. 1.2B finish likely now with run extended to July 4th.

 

Just rough projections.

 

No no. We're going to hold you to those numbers if they don't hold up 

 

 

 

 

[A Marvel Fanboy]

12 minutes ago, fmpro said:

 

No no. We're going to hold you to those numbers if they don't hold up 

 

 

 

 

not responsible 

[A Marvel Fanboy]

For the record, by CD, Dangal will 27 straight days over 10m. It will surely even the record of an imported film: TF4 30 days. 

 

Gee, it's a Friday following CD, so Dangle will certainly pass 1.2B. Pirates probably too. there is a run between the two.

Edited May 28, 2017 by firedeep

[keysersoze123]

It would be disappointing if no movie but Fate and TF5 does 200m in China.

[fmpro]

1 hour ago, firedeep said:

For the record, by CD, Dangal will 27 straight days over 10m. It will surely even the record of an imported film: TF4 30 days. 

 

Gee, it's a Friday following CD, so Dangle will certainly pass 1.2B. Pirates probably too. there is a run between the two.

 

Great to have you back 

[fmpro]

Looks like around 180 mill for Pirates +/-

[Gavin Feng]

 

 

SUN estimates

 

before service charges

Pirates 5  -  173.8m / 437.2m

Dangal  -  41.1m / 864.5m

God of War  -  11.9m / 26.8m

Didi's Dream  -  5.61m / 13.6m

Edge of Innocence  -  1.98m / 5.13m

Life  -  1.96m / 117.5m 

 

 

after service charges

Pirates 5  -  186m / 467.2m

Dangal  -  45m / 943.6m

God of War  -  12.6m / 28.3m

Didi's Dream  -  6.05m / 14.6m

Edge of Innocence  -  2.17m / 5.51m

Life  -  2.05m / 127.5m