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China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

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Solo Saturday

 

Solo’s Saturday PS is at 5.45 which is an increase of about 6.4% over final Friday PS. Its screen count is also down about 8.5k from 77k to 68.5k

 

TLJ for comparision jumped 17.46% from Friday to Saturday. It had lost about 16k screens and went from 91k screens on Friday to 75k screens on Saturday. 

 

Solo’s rating is also down to 8. Tomorrow may increase more than TLJ but I dont think the increase will be too much. Looking at around 9m OW right now

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1 hour ago, ZeeSoh said:

Solo Saturday

 

Solo’s Saturday PS is at 5.45 which is an increase of about 6.4% over final Friday PS. Its screen count is also down about 8.5k from 77k to 68.5k

 

TLJ for comparision jumped 17.46% from Friday to Saturday. It had lost about 16k screens and went from 91k screens on Friday to 75k screens on Saturday. 

 

Solo’s rating is also down to 8. Tomorrow may increase more than TLJ but I dont think the increase will be too much. Looking at around 9m OW right now

Could do $10m if it holds well

 

Thu: 1

Fri: 20

Sat: 26

Sun: 18

 

Total:65

 

IW should do 23/45/32 = 100 on the low end and 23/48/34 = 105 on the high end. So around $16m.

Edited by Fake
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6 minutes ago, nevermore said:

So is 7.9 Maoyan score good or nah? Not entirely sure how the Chinese ratings work.

Its not great. 

 

Solo’s final Saturday PS of 5.63 is about 10.5% higher than Friday’s final PS

Edited by ZeeSoh
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1 hour ago, Mojoguy said:

Since Ranger Solo has so many screens, does this mean they are mostly empty?

What do theater owners do in situations like this when a movie does so badly?

they take a few percent of shows away day by day and shift them to higher PTA movies

it had 27% of shows today and will have 23.5% on Saturday, probably 20% on Sunday.  By thursday it could be down to 15% and then get wacked on Friday down to 3%

TLJ            Dangal

F   34%      13%

S   27         14

S   24         15

M  23         18

T   21         20

W  20         22

T   19         21

F   2.5        15 loses shows to new releases

S   2.4        22 gets shows back as new releases fade and dangal stays strong

S   2.4        27 more shows than ever before

M  1.5 :(   29 :D

That sums up the popper and dropper

Edited by POTUS
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Its 2:30 pm and IW is upto 22.18m. which is only slightly lower than its total yesterday. Still going for a doubling

 

Solo is at 11.05m doing about 1.8m/hr right now. Yesterday its mid point was around 4-4:30 something I think. If it follows that then it could get to 28 today for about 40% rise which would be much better than the 17-18% rise of TLJ and would assure a $10m usd OW. 

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4 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said:

Its 2:30 pm and IW is upto 22.18m. which is only slightly lower than its total yesterday. Still going for a doubling

 

Solo is at 11.05m doing about 1.8m/hr right now. Yesterday its mid point was around 4-4:30 something I think. If it follows that then it could get to 28 today for about 40% rise which would be much better than the 17-18% rise of TLJ and would assure a $10m usd OW. 

Mid point for Saturday is always 30-45 minutes earlier compared to Friday. I see it doing 25-26m.

 

IW is looking to do 47-48m.

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18 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said:

Thinking that JW2 CHN OW > US OW.

do you think JW2 could even approach AIW OW in China? 

 

Presales have started well, and it's much more GA friendly than AIW, which should help in the small towns that Olive said AIW struggled with.

 

Given JW2 is currently looking at ~$140m OW in U.S. it doesn't seem to much of a stretch to get to $200m in China

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On 5/23/2018 at 5:32 PM, Proxima Olive said:

MH2 2237m

Its gonna be close..

 

On 5/23/2018 at 5:47 PM, nguyenkhoi282 said:

This movie never lets us rest for a sec. 665M domestic is gonna be real close, same for 985M OS-China. And now China real close to 350M. Things have been like this since domestic OW lol

 

On 5/22/2018 at 9:56 PM, 1Robert1 said:

 

In my opinion 335 mln is optimistic target for this sunday, and another 15 mln after that day is even more optimistic target.

The Saturday bump pulled through at 50m +117% and $335m on Sunday will happen.  It'll lose shows next Friday to 3 toons (Childrens Day), but bump well on Saturday again. The following weeknd is light.  $350m locked, $355m likely as the chart suggests and with better holds possible it will get into the high 350s. It'll beat MH2 by Y18m+

 

FF8           IW         CA3        
Day Yn DoD WoW Tot $Tot Yn DoD WoW Tot $Tot Yn DoD WoW Tot $Tot
Fri 417     480 70 387     446 70 181     198 30
Sat 488 17.0%   968 141 493 27.5%   939 148 249 37.6%   447 69
Sun 385 -21.1%   1353 197 332 -32.8%   1271 201 180 -27.7%   627 96
Mon 163 -57.7%   1516 220 109 -67.1%   1380 218 60 -66.7%   687 106
Tues 121 -25.8%   1637 238 81 -25.7%   1461 231 49 -18.3%   736 113
Wed 94 -22.3%   1731 252 65 -20.0%   1525 241 40 -18.4%   776 119
Thur 77 -18.1%   1808 263 53 -19.0%   1578 249 33 -17.5%   809 124
                               
Fri 103 33.8% -75.3% 1911 278 72 36.4% -81.5% 1649 260 49 48.5% -72.9% 858 132
Sat 160 55.3% -67.2% 2071 301 142 98.2% -71.2% 1791 282 92 87.8% -63.1% 950 146
Sun 117 -26.9% -69.6% 2188 318 132 -7.0% VD day 1923 303 67 -27.2% -62.8% 1017 156
Mon 42 -64.1% -74.2% 2230 324 31.5 -76.1% -71.1% 1955 308 20.0 -70.1% -66.7% 1037 160
Tue 37 -11.9% -69.4% 2267 330 25.1 -20.3% -69.0% 1980 312 18.0 -10.0% -63.3% 1055 162
Wed 33 -10.8% -64.9% 2300 334 21.1 -15.9% -67.4% 2001 315 15.4 -14.4% -61.5% 1070 165
Thu 29 -12.1% -62.3% 2329 339 18.5 -12.3% -64.8% 2020 318 13.8 -10.4% -58.2% 1084 167
                               
Fri 30 3.4% -70.9% 2359 343 23.0 24.3% -67.9% 2043 322 24.0 73.9% VD Day 1108 170
Sat 60 100.0% -62.5% 2419 352 50.0 117.4% -64.8% 2093 330 31.0 29.2% -66.3% 1139 175
Sun 75 25.0% -35.9% 2494 363 37.0 -26.0% -72.0% 2130 335 23.6 -23.9% -64.8% 1163 179
Mon 58 -22.7% 38.1% 2552 371 12.0 -67.6% -61.9% 2142 337 7.5 -68.2% -62.5% 1170 180
Tue 18 -69.0% -51.4% 2570 374 10.4 -13.3% -58.6% 2152 339 6.9 -8.0% -61.7% 1177 181
Wed 14 -22.2% -57.6% 2584 376 9.0 -13.5% -57.3% 2161 340 6.3 -8.3% -58.9% 1184 182
Thu 13 -7.1% -55.2% 2597 377 8.0 -11.1% -56.8% 2169 342 6.1 -3.6% -55.8% 1190 183
.                              
Fri 8 -38.5% -73.3% 2605 379 9.0 12.5% -60.9% 2178 343 6 -1.6% -75.0% 1196 184
Sat 13.4 67.5% -77.7% 2618 381 18.0 100.0% -64.0% 2196 346 13 115.0% -58.4% 1209 186
Sun 11.4 -14.9% -84.8% 2630 382 13.0 -27.8% -64.9% 2209 348 11 -18.6% -55.5% 1219 188
        2670 388       2255 355       1244 191

 

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Saturday Est
How Long Will I Love U
64.8M/466.9M, +82% fantastic!
AIW 51M/2096.4m, +122%  Awesome!
Ranger Solo 25M/45.8M, +25% lame
A Quite Place 11.8M/170M  +96% Good
Perfetti sconosciuti 6.9M/12.13M +32%

Rampage 0.9M/988.6M +233%

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5 minutes ago, Daxtreme said:

anyone knows the likely total for AIW now?

 

Is it still around $350M?

 

2 hours ago, POTUS said:

 

 

The Saturday bump pulled through at 50m +117% and $335m on Sunday will happen.  It'll lose shows next Friday to 3 toons (Childrens Day), but bump well on Saturday again. The following weeknd is light.  $350m locked, $355m likely as the chart suggests and with better holds possible it will get into the high 350s. It'll beat MH2 by Y18m+

 

FF8           IW         CA3        
Day Yn DoD WoW Tot $Tot Yn DoD WoW Tot $Tot Yn DoD WoW Tot $Tot
Fri 417     480 70 387     446 70 181     198 30
Sat 488 17.0%   968 141 493 27.5%   939 148 249 37.6%   447 69
Sun 385 -21.1%   1353 197 332 -32.8%   1271 201 180 -27.7%   627 96
Mon 163 -57.7%   1516 220 109 -67.1%   1380 218 60 -66.7%   687 106
Tues 121 -25.8%   1637 238 81 -25.7%   1461 231 49 -18.3%   736 113
Wed 94 -22.3%   1731 252 65 -20.0%   1525 241 40 -18.4%   776 119
Thur 77 -18.1%   1808 263 53 -19.0%   1578 249 33 -17.5%   809 124
                               
Fri 103 33.8% -75.3% 1911 278 72 36.4% -81.5% 1649 260 49 48.5% -72.9% 858 132
Sat 160 55.3% -67.2% 2071 301 142 98.2% -71.2% 1791 282 92 87.8% -63.1% 950 146
Sun 117 -26.9% -69.6% 2188 318 132 -7.0% VD day 1923 303 67 -27.2% -62.8% 1017 156
Mon 42 -64.1% -74.2% 2230 324 31.5 -76.1% -71.1% 1955 308 20.0 -70.1% -66.7% 1037 160
Tue 37 -11.9% -69.4% 2267 330 25.1 -20.3% -69.0% 1980 312 18.0 -10.0% -63.3% 1055 162
Wed 33 -10.8% -64.9% 2300 334 21.1 -15.9% -67.4% 2001 315 15.4 -14.4% -61.5% 1070 165
Thu 29 -12.1% -62.3% 2329 339 18.5 -12.3% -64.8% 2020 318 13.8 -10.4% -58.2% 1084 167
                               
Fri 30 3.4% -70.9% 2359 343 23.0 24.3% -67.9% 2043 322 24.0 73.9% VD Day 1108 170
Sat 60 100.0% -62.5% 2419 352 50.0 117.4% -64.8% 2093 330 31.0 29.2% -66.3% 1139 175
Sun 75 25.0% -35.9% 2494 363 37.0 -26.0% -72.0% 2130 335 23.6 -23.9% -64.8% 1163 179
Mon 58 -22.7% 38.1% 2552 371 12.0 -67.6% -61.9% 2142 337 7.5 -68.2% -62.5% 1170 180
Tue 18 -69.0% -51.4% 2570 374 10.4 -13.3% -58.6% 2152 339 6.9 -8.0% -61.7% 1177 181
Wed 14 -22.2% -57.6% 2584 376 9.0 -13.5% -57.3% 2161 340 6.3 -8.3% -58.9% 1184 182
Thu 13 -7.1% -55.2% 2597 377 8.0 -11.1% -56.8% 2169 342 6.1 -3.6% -55.8% 1190 183
.                              
Fri 8 -38.5% -73.3% 2605 379 9.0 12.5% -60.9% 2178 343 6 -1.6% -75.0% 1196 184
Sat 13.4 67.5% -77.7% 2618 381 18.0 100.0% -64.0% 2196 346 13 115.0% -58.4% 1209 186
Sun 11.4 -14.9% -84.8% 2630 382 13.0 -27.8% -64.9% 2209 348 11 -18.6% -55.5% 1219 188
        2670 388       2255 355       1244 191

 

:) 

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