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China Box Office: General Discussion Thread

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Posted (edited)

Tuesday Est - July 10th
Dying to Survive:
176m/1717M -15%
Animal World 11M/451M -5%
Jurassic World FK : 6.74M/1647M, -5%
New Happy Dad: 6.12M/83.56M, -12% 
Incredibles 2 : 3.25m/325.9m -3%
DOS hold is not great for a movie with 9.7 Maoyan rating, might only make 3B in the end.

Edited by Olive
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14 hours ago, Olive said:


DTS hold is not great for a movie with 9.7 Maoyan rating, might only make 3B in the end.

The previews pumped up the weekend.  PS were small before the first preview. It probably tripled the weekend. 

We would see dailies increasing now if OD was 50m , but demand was soaked up with the record breaking weekend hence the drop even with the 9.7.

Maoyan reduced projection to 3.5B, you're right, it will probably finish in the low 3's, close to $500m

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5 hours ago, POTUS said:

The previews pumped up the weekend.  PS were small before the first preview. It probably tripled the weekend. 

We would see dailies increasing now if OD was 50m , but demand was soaked up with the record breaking weekend hence the drop even with the 9.7.

Maoyan reduced projection to 3.5B, you're right, it will probably finish in the low 3's, close to $500m

Movie is very depressing, not many people want to rewatch it.

WW2 had lots of rewatch.

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Wednesday Est - July 11th
Dying to Survive:
147m/1865M -16%
Animal World 10.85M/462M -2%
Jurassic World FK : 6.44M/1653M, -5%
New Happy Dad: 5.35M/89M, -12% 
Incredibles 2 : 3.02m/329m -7%

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Incredibles 2 has been extended to August 20th

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4 hours ago, Olive said:

Incredibles 2 has been extended to August 20th

Why? Its numbers don't show any special welcoming among Chinese audience. 

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14 minutes ago, meriodejaneiro said:

Why? Its numbers don't show any special welcoming among Chinese audience. 

Animated movies are super leggy in summer, could make another 10M yuan with extension.

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MAMA MIA! 2 will be a revenue-sharing movie.

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Thursday Est - July 12th
Dying to Survive:
131m/1996M -11%
Animal World 11.1M/473M +2%
Jurassic World FK : 6.68M/1660M, +3%
New Happy Dad: 5.18M/94.14M, -3% 
Incredibles 2 : 3.18m/332m +5%

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1660 cume for jw2, should be very close to 1680 by sunday

5.1 (-24%)

7.8 (+53%)

7.1 (-9%)

= 20

If it misses 1700 it will do so by a hair.

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5 hours ago, Olive said:

Animated movies are super leggy in summer, could make another 10M yuan with extension.

10M yuan is it worth the effort? I mean, that's some $1.8M ...  if only they were $10M ...

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5 hours ago, meriodejaneiro said:

10M yuan is it worth the effort? I mean, that's some $1.8M ...  if only they were $10M ...

That's more than a third of Brave's total gross..

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making an extension is costless so why not

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Friday Est - July 13th
Dying to Survive:
119m/2116M -9%

Hidden Man: OD 118M

Asura OD 25.5M/27.1M
Animal World 1.32M/474M -88%
Jurassic World FK : 1.04M/1661M, -85%
Incredibles 2 : 0.88m/333m -72%

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Wow, DtS actually won the day, looks like neither Hidden Man nor Asura will be exceptional performers.

But is 119M actually a good number for DtS?

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Just now, NCsoft said:

Wow, DtS actually won the day, looks like neither Hidden Man nor Asura will be exceptional performers.

But is 119M actually a good number for DtS?

not bad

 

it already overperformed

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Posted (edited)

Jiang Wen's new film flopping again... will struggle for $100m total

 

Asura bombing laughablely, $110m budget

Edited by firedeep

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1 hour ago, Olive said:

Friday Est - July 13th
Dying to Survive:
119m/2116M -9%

Hidden Man: OD 118M

Asura OD 25.5M/27.1M
Animal World 1.32M/474M -88%
Jurassic World FK : 1.04M/1661M, -85%
Incredibles 2 : 0.88m/333m -72%

It looks like Maoyen and piaofang168 are saying Hidden Man came out slightly ahead. 

 

 

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On 3/23/2018 at 1:48 AM, Gabriel Sales said:

Does anyone believe that the US-initiated trade war with China could reflect a tighter embargo on american films?

 

I believe that in this war (chinese box office) US and Hollywood have a lot to lose!

https://variety.com/2018/politics/news/hollywood-china-trump-tariff-1202870934/

 

It seems that my fear is about to become real. My opinion remains the same, Hollywood has a lot to lose, much more than China. Trump, the lunatic, is buying a fight with the whole world, harming his own people and country.

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11 hours ago, EmperorForever said:

It looks like Maoyen and piaofang168 are saying Hidden Man came out slightly ahead. 

 

 

Both are under-estimated, but DTS still wins.

Revised numbers, DTS 123.2M; HM 120.4M

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