China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

[Manny G]

5 minutes ago, efialtes76 said:

140.85m at 9pm.

Presales at 36.32m.

Are those presales for Saturday?

[fmpro]

4 minutes ago, Manny G said:

Are those presales for Saturday?

Yes. 36,77 now

[MrGlass2]

9 minutes ago, TheDarkKnightOfSteel said:

2 hours more right?160M possible?Someone said it’s increasing by 16m/hour...

It is going to slow down soon.

[Michael Seng Wah]

8 minutes ago, TheDarkKnightOfSteel said:

2 hours more right?160M possible?Someone said it’s increasing by 16m/hour...

Hope so but it starts to slow down since heading midnight. I’m looking at 155 but definitely 160 is still possible.

[fmpro]

9 minutes ago, TheDarkKnightOfSteel said:

2 hours more right?160M possible?Someone said it’s increasing by 16m/hour...

Nahh. It always slowes down at this point. I would be surprised if it happens.

But 155 is still crazy good

[POTUS 2020]

5 minutes ago, TheDarkKnightOfSteel said:

2 hours more right?160M possible?Someone said it’s increasing by 16m/hour...

9-10pm usually drops off by 33%-50%. If it holds flat from 8-9pm, its a huge sign that walkups are strong

10-11pm is usually less than 20% of the 8-9pm total

 

looking at 152-154m

525m/$76m OW locked

565m/$82m OW looking good

Higher is always possible

[a2k]

WIth $85 ow needs "only" 2.35x+ for $200+ total in China

Dom + China itself could be $500-550 combined.

$800-900 ww is likelier than $700-800 ww imo.

Edited December 7, 2018 by a2k

[Ash Skywalker]

12 minutes ago, TheDarkKnightOfSteel said:

2 hours more right?160M possible?Someone said it’s increasing by 16m/hour...

It was increasing at 12m/hour from 3-5pm, 15m/hour at 5-6pm, then peaked at 16m/Hour at 7-8. Now at 8-9pm, it increased 11m. 143m now.
I don't think 160 is possible, but let's just see.

[fmpro]

Avengers trailer is out. Wooooohooooooooo

[Ash Skywalker]

55 minutes ago, lorddemaxus said:

Chance it beats Civil War for opening weekend? Saturdays and Sundays are having good increases also.

SAT numbers should tell us if there is a chance or not. For 93M to happen it needs 75% increase from fri and 20% drop from sat. 

[efialtes76]

147.64m at 10pm.

 

[POTUS 2020]

On 12/5/2018 at 2:32 PM, POTUS said:

 

$65-70m OW is looking good unless the block of tickets bought screws up the PSm $60m could happen

 

Top end could be 40mPS x 4 for 160m OD.  A 50% bump is possible with great WoM on sat and a 25% drop sunday

590m/$85m OW.  9.2 rating needed for this

Its going for the top end

PS was 35m but the PSm will be 4.3 for OD

The typical sat bump is 30% for first chapter, 20% lately for sequels.  DS AM1 and FB1 were well received and managed 50%+ bumps with sub 100m OD

Sat PS heading to 47m at 1am. 5.2-5.3x PS should happen after 4.3x for OD.  Vm was 3.7x OD,  4.6x on Sat

245m Sat up 63% is likely based on the typical Sat PSm increase( unless that block screws it up, didnt screw up today though)

 

MN    9

Fr    151

Sa   245

Su   185

Tot  590/$85m OW  why not 600m+ with a better sunday hold

Week 830m/$120m

If  Sun Mon Tue can hold better than -25,-60,-10%  we get a -50% hold for next week $60m,  $180m Total

$200m total locked

$225-250m will depend on how it plays out against local competition with holiday approaching.  Coco fared well last year

 

We will need to see next Friday's number to see if it can beat Vm, unless it bumps 75% tomorrow and holds -15% on Sunday and -55% on Monday. Doubtful, but if so, I'll make that call.

Edited December 7, 2018 by POTUS

[A Marvel Fanboy]

4 hours ago, a2k said:

Venom vs AQM WW

 

Assuming Venom does $860 ww, it's looking at $213 Dom + $270 China + $377 OS-China

 

AQM's Dom+China could be similar to Venom's but swapping the markets : $270 odd Dom + $210 odd China

Then $380 OS-China to match Venom's WW doesn't seem unrealistic.

 

Am expecting at least $330 OS-China which takes it to $810 WW using $270 Dom and $210 China

 

AQM will blow Venom away, worldwide

[A Marvel Fanboy]

AQM is epic. It deserves 2B.

[POTUS 2020]

1 hour ago, fmpro said:

Avengers trailer is out. Wooooohooooooooo

What will RDJ do now.  Some Indie films I hope

[A Marvel Fanboy]

35 minutes ago, POTUS said:

Its going for the top end

PS was 35m but the PSm will be 4.3 for OD

The typical sat bump is 30% for first chapter, 20% lately for sequels.  DS AM1 and FB1 were well received and managed 50%+ bumps with sub 100m OD

Sat PS heading to 47m at 1am. 5.2-5.3x PS should happen after 4.3x for OD.  Vm was 3.7x OD,  4.6x on Sat

245m Sat up 63% is likely based on the typical Sat PSm increase( unless that block screws it up, didnt screw up today though)

 

MN    9

Fr    151

Sa   245

Su   185

Tot  590/$85m OW  why not 600m+ with a better sunday hold

Week 830m/$120m

If  Sun Mon Tue can hold better than -25,-60,-10%  we get a -50% hold for next week $60m,  $180m Total

$200m total locked

$225-250m will depend on how it plays out against local competition with holiday approaching.  Coco fared well last year

 

We will need to see next Friday's number to see if it can beat Vm, unless it bumps 75% tomorrow and holds -15% on Sunday and -55% on Monday. Doubtful, but if so, I'll make that call.

250m Sat, then literally a flat Sun; if 280m Sat, a -20% Sunday imo.

[efialtes76]

13 minutes ago, POTUS said:

What will RDJ do now.  Some Indie films I hope

SH3.

[NamakFiskKa]

14 minutes ago, POTUS said:

What will RDJ do now.  Some Indie films I hope

Some talking animal franchise and Sherlock Holmes sequel

[Michael Seng Wah]

Maoyan revised final gross prediction to 1.41b ~200m USD.

[fabiopazzo2]

 

bye bye Venom 😎