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China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

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Presales of next day use to increase fast at the end of the day? I ask this because presales for tomorrow are "just" 22.7m right now, which, if I remember well, is well behind the yesterday's number. Maybe tomorrow it will finally drop normally...

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1 minute ago, peludo said:

Presales of next day use to increase fast at the end of the day? I ask this because presales for tomorrow are "just" 22.7m right now, which, if I remember well, is well behind the yesterday's number. Maybe tomorrow it will finally drop normally...

It was around same level yesterday. By the time midnight, the number was ¥50mn so no problem.

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1 hour ago, Gavin Feng said:

Mermaid’s ¥316M & Triple X’s ¥162M I think.

 

1 hour ago, fmpro said:

TWE could hit 316+ with these kind of drops. Stranger things has happend. Lets see tuesdays drop first

I was just looking at that. to update my chart for later

XXX bumped 150% on a tuesday

Mermaid bumped 30% on a workday sunday the day after the holiday ended.  It would have dropped to 200m as a school out/workday so it theoretically bumped 58%

Assuming better than -10% holds for Tues and Wed, we should be looking at over 400m with ease

M  340

T   310   If this is close flat SW7 is officially in play

W  280

Th 420-450  that would be ridiculous

 

How is XXX a VD movie?😁 150% bump!

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9 minutes ago, POTUS said:

 

I was just looking at that. to update my chart for later

XXX bumped 150% on a tuesday

Mermaid bumped 30% on a workday sunday the day after the holiday ended.  It would have dropped to 200m as a school out/workday so it theoretically bumped 58%

Assuming better than -10% holds for Tues and Wed, we should be looking at over 400m with ease

M  340

T   310   If this is close flat SW7 is officially in play

W  280

Th 420-450  that would be ridiculous

 

How is XXX a VD movie?😁 150% bump!

:hahaha:

 

If your projections become true, it would mean, at least, 8 days in a row making over $40m. And maybe 10-11 with the upcoming weekend... Both TFA and WW2 (with today ER) had 7 days in total doing it.

Edited by peludo
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49 minutes ago, peludo said:

Presales of next day use to increase fast at the end of the day? I ask this because presales for tomorrow are "just" 22.7m right now, which, if I remember well, is well behind the yesterday's number. Maybe tomorrow it will finally drop normally...

normal would be -10-15% for a breakout.  WW2 dropped 14% its second wednesday. 

I think -5% or better for tomorrow

46 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

It was around same level yesterday. By the time midnight, the number was ¥50mn so no problem.

Yup, its accelerating already to 5m per hour. It will be close to flat but the PSm often shrinks a little on tuesday.

Ill post chart after I see the final PS

if normal drops begin on wednesday, $900m looks possible.

Alita PS is not on fire

the following weekend is HttyD3.  not a threat

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When chinese love a film, they will call the entire nation to love it.

That is why you can see the phenomenon of coco, zootopia, aquaman, dangal , avatar and titanic

 

When  chinese hate a film, they will unite a nation to trash it....

That is why they often have so many film collapsed in the 2nd week with more than 70%+ drop  

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When chinese love a film, they will call the entire nation to love it.

That is why you can see the phenomenon of coco, zootopia, aquaman, dangal , avatar and titanic

 

When  chinese hate a film, they will unite a nation to trash it....

That is why they often have so many film collapsed in the 2nd week with more than 70%+ drop  

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7 hours ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

The Wandering Earth Monday

Time
Monday
Gross Change Change % % of total
Presales ¥50      
12:00 ¥101 ¥51 102.00%  
13:00 ¥123 ¥22 21.78%  
14:00 ¥155 ¥32 26.02%  
15:00 ¥180 ¥25 16.13%  
16:00 ¥201 ¥21 11.67%  
17:00 ¥219 ¥18 8.96%  
18:00 ¥244 ¥25 11.42%  
19:00 ¥276 ¥32 13.11%  
20:00 ¥302 ¥26 9.42%  
21:00 ¥322 ¥20 6.62%  
22:00        


Update:

14:00: ¥155mn which is around ¥51mn down from Sunday at same time but hourly addition are very strong. ¥360mn  projected.Will keep updating, in case I missed, someone who is online comment the gross during the time. 

17:00: In last 3 hours the film added ¥64mn, but with a diminishing trend. Hope with start of evening shows, pace will pick up and film hit ¥315-320mn by 21:00. Final number shall be around ¥340mn.

20:00: In last 3 hours added ¥81mn and crossed ¥300mn. Shall add another ¥15mn for ¥315mn by 21:00. Final number ¥335-340mn.

 

At 2100 crossed ¥322mn. Added ¥20mn in last hour, shall add similar number to full day. ¥342-345mn full Monday. @fmpro

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49 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said:

If Wandering Earth do ¥300M on the 2nd SAT, we can start to think Wandering Earth 3nd wknd> Alita opening weekend.

400m second saturday looking possible with these holds.

I project 115m for the next friday.  Alita looks like its under 100m so far for OD

 

WW2 293m Tuesday   Summer workday

          406m Saturday

ORS   142m  Mon

          124m Tues

          150m  Sat 

Edited by POTUS
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The Wandering Earth ¥342 million or $50.368 million Monday. Cume ¥2.350 Billion or $348.086 million.

Date Gross in CNY ('000) Gross in $ Weekend Weekly Daily Change L/W Change
Previews ¥13,154 $1,948,741        
05/02/2019 ¥187,773 $27,818,222        
06/02/2019 ¥257,329 $38,122,815     37.04%  
07/02/2019 ¥338,606 $50,163,852   $118,053,630 31.58%  
08/02/2019 ¥382,613 $56,683,407     13.00%  
09/02/2019 ¥414,105 $61,439,911     8.39%  
10/02/2019 ¥414,788 $61,541,246 $179,664,565   0.16%  
11/02/2019 ¥342,000 $50,368,189     -18.16% 2484.65%

 

Total ¥2,350,368 $348,086,383        
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Monday Hourly updates

Time
Monday
Gross Change Change % % of total
Presales ¥50     14.62%
12:00 ¥101 ¥51 102.00% 29.53%
13:00 ¥123 ¥22 21.78% 35.96%
14:00 ¥155 ¥32 26.02% 45.32%
15:00 ¥180 ¥25 16.13% 52.63%
16:00 ¥201 ¥21 11.67% 58.77%
17:00 ¥219 ¥18 8.96% 64.04%
18:00 ¥244 ¥25 11.42% 71.35%
19:00 ¥276 ¥32 13.11% 80.70%
20:00 ¥302 ¥26 9.42% 88.30%
21:00 ¥322 ¥20 6.62% 94.15%
22:00 ¥332 ¥10 3.11% 97.08%
         
Final ¥342      

 

  • Presales from Midnight were 14.6% of the full day.
  • Mid point somewhere around 14:40 CST
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23 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

Tuesday presales at midnight ¥40mn. If continue with Monday multiplier, will have Tuesday of $40mn.

Im not sure today dropped just 18% but tuesday PS is down 20%

PSm could increase by 10% but it usually shrinks by a few percent on Tues

Ill wait and see

Edited by POTUS
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26 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

Tuesday presales at midnight ¥40mn. If continue with Monday multiplier, will have Tuesday of $40mn.

PS sales will increase a couple of hours still and add a few millions.

 

should do much more than 40 mill $.

 

Im more like o/u 300 mill yuan??

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1 minute ago, fmpro said:

PS sales will increase a couple of hours still and add a few millions.

 

should do much more than 40 mill $.

 

Im more like o/u 300 mill yuan??

Comparing mid night Monday with midnight Tuesday which is 20% down.

As per @POTUS Tuesday multiple is bit lower than Monday, still I am hoping for $40mn.

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3 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

Comparing mid night Monday with midnight Tuesday which is 20% down.

As per @POTUS Tuesday multiple is bit lower than Monday, still I am hoping for $40mn.

Okay. 20% drop would suprise me.. We will see. Nice hourly chart btw👍

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