China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

[POTUS 2020]

51 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

60mn Yuans. That's roughly $9mn.

60m yuan- Thursday PS (going over 65m at 2am)

Y405m/$60m- Thursday BO

 

  edit- PS heading over 70m, up 120+%😲 420m at just 6x.  Tues PSm was 6.65

5x to 6.5x =350-450m  just dont know at this point, its a wild card

1 hour ago, Taruseth said:

What? $60M, WTF, that's more than twice the number of the highest non-opening-Thursday in the US.

Transformer 2 with $29.1M (and that was day 2)

#2 in the Us was TFA with $27.4M (day 7, but that was Christmas Eve)

If it really does 60M tomorrow will drop to Friday?

it will drop on Friday see chart above

Edited February 13, 2019 by POTUS

[charlie Jatinder]

¥65mn Presales for Valentines day. I call for ¥400-410mn Thursday.

Edited February 13, 2019 by Charlie Jatinder

[charlie Jatinder]

11

THE WANDERING EARTH CMC 64

$481,424 +322.3% / $7,522 $983,619 / 4

$705,381 +46.5% / $11,022 $1,689,000 / 5

$498,482 -29.3% / $7,789 $2,187,482 / 6

$199,085 -60.1% / $3,111 $2,386,567 / 7

[POTUS 2020]

2 hours ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

¥65mn Presales for Valentines day. I call for ¥400-410mn Thursday.

PS coming to a halt at 71m at 3am up 121%.  Wed PS were 32m

[movieboner]

I think the top 5 films in a single territory this year is going to look like this:

 

1. Star Wars Episode 9

2. The Wandering Earth

3. Avengers Endgame

4. The Lion King

5. Detective Pikachu

Edited February 13, 2019 by movieboner

[fmpro]

4 hours ago, POTUS said:

PS coming to a halt at 71m at 3am up 121%.  Wed PS were 32m

Yeah. But PS multiplier will be lower than Wed most likely.

So i would be carefull with these 400++ predictions

[fmpro]

8 minutes ago, movieboner said:

I think the top 5 films in a single territory this year is going to look like this:

 

1. Star Wars Episode 9

2. The Wandering Earth

3. Avengers Endgame

4. The Lion King

5. Detective Pikachu

Pikachu will make 500 mill+ where? China?

[fmpro]

10 hours ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

Also, another one that will close around $300mn in days to come.

 

Pegasus

Date	Gross in CNY ('000)	Gross in $	Daily Change	L/W Change	Weekend	Weekly
Previews	¥75	$11,111
05/02/2019	¥319,035	$47,264,444
06/02/2019	¥189,713	$28,105,630	-40.54%
07/02/2019	¥163,596	$24,236,444	-13.77%			$99,617,630
08/02/2019	¥136,842	$20,272,889	-16.35%
09/02/2019	¥125,051	$18,553,561	-8.48%
10/02/2019	¥109,886	$16,303,561	-12.13%		$55,130,011
11/02/2019	¥84,217	$12,403,093	-23.92%	111527.84%
12/02/2019	¥61,257	$9,048,301	-27.05%	-80.86%
13/02/2019	¥51,500	$7,618,343	-15.80%	-72.89%

 

Total

¥1,241,172

$183,817,377

I very much doubt it will hit 300 mill. 260-270 IMO

[charlie Jatinder]

1 hour ago, fmpro said:

I very much doubt it will hit 300 mill. 260-270 IMO

*Around* I think it can reach $280-290mn.

[charlie Jatinder]

The Wandering Earth

 

Australia - A$742,682

New Zealand - N$156,692

 

Approximate $632k.

 

[Gavin Feng]

3 hours ago, movieboner said:

I think the top 5 films in a single territory this year is going to look like this:

  

1. Star Wars Episode 9

2. The Wandering Earth

 3. Avengers Endgame

4. The Lion King

 5. Detective Pikachu

 

Endgame>Lion King>Ep9

 

Maybe Captain Marvel>Endgame?

[XXR vs XXR]

18 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said:

 

Endgame>Lion King>Ep9

 

Maybe Captain Marvel>Endgame?

Lion King >Episode 9>Endgame (domestically)

As for CM over Endgame....

Nah. 

[charlie Jatinder]

35 minutes ago, VenomXXR said:

Lion King >Episode 9>Endgame (domestically)

As for CM over Endgame....

Nah. 

I won't be surprised if E09 isn't in top 3 domestic, with either of Frozen 2 or Toy Story 4 upsetting it.

[charlie Jatinder]

The morning hourly numbers aren't exactly that big. They are pacing behind Monday by 15% while 63% over Wednesday. 

 

It will be ¥350mn Approx going by the morning numbers, though I expect very strong noon and evening.

[POTUS 2020]

6 hours ago, fmpro said:

Yeah. But PS multiplier will be lower than Wed most likely.

So i would be carefull with these 400++ predictions

I concur. I said 350 to 450 because the PSm could be anywhere.

Evening hours should be a lot stronger than Tues or Wed. The kids are pumping up the matinees as usual but the workers will be out this evening in droves

[POTUS 2020]

On 2/14/2017 at 7:30 AM, bangbingchan said:

2：30PM

Xxx 82M

LLL 45M

 

160M/90M is very likely

 

On 2/14/2017 at 8:50 AM, fmpro said:

 

Usually midpoint on a regular tuesday is 4pm-4.15pm. Lets see if it plays different on VD..

But due to extremely high presales you're proberbly right... Midpoint is more likely to be a couple of hours earlier

 

On 2/14/2017 at 3:52 PM, Gavin Feng said:

Tuesday estimates

xXx  -  162.5m / 649m

La La Land  -  71.5m / 83.5m

Revenge for love  -  33.2m

Love Contractually  -  33.1m
Kung Fu Yoga  -  30.2m / 1,618m
Duckweed  -  24.8m / 929m
Cook Up a Storm  -  12.1m / 105m
JTTW2 - 7.6m / 1,614m

 

[charlie Jatinder]

At 15:00 it stands at ¥176mn with last hour adding ¥24mn.

Comparing with last 3 days 14:00 to 15:00 and amount added after 15:00 is

 

Monday: ¥25mn | ¥158mn after

Tuesday: ¥22mn | ¥125mn

Wednesday: ¥18mn | ¥112mn

 

If it perform par Monday now, full day will be ¥334mn, though my projection chart says ¥307mn, but I think evenings will be stronger than that.

[Fake]

198.6M as of 4PM.

 

Added around 128M since morning. If it adds similar amount from hereon, it will finish with 325-330M.

 

Though if evenings are stronger than normal as POTUS mentioned, it could push close to 350M.

Edited February 14, 2019 by Fake

[charlie Jatinder]

At 18:00 it stands at ¥250mn with last hour adding ¥34mn.

Comparing with last 3 days 17:00 to 18:00 and amount added after 18:00 is

 

Monday: ¥25mn | ¥94mn after

Tuesday: ¥14mn | ¥75mn

Wednesday: ¥15mn | ¥65mn

 

If it performs par Monday now, a full day will be ¥344mn, though my projection chart says ¥373mn, but that ¥344-354mn seems better pick.

[charlie Jatinder]

¥360mn Valentines' day.

Time	Valentine's day
	Gross	Change	Change %	% of total
Presales	¥65			18.06%
12:00	¥109	¥44	67.69%	30.28%
13:00	¥127	¥18	16.51%	35.28%
14:00	¥152	¥25	19.69%	42.22%
15:00	¥176	¥24	15.79%	48.89%
16:00	¥198	¥22	12.50%	55.00%
17:00	¥216	¥18	9.09%	60.00%
18:00	¥250	¥34	15.74%	69.44%
19:00	¥275	¥25	10.00%	76.39%
20:00	¥298	¥23	8.36%	82.78%
21:00	¥314	¥16	5.37%	87.22%
22:00	¥342	¥28	8.92%	95.00%
Final	¥360

 

• Pre sales 18% of full day.

Edited February 14, 2019 by Charlie Jatinder