China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

[Jaybee]

54 minutes ago, feasby007 said:

So Rampage seems to be stabilising at 9.0 with 10k ratings. 

 

Interesting point to note is that 80% of all ratings are 9-10 and 96% of all ratings are 7-10. Usually this high percentages would lead to a score more like 9.4/5, but I think what's happening is a large proportion of that 80% is actually 9/10 rather than 10/10 ratings, thus bringing the rating down.

 

Meaning a lot of people think the movie is very good, but not perfect.

Is it enough for the break out

Edited April 13, 2018 by Jaybee

[fmpro]

Rampage down to 8,9. Still good.

its really having a strong evening  great number coming up

[Stewart]

8 minutes ago, Jaybee said:

Is it enough for the break out

It should see a nice little breakout, maybe $150m, but I wouldn't expect a full on breakout just yet. Especially since in two weeks it'll have very little showtimes as 10+ films are releasing on Labour weekend (not sure how many are wide)

[Jaybee]

12 minutes ago, feasby007 said:

It should see a nice little breakout, maybe $150m, but I wouldn't expect a full on breakout just yet. Especially since in two weeks it'll have very little showtimes as 10+ films are releasing on Labour weekend (not sure how many are wide)

China is going to be the saviour for rampage. Just like xxx3

[a2k]

$100+ total for Rampage looked almost dead a few days back. Again shows how presales don't tell the full story and reception is the dominant factor. Great if does $120-130. $150-160 would be amazing. RPO looking at $200+, Rampage possibly $150+, Hindi Medium legging it great while PRU crawling over $100 has been quiet a ride at the Chinese import bo.

[efialtes76]

Saturday presales are weak for a breakout.

[Jaybee]

6 minutes ago, efialtes76 said:

Saturday presales are weak for a breakout.

What's the OD projection as of now ?

[fmpro]

28 minutes ago, Jaybee said:

What's the OD projection as of now ?

90-100 mill yuan

[mredblood]

4 minutes ago, fmpro said:

90-100 mill yuan

What about RPO today?

[efialtes76]

14 minutes ago, mredblood said:

What about RPO today?

17m-18m.

[Jaybee]

28 minutes ago, fmpro said:

90-100 mill yuan

superb! then $50m OW on cards. but why was th PS very dull?

[a2k]

Hoping Rampage pulls off $60m ow: 

$15 + $25 (+67%) + $20 (-20%)

Would leave it requiring 2.5x multi for a $150 total.

Edited April 13, 2018 by a2knet

[meriodejaneiro]

3 hours ago, Treeze Rutledge said:

I asked this a few weeks ago but lost the link. Where can I find daily Chinese numbers in English? 

http://english.entgroup.cn/boxoffice/cn/daily/

[POTUS 2020]

57 minutes ago, Jaybee said:

superb! then $50m OW on cards. but why was th PS very dull?

was not anticipated like a known tentpole/prequel/sequel/reboot/videogame

2 hours ago, a2knet said:

$100+ total for Rampage looked almost dead a few days back. Again shows how presales don't tell the full story and reception is the dominant factor. Great if does $120-130. $150-160 would be amazing. RPO looking at $200+, Rampage possibly $150+, Hindi Medium legging it great while PRU crawling over $100 has been quiet a ride at the Chinese import bo.

for the known properties its easier

for lesser known, the buzz needs to be known. firedeep and others nailed that

PS was saying $30m but the buzz in this forum and the track record of last minute blow ups was saying $60m possible

I think this forum knows long before the studio has any idea they have a 1b/$155m hit

[fmpro]

Looks like around 92 mill. Almost PS*7

 

Presales for tomorrow are a little weak. It does` ent scream 50-100% increase at all. Needs to rely on WOM. Tomorrow will tell where its headed

[Jaybee]

7 minutes ago, fmpro said:

Looks like around 92 mill. Almost PS*7

 

Presales for tomorrow are a little weak. It does` ent scream 50-100% increase at all. Needs to rely on WOM. Tomorrow will tell where its headed

 

9 minutes ago, fmpro said:

Looks like around 92 mill. Almost PS*7

 

Presales for tomorrow are a little weak. It does` ent scream 50-100% increase at all. Needs to rely on WOM. Tomorrow will tell where its headed

high walkin numbers possible like today?

[bangbingchan]

4 hours ago, a2knet said:

maybe we could add a few useful sources of Chinese numbers and analysis in the OP?

I only know:

http://piaofang.maoyan.com/dashboard

https://movie.douban.com

https://twitter.com/weier1231997?lang=en

猫眼票房pro APP

Maoyan pro has English ver already.

[POTUS 2020]

47 minutes ago, Jaybee said:

 

high walkin numbers possible like today?

should happen

pS multi usually expands by 25%+ on Saturday.

PS will get to 16.5 at 1am up just 20% but the multi should be 8+.

at least 132m up 45%

ill be asleep, take the 1200-1300 rate, not 1400-1500- its inflated, run it to 2200 and add 50% for 3 hours for primetime,1800-2100 on saturday(100% on fri.)

eg. if its 35m at 1200 and does 9m from 12-1300=  35m+90m+13.5m= 138.5m

[bangbingchan]

#Rampage is the latest film to open bigger in China than in the US. Today's opening day #boxoffice in China heading to $15M+ beating #ReadyPlayerOne, #TombRaider and #Jumanji there.

— Gitesh Pandya (@GiteshPandya) April 13, 2018

[Jaybee]

3 hours ago, POTUS said:

should happen

pS multi usually expands by 25%+ on Saturday.

PS will get to 16.5 at 1am up just 20% but the multi should be 8+.

at least 132m up 45%

ill be asleep, take the 1200-1300 rate, not 1400-1500- its inflated, run it to 2200 and add 50% for 3 hours for primetime,1800-2100 on saturday(100% on fri.)

eg. if its 35m at 1200 and does 9m from 12-1300=  35m+90m+13.5m= 138.5m

such a deep research u have done ! great! so $55m OW on cards!