Jump to content

A Marvel Fanboy

China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

Recommended Posts

15 minutes ago, POTUS 2020 said:

Maybe. If tomorrow is over 400m and holds strong thru the holiday it should be close to $600m on Sunday then $625m the following Friday when DP opens and leg it out 

 

Averaging 11m per hour. RR didnt drop much. 225-235m.

Insane 80%+ bump

Wed PS at 115m and running at 2.5m ph.

Projecting 140m+ still.

Todays PSm will be 3.  Tomorrow likely to be under 3

How, though? Best case scenario imo would be something like 235 + 400 + 270 + 200 + 100 for this week. Thus, EG would get to $530M by Sunday

Link to comment
Share on other sites



11 minutes ago, Andreas said:

How, though? Best case scenario imo would be something like 235 + 400 + 270 + 200 + 100 for this week. Thus, EG would get to $530M by Sunday

You're right. I was looking at the following sunday on the chart above.

Ive got $547m this Sunday.

PS not big on Thu, drop may be bigger than on chart.

 $600m the target

Link to comment
Share on other sites

On 4/28/2019 at 11:00 AM, pepsa said:

147.4m at 5pm

9.3m/h

Sunday at 5pm

23 hours ago, SURAJ said:

80.27 @ 5:25 PM

Monday at 5.25pm...

 

Today 5pm => 162.2m

This is more than double monday wth 25 min's left and almost 15m bigger than Sunday with a stronger evening comming. 245+ Is looking good.

  • Like 4
  • Astonished 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites



So I have sunday here:

 

5pm 147.4m 9.3m/h  

6pm 158.6m 11.5m/h

7pm 171.6m 13m/h

8pm 185.8m 14.2m/h

9pm 196.9m 11.1m/h

10.15pm 205m 8.1m/75 min

12pm added till 208.5m, so 3.5m in 105 min.

 

So at 5pm we had 162.2m and at 5.30pm we had 169.8m this would mean a run rate of 15.2m / h. This will speed in the second 30 min because we are nearing prime hours.

So let's use 15.8m. This is running 37% ahead of sunday if it can keep this pace. We would see:

5pm 162.2m

6pm 178m

7pm 195.8m

8pm 215.3m

9pm 230.5m

12pm 246.4m by MN

 

Maybe it won't be able to hold the + 37% but the evening should play stronger (unless unless very high ps for specificly the evening) because tomorrow is a holliday. So it should even out at around 246m give or take 10m. 

Edited by pepsa
  • Like 1
  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites



Can't believe AEG is looking at a 50-60% bump from AIW's huge boxoffice.

A similar bump Dom would give $1020-1080 dom.

It's only been a year since AIW so don't think the economic and price factor account for much.

Link to comment
Share on other sites



16 minutes ago, a2k said:

A similar bump Dom would give $1020-1080 dom.

Sounds like the China and DOM bumps will be pretty similar then :stirthepot:

Edited by Thanos Legion
  • Haha 1
  • Astonished 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites



29 minutes ago, a2k said:

Can't believe AEG is looking at a 50-60% bump from AIW's huge boxoffice.

A similar bump Dom would give $1020-1080 dom.

It's only been a year since AIW so don't think the economic and price factor account for much.

Well you just ruined China bump for me because that 1020-1080 seems default at moment.

  • Haha 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites





13 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

Well you just ruined China bump for me because that 1020-1080 seems default at moment.

$1020 dom requires SMH like 2.86x multi and $1080 dom requires TA1's 3.0x multi. Irrespective of whether that happens, to tag it the default is a bit excessive imo. 2.4-2.6x multi is my guess atm.

Link to comment
Share on other sites









1 minute ago, POTUS 2020 said:

20m last hour, up 70% from the afternoon average. Its starting to behave normal.  It will have a 3.3PSm.

WED PS at 126m and picking up speed.

Could beat 150m.

Tomorrow doing 400m is looking more likely than 2 days ago. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites



52 minutes ago, a2k said:

$1020 dom requires SMH like 2.86x multi and $1080 dom requires TA1's 3.0x multi. Irrespective of whether that happens, to tag it the default is a bit excessive imo. 2.4-2.6x multi is my guess atm.

Maybe but I think 2.4 is very low. Guess we'll see based on 2nd/3rd week. Infinity War definitely my opinion or not was absolutely not as well received by Critics, Cinemascore nor the GA. Some hardcore fans didn't like the first 2 acts as much and probably felt it was smaller in scale (totally agree but personally I love the slower pace) the 3rd act was great for most of them. The ending did a great job pleasing GA and the hardcore fans. I don't see why it would perform worse than Infinity War when it's in fact liked more. Sure many saw that film more than once but a lot of people like me didn't want to go be horrible depressed over and over.

 

I think it has a great chance to beat SFA which requires a 2.63 multiplier.....IWs multiplier.

Edited by cdsacken
  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites



27 minutes ago, a2k said:

$1020 dom requires SMH like 2.86x multi and $1080 dom requires TA1's 3.0x multi. Irrespective of whether that happens, to tag it the default is a bit excessive imo. 2.4-2.6x multi is my guess atm.

What I meant was that, MCU overperforming in USA was something we were getting used to. China on other hand, used to show great signs initially and then dump the film in same 100-125 window.

 

So that overperformance in China was looking like way too big compared to US. 

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites



Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.



  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use and Guidelines. Feel free to read our Privacy Policy as well.