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China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

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7 minutes ago, POTUS 2020 said:

A holiday is a Saturday on steroids. Yup. nice.

Saturday was before a workday. Run rate should be strong tonight.

We saw the RR dip after 1400 on Sat. Lets see if it can hold

 

Seems to be dropping already.

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19 minutes ago, Fake said:

Seems to be dropping already.

Yeah the first 15 min are saying 29.9m/h now so by the end of the hour that might be 27m.

Still look at it this way if we are 'pessimitic':

 

315.42m at 2pm, add 24m and hour for the next 6 hours (till 8pm) we get 453.42m at 8pm, it add's atleast 16m till 9pm then 10m till 10pm, 6m till 11pm and then 3m. 

This would mean 489m by the end of today.

 

We could see an uptick between 6pm - 8pm, go back to 30/h (depends on ps for the evening) and deppending on how good 7pm - 8pm is 8pm - 9pm coud go a decent amount higher then 21m/h. 

So 500m+ isn't out of the question but let's wait for this one. 

 

 

Edit will down the pessimistic one!

Edited by pepsa
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340.5m at 1500.  45m behind OD but gaining 5m+ ph. Run rate held steady even with the huge PS and a work night. Today should maintain 25m+ ph thru 2200.  510m.  Up to 530m if it can get back up to 30m ph later.  After 2200 should add 15m too 

OD Wed

      Multi to Rest of Proj
Hour BO Gain Total Day Total
11 305.0 43.0   235.8 540.8
12 323.3 18.3 14.8 270.8 594.1
13 344.6 21.3 10.6 225.8 570.4
14 366.5 21.9 8.9 194.9 561.4
15 386.0 19.5 8.8 171.6 557.6
16 406.0 20.0 8.0 160.0 566.0
17 426.3 20.3 6.5 132.0 558.3
18 448.5 22.2 4.8 106.6 555.1
19 473.2 24.7 3.0 74.1 547.3
20 496.0 22.8 1.8 41.0 537.0

 

Edited by POTUS 2020
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12 minutes ago, nguyenkhoi282 said:

POTUS is being potusy

was thinking $550m by sunday.  Its making $20m more than expected today.  $50m more for the holiday

How does it miss $600m by sunday?  How does it not make $50m more after sunday for the $650m lock?

should get close to $700m, hense possible

 

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10 minutes ago, Moses said:

What arr your expectations for each day this weekend?

    EG       XR 6.73 IW       XR 6.35
  Day Yn DoD WoW Tot $Tot Yn DoD WoW Tot $Tot
  Wed 535     725 108          
  Thur 316 -40.9%   1041 155          
  Fri 424 34.2%   1465 218 387     447 70
  Sat 551 30.0%   2016 300 493 27.5%   940 148
Workday Sun 208 -62.3%   2224 330 332 -32.8%   1272 200
  Mon 124 -40.4%   2348 349 109 -67.1%   1381 217
Pre Holi Bump Tues 255 105.6%   2603 387 81 -25.7%   1462 230
Holiday Wed 510 100.0%   3113 463 65 -20.0%   1526 240
Holiday Thur 380 -25.5%   3493 519 53 -19.0%   1579 249
                       
Holiday Fri 325 -14.5% -23.3% 3818 567 72 36.4% -81.5% 1650 260
Holiday Sat 220 -32.3% -60.1% 4038 600 142 98.2% -71.2% 1792 282
Workday Sun 80 -63.6% -61.5% 4118 612 132 -7.0% -60.2% 1924 303
  Mon 45 -43.8% -63.7% 4163 619 31.6 -76.1% -71.0% 1956 308
  Tue 38 -15.6% -85.1% 4201 624 25.2 -20.3% -68.9% 1981 312
  Wed 32 -15.8% -93.7% 4233 629 21.1 -16.3% -67.4% 2002 315
  Thu 28 -12.5% -92.6% 4261 633 18.6 -11.8% -64.6% 2021 318
                       
  Fri 28 0.0% -91.4% 4289 637 23.1 24.2% -67.7% 2044 322
  Sat 55 96.4% -75.0% 4344 645 50.8 119.9% -64.2% 2095 330
  Sun 40 -27.3% -50.0% 4384 651 39.9 -21.5% -69.8% 2135 336
  Mon 13 -67.5% -71.1% 4397 653 12.0 -69.9% -62.0% 2147 338
  Tue 11 -15.4% -71.1% 4408 655 11.1 -7.5% -56.0% 2158 340
  Wed 10 -13.6% -70.3% 4418 656 10.5 -5.9% -50.5% 2168 341
  Thu 8 -15.8% -71.4% 4426 658 12.1 15.8% -34.9% 2180 343
                       
              35.2 190.9% 52.4% 2215 349
              31.6 -10.2% -37.8% 2247 354
              23.2 -26.6% -41.9% 2270 358
              7.8 -66.4% -35.0% 2278 359
              8.5 9.0% -23.4% 2287 360
              8.9 4.1% -15.3% 2295 361
              7.8 -11.9% -35.5% 2303 363
                       
              8.5 9.5% -75.7% 2312 364
              18.4 115.5% -41.8% 2330 367
              15.5 -15.8% -33.2% 2346 369
          4580 681       2390 376
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21 minutes ago, POTUS 2020 said:

was thinking $550m by sunday.  Its making $20m more than expected today.  $50m more for the holiday

How does it miss $600m by sunday?  How does it not make $50m more after sunday for the $650m lock?

should get close to $700m, hense possible

 

I was on board for $600M - $650M even before OW lmao, just waiting for confirmation from you guys. Simple math 300M 5-day + better WOM + holiday boost legs to 2x = 600M. Can't believe that it's a real possibility now.

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54 minutes ago, POTUS 2020 said:

$600m by this Sunday

$650m total locked

$700m a possiblity

They say you're the optimistic one so to neutralize your optimistic numbers, I'll just take 90% of your numbers. So $630M it is.

Edited by UserHN
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