China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

[chasmmi]

The current situation feels like it is mirroring South Korea from 10 years ago. When I wrote my ISP on Korean cinema a couple of years back the numbers were staggering:

In January 1999, the box office admissions record for a Korean film in the domestic market stood at just over 2.2million nationwide admissions (Sopyonje, 1993) . Then in February of that year, that record was beaten in just 22 days by Kang Je-gyu’s Shiri which would go on to achieve figures of 6.21 million nationwide , almost triple that of the previous record and even easily overhauling Titanic’s record for most successful film at the Korean box office full stop. When one considers that Sopyonje itself on release achieved figures that were triple the previous record, it makes Shiri’s figures seem even more extraordinary.Despite breaking records by such a huge margin, Shiri’s record stood for just two years when in March 2001 Kwak Kyung-taek’s Friend recorded admissions figures of 8.2m . This record was further bettered over the next 5 years by Kang Woo-suk’s Silmido (11.2m ), Kang Je-gyu’s Brotherhood (11.8m ) and finally Bong Joon-ho’s The Host (13.0m ). Therefore in the thirteen years since the success of Sopyonje, Korean cinema was at a point where one film in 2006 had achieved almost double the combined admissions of every domestic film released in 1993 and even as recently as 1998 total combined audience for all Korean releases that year was lower than the single admissions total of The Host

I wouldn't be surprised at all if the same is happening with Chinese cinema and that in 5 years time, a film making what Iron man is will be considered a John Carter level bomb.

[Alex Bennett]

I'll be satisfied just for $100m.  To be honest I'm a bit disappointed at the movie

[Olive]

So actuals 410M?

[druv10]

So actuals 410M?

 

 

That would be a 15M jump in Yuan. Nearly $66M.  

[cjk]

So actuals 410M?

we don't take the report as a standard.

[POLYLOVE]

IM3's Monday gross turns out to be around 28M yuan. That's better than TA's Monday in second week, right?  TA stormed 210M in its second week.

[A Marvel Fanboy]

So actuals 410M?

We only take Special Fund numbers. Others dont count.

[A Marvel Fanboy]

IM3's Monday gross turns out to be around 28M yuan. That's better than TA's Monday in second week, right?  TA stormed 210M in its second week.

I am thinking about the same number for IM3 this week too. That would be -47% drop. (210/396).

 

210M is also what GIJ2 did in its first week. Gij2 did around 330M in total. So expecting 730M yuan $117M finish for IM3.

[A Marvel Fanboy]

In other news, JP3D (universal) will be released as a revenue sharing Hollywood movie, maybe in June. Perfect waste of quota.

[A Marvel Fanboy]

Monday:

 

IM3 28M -60% cume 426M

SY 21M -45% cume 498m

 

Monday gap between IM3 and SY 7M, overal gap by end of Mon 72M. The gap will be 30M or so by this Sunday. Next week the two weekly gross will be close.

 

So it is clear: IM3 definitely is not catching up with SY when all is done.  SY wins the game from the beginning. Admissions-wise, the gap is even more horrifying: IM3 total likely 16M; SY likely 24M.

 

Though IM3 alone is doing great. However when [biggest 2013 Hollywood movie couldnt even beat a B-list local movie] Hollywood is simply dead.

[A Marvel Fanboy]

[fmpro]

Hollywood is not dead in China. Yet

[Sam]

Hollywood movies are dead in China....selectively 

[Jandrew]

Iron Man 3 review, spoiler free http://jaysonb593.blogspot.com/2013/05/how-much-can-iron-man-lift-too-much.html

[Omario]

In other news, JP3D (universal) will be released as a revenue sharing Hollywood movie, maybe in June. Perfect waste of quota.

 

 

YES YES YES, thank you mate, brilliant news. hopefully will crack 1bill

 

Also any idea if or when Man of Steel will get released in China???

[Sam]

Knowing China, MOS will probably get the date in between or overlap with other big studio releases. Even IM3 was almost screwed over with that release dates debacles.

[Bob Violence]

MOS will probably get bumped to August. If you go by last year's schedule, the only revenue-shared imports from late June through late August were animated films (Brave, The Lorax, Ice Age 4). The Hunger Games came out on June 14th, but after that there were no big live-action imports until the end of August. The assumption is that the summer blackout will be repeated this year, so MOS would have to score a day-and-date release to escape it. That's very unlikely.

[Olive]

TUESDAY

IM3~￥31M ~￥458M

SY~￥22M ~￥521M

[Ent]

Will IM3 reach $100 million this weekend ?

[Lordmandeep]

Thats what 74 million dollars as of now?