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China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26

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I am not too sure about the $100m weekend projection...... with weekdays at such high levels, I suspect Fri/Sat jumps would be muted.

I'd be pretty happy with $80m weekend (500m Yuan).

But if $100m materializes then awesome!

 

I am not too sure about the $100m weekend projection...... with weekdays at such high levels, I suspect Fri/Sat jumps would be muted.

I'd be pretty happy with $80m weekend (500m Yuan).

But if $100m materializes then awesome!

because of the high weekdays the weekend could be huge. so many people shut out on sunday created a spillover and hype that should carry over to the weekend. Manny movies do 4 times  non summer/holiday Thursday on the weekend.  TF4 did 3,5 x its summer Thursday.

 

With little competition, a lot of showtimes, spillover for those that couldn't go during week and the hype it created  could bring in 100m.

80m is a slam dunk but I would feel a little disappointed it did that at the rate its been going

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Friday(4/17/2015) estimates
#/Title: Daily(yuan)~Total(yuan)~Total($)
1.Furious 7: 142M~1141M~$183.9M
2.Ever Since We Love: 24M~24M~$3.9M
3.Wolf Warriors: 4.5M~472M~$76.1M
4.Mortdecai: 3.7M~3.7M~$0.6M
5.The Queens:1.6M~8.6M~$1.4M
 
 
 (Current exchange rate $=6.203 Yuan). 
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    TF4               FF7        
Day Daily % Change % BO -OW Total $ Tot   Daily % Change TF4 vs FF7 Total $ Tot TF4 Day Mltplier Day xM +OW $ Proj
OW 630.7     630.7 103   398     398 64      
Mon 123.1   9.07 753.8 124   184   49.47% 582 94 11.03 2,421 390
Tues 112.2 -8.85% 8.25 866 142   167 -9.24% 48.84% 749 121 12.12 2,416 389
Wed 94.6 -15.69% 6.97 960.6 157   137 -17.96% 44.82% 886 143 14.35 2,358 380
Thur 84.2 -10.99% 6.21 1044.8 171   114 -16.79% 35.39% 1000 161 16.10 2,228 359
Fri 87.1 3.44% 6.42 1131.9 186   142 24.56% 63.03% 1142 184 15.58 2,604 419
Sat 129.6 48.79% 9.55 1261.5 207             10.47    
Sun 117.9 -9.03% 8.69 1379.4 226             11.51    
                          Proj Ave 387
Day TF4 FF7                        
1 194.8 398                        
2 222.8 184                        
3 213.1 167                        
4 123.1 137 11.29%                      
5 112.2 114 1.60%                      
6 94.6 142 50.11%                      
Total 960.6 1142 18.88%                      

 

I was hoping for 150+ but 142 aint bad. any chance of it increasing? its still early. Looks like it could be 90m weekend

 

Whats really impressive is that they have now sold the same amount of tickets and FF7 is 63% higher for fri-fri comparison. the fact that M-Th averaged 44% more on respective days and that it increased to 63% for fri portends much better strength for next week

 

Since TF4 opened to 100m and pulled down 220m more, could FF7 pull in 200m more after a 90m weekend? That would be 450m. Just some Chinese food for thought. Dumplings please, steamed

 

400m upgrade to very possible. Monday could be the day to lock it

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      TF4               FF7        
  Day Daily % Change % BO -OW Total $ Tot   Daily % Change TF4 vs FF7 Total $ Tot TF4 Day Mltplier Day xM +OW $ Proj
  OW 630.7     630.7 103   398     398 64      
  Mon 123.1   9.07 753.8 124   184   49.5% 582 94 11.03 2,421 390
  Tues 112.2 -8.85% 8.25 866 142   167 -9.24% 48.8% 749 121 12.12 2,416 389
  Wed 94.6 -15.69% 6.97 960.6 157   137 -17.96% 44.8% 886 143 14.35 2,358 380
  Thur 84.2 -10.99% 6.21 1044.8 171   114 -16.79% 35.4% 1000 161 16.10 2,228 359
  Fri 87.1 3.44% 6.42 1131.9 186   142 24.56% 63.0% 1142 184 15.58 2,604 419
  Sat 129.6 48.79% 9.55 1261.5 207 Proj 211 48.79% 63.0% 1353 218 10.47 2,604 419
  Sun 117.9 -9.03% 8.69 1379.4 226 Proj 192 -9.03% 63.0% 1546 249 11.51 2,604 419
  Mon 54 -54.20% 4.02 1433.4 235 Proj 88 -54.20% 63.0% 1634 263 24.85 2,580 415
  Tue 53 -1.85% 3.95 1486.4 244 Proj 86 -1.85% 63.0% 1720 277 25.32 2,580 415
  Wed 43 -18.87% 3.20 1529.4 251 Proj 70 -18.87% 63.0% 1790 289 31.21 2,580 415
  Thu 39 -9.30% 2.91 1568.4 257 Proj 64 -9.30% 63.0% 1854 299 34.41 2,580 415
  Fri 42 7.69% 3.13 1610.4 264 Proj 68 7.69% 63.0% 1922 310 31.95 2,580 415
  Sat 62 47.62% 4.62 1672.4 274 Proj 101 47.62% 63.0% 2023 326 21.65 2,580 415
  Sun 58 -6.45% 4.32 1730.4 284 Proj 95 -6.45% 63.0% 2118 342 23.14 2,580 415
                               
    Str8 Up                       Proj Ave 406
  Day TF4 FF7                        
  1 194.8 398                        
  2 222.8 184                        
  3 213.1 167                        
  4 123.1 137 11.29%                      
  5 112.2 114 1.60%                      
  6 94.6 142 50.11%                      
Proj 7 84.2 211 150.94%                      
Proj 8 87.1 192 120.68%                      
Proj 9 129.6 88 -32.07%                      
Proj 10 117.9 86 -26.71%                      
Proj 11 54 70 29.82% M/W                    
Proj 12 53 64 19.97% T/Th                    
Proj 13 43 68 59.24% W/F                    
Proj 14 39 101 159.18%                      
Proj 15 42 95 125.14%                      
Proj 16 62 43 -30.65%                      
Proj 17 58 41 -29.31%                      
Proj 18 26 35 34.62% M/W                    
Proj 19 28 32 14.29% T/Th                    
Proj 20 23 35 52.17% W/F                    
Proj Total 1807 2304 27.46%                      
Proj Final 1952 2488 27.46%                      
Proj US$ 320 401 25.20%                      
  ExRate 6.1 6.21                        

 

Here is a projection based solely on it having identical increase/decreases as TF4 going forward. Slightly better % holds, especially for the next few days, will take it well into the $400m's

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