POTUS 2020 Posted April 30, 2015 Share Posted April 30, 2015 good hold by F7, it will be at $348 by sunday. ¿$360 finish? standard drop 60-70% will bring it in at 352m~ the 3 day holiday could boost that considerably, don't know how much w 13% of screens, 2 movies last year bumped over the previous weekend. Could be 360m by sunday. or greater. another 10-12m+ after the weekend 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Futurist Posted April 30, 2015 Share Posted April 30, 2015 It seems that April 2015 Box office just doubles April 2014. Yeah, I have other sources confirming this, China box office is booming like crazy this year, any explantions why the sudden burst ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quigley Posted April 30, 2015 Share Posted April 30, 2015 No, AOU midnights won't come close to FF7 because its not opening on a weekend. Update release date: Tomorrowland will open May 26th, 4 days than previous date, good news for AOU it will have one more competition-free weekend. San Andreas - June 2nd Jurrasic World - June 10th Insurgent - June 13th (should be last Hollywood movie before local protection period) What about competition from domestic films? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted April 30, 2015 Share Posted April 30, 2015 Yeah, I have other sources confirming this, China box office is booming like crazy this year, any explantions why the sudden burst ? more and more discount tickets nowadays What about competition from domestic films? No big local movie before mid -June. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted April 30, 2015 Share Posted April 30, 2015 AOU gewara numbers almost hit 10k 12 days pre-release, and Wanda cinemas the biggest chain haven't started selling. AOU's target demo is students and teens so its presales will be good. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted April 30, 2015 Share Posted April 30, 2015 How FF7 Gewara numbers developed: 2015-04-01 10:45 - 15 2015-04-02 08:39 -139 2015-04-03 07:57 - 856 2015-04-04 08:11 - 4,166 2015-04-05 08:03 - 9,352 2015-04-06 18:11 - 22,717 2015-04-07 08:26 - 28,380 2015-04-07 18:40 - 81,588 2015-04-08 00:32 - 99,682 2015-04-08 07:25 -101,494 2015-04-09 00:58 -141,564 2015-04-09 17:31-167,068 2015-04-10 00:45 -193,250 2015-04-10 19:37 - 286,403 2015-04-10 23:22 - 319,921 2015-04-11 23:36 - 472,900 2015-04-12 00:00 midnight shows started 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neo Posted April 30, 2015 Share Posted April 30, 2015 No, AOU midnights won't come close to FF7 because its not opening on a weekend. Update release date: Tomorrowland will open May 26th, 4 days than previous date, good news for AOU it will have one more competition-free weekend. San Andreas - June 2nd Jurrasic World - June 10th Insurgent - June 13th (should be last Hollywood movie before local protection period) But can't AOU surpass F7 in pre-sales? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted April 30, 2015 Share Posted April 30, 2015 But can't AOU surpass F7 in pre-sales? F7 pre-sales exploded in the last days pre- release, not sure the same will happen to AOU. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted April 30, 2015 Share Posted April 30, 2015 Surprise! FF7 will win this May day holiday weekend, it won't drop today despite losing half showtimes. Local openers underperforming. 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alee7915 Posted April 30, 2015 Share Posted April 30, 2015 Surprise! FF7 will win this May day holiday weekend, it won't drop today despite losing half showtimes. Local openers underperforming. Are you fan of Mariah Carey? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DayTripper Posted April 30, 2015 Share Posted April 30, 2015 Insurgent - June 13th (should be last Hollywood movie before local protection period) How long will the protection period last? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted April 30, 2015 Share Posted April 30, 2015 How long will the protection period last? 6.19 - 7.31 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchumacherFTW Posted April 30, 2015 Share Posted April 30, 2015 Has anyone else noticed that Jurassic World is coming out in China before pretty much anywhere else yet? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quigley Posted April 30, 2015 Share Posted April 30, 2015 Basically the date change is a slaughter for Tomorrowland. Although anything above $700M will be good for that film and it doesn't need China to achieve it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
abra Posted April 30, 2015 Share Posted April 30, 2015 Has anyone else noticed that Jurassic World is coming out in China before pretty much anywhere else yet? Release Dates Belgium 10 June 2015 France 10 June 2015 Philippines 10 June 2015 Sweden 10 June 2015 United Arab Emirates 11 June 2015 Argentina 11 June 2015 Austria 11 June 2015 Australia 11 June 2015 Aruba 11 June 2015 Brazil 11 June 2015 Chile 11 June 2015 Colombia 11 June 2015 Germany 11 June 2015 Denmark 11 June 2015 UK 11 June 2015 Greece 11 June 2015 Hong Kong 11 June 2015 Hungary 11 June 2015 Israel 11 June 2015 Italy 11 June 2015 Mexico 11 June 2015 Malaysia 11 June 2015 Netherlands 11 June 2015 New Zealand 11 June 2015 Portugal 11 June 2015 Serbia 11 June 2015 Russia 11 June 2015 Singapore 11 June 2015 Slovenia 11 June 2015 Slovakia 11 June 2015 Thailand 11 June 2015 Ukraine 11 June 2015 Bulgaria 12 June 2015 Bahamas 12 June 2015 Canada 12 June 2015 Ecuador 12 June 2015 Estonia 12 June 2015 Spain 12 June 2015 Finland 12 June 2015 Ireland 12 June 2015 India 12 June 2015 Iceland 12 June 2015 Lithuania 12 June 2015 Latvia 12 June 2015 Norway 12 June 2015 Poland 12 June 2015 Romania 12 June 2015 Turkey 12 June 2015 USA 12 June 2015 Venezuela 12 June 2015 South Africa 12 June 2015 Croatia 18 June 2015 Japan 7 August 2015 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted April 30, 2015 Share Posted April 30, 2015 (edited) Surprise! FF7 will win this May day holiday weekend, it won't drop today despite losing half showtimes. Local openers underperforming. im not surprised. Been looking for this for two weeks and pissed off FD over it. The question is will it get more showtimes if its beating the new releases today and how strong can it hold? Was hoping it could be up over 50%+ from yesterday. Not dropping from yesterday or do you mean last thursday? Edited April 30, 2015 by No Prisoners Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted April 30, 2015 Share Posted April 30, 2015 AOU gewara numbers almost hit 10k 12 days pre-release, and Wanda cinemas the biggest chain haven't started selling. AOU's target demo is students and teens so its presales will be good. Almost 12k now So far so good Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted April 30, 2015 Share Posted April 30, 2015 (edited) Thursday(4/30/2015) estimates #/Title: Daily(yuan)~Total(yuan)~Total($) 1.You Are My Sunshine: 63M~63M ~$10.1M including $2.2M Previews 2.Furious 7: 31.4M~2122M~$342.2M #1 all time grosser 3.Helios: 31.2M~31.2M~$5M 4.The Left Ear: 21.2M~302M~$48.7M 5.Home: 4.6M~65.6M~$10.6M Incredible hold for F7, 400M usd? Edited April 30, 2015 by Johnny Storm 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted April 30, 2015 Share Posted April 30, 2015 Incredible hold for F7, 400M usd? Holiday bump in effect. If it follows Classmate's pattern for the next 3 days as shown in the projection, it will have a $22m weekend and fall way short. 380m~ I was hoping for a better hold the past several days and bigger bump today off of that. It needs to do something sick tomorrow and hold like a mo'fo' next week to get to 390's TF4 FF7 Day Yuan % +/- Last Week Total $ Tot Yuan % +/- Last Week TF4 vs FF7 Total $ Tot % Cume Fri 195 195 32 Sat 223 14.4% 418 69 51 - MN Sun 213 -4.6% 631 103 347 63.1% 398 64 -37.9% Mon 123 -42.1% 754 124 185 -46.7% 50.3% 583 94 -23.9% Tues 112 -8.9% 866 142 167 -9.7% 48.8% 750 121 -14.8% Wed 95 -15.7% 961 157 137 -18.0% 44.8% 887 143 -9.2% Thur 84 -11.0% 1045 171 115 -16.1% 36.6% 1002 162 -5.6% Fri 87 3.4% -55.3% 1132 186 142 23.8% 63.5% 1144.4 185 -0.5% Sat 130 48.8% -41.9% 1262 207 226 59.0% 74.7% 1370.8 221 6.9% Sun 118 -9.0% -44.6% 1379 226 185 -18.1% -46.6% 57.3% 1556.2 251 11.0% Mon 54 -58.33% -56.1% 1433 235 73 -60.6% -60.5% 35.2% 1629.2 263 11.8% Tue 53 -1.85% -52.8% 1486 244 64 -11.8% -61.4% 21.5% 1694 273 12.1% Wed 43 -18.87% -54.5% 1529 251 52 -18.6% -61.8% 21.9% 1746 282 12.3% Thu 39 -9.30% -53.7% 1568 257 45 -14.1% -60.9% 15.4% 1791 289 12.4% Fri 42 7.69% -51.8% 1610 264 59 31.1% -58.6% 40.5% 1850 298 13.0% Sat 62 47.62% -52.2% 1672 274 92 55.1% -59.6% 47.6% 1942 313 14.2% Sun 58 -6.45% -50.8% 1730 284 69 -24.6% -62.8% 19.0% 2011 324 14.3% Mon 26 -55.17% -51.9% 1756 288 26 -62.3% -64.4% 0.0% 2037 328 14.1% Tue 28 7.69% -47.2% 1784 293 26 0.0% -59.6% -7.1% 2063 333 13.7% Wed 23 -17.86% -46.5% 1807 296 24 -8.8% -54.8% 3.0% 2086 336 13.6% Thu 18 -21.74% -53.8% 1825 299 31 32.5% -30.2% 74.4% 2118 342 14.1% Fri 16.7 -7.22% -60.2% 1842 302 P 55 75.2% -6.8% 229.3% 2173 350 16.0% Sat 15.5 -7.19% -75.0% 1858 305 P 50 -9.1% -45.4% 222.6% 2223 358 17.7% Sun 25.3 63.23% -56.4% 1883 309 P 35 -30.0% -49.3% 38.3% 2258 364 18.0% April 30 - May 3 Bump 2014 Classmate CA2 April Yuan May Yuan Pr/Day Pre/wk April Yuan Prev/wk May Yuan Pr/day Prev/wk W A30 29 55.1% Wed 7.0 W A30 5.5 96.4% -14% Thu Thu M1 51 75.9% Thu 7.0 -45% Th M1 11 100.0% 57% Fri 22.0 Fri M2 46 -9.8% 109% Fri 5.8 -51% Fri M2 13 18.2% 124% Sat 39.3 Sat M3 32 -30.4% -19% Sat 10.4 53% Sat M3 8 -38.5% -23% Sun 36.5 Sun 13 -59.4% -64% Sun 9.0 -53% Sun closed Mon 21.4 Mon 4.7 -47% Tue 18.7 Tue 2.8 -61% Fri-Sat 61 Fri-Sat 78 27.2% W-Sat 30.2 W-Sat 38 24.2% Fri-Mon 119.2 W-Sat 158 32.6% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted April 30, 2015 Author Share Posted April 30, 2015 For FF7, It looks like 2122m + 62m (+100%) + 62m + 43m = 2289m $369m by Sunday, $4m more than my $365m best scenario prediction last week. No Prisoner's $390m by Sunday is not even close, even a little more off than a failed predictor $351m (worst scenario) prediction. Looks FF7 could win five weeks in a row. 277m this week, Chappie wont do more than 80m next week. Sadly both Helios and Silent Separation underperformed. Le Vision's distrbution is a mess, they can not even beat Enlight (The Left Ear) with a property like Silent Separation.... Helio probably would lose some money with a 120m production budget. The reason JW got June 10 is because, as I implied earlier, protection period starts June 19, and there are so many more HW movies to be released after the protection period. It is actually unclear if the protection period will end by July 31. If so, it would mean a day and date release for MI5 and other HW big movies like T5, AntMan ... could also open in August. More likely, some of these would go Sep or even Oct. But we shall see. Anyway, JW could be the next HW blockbuster that does more in China than at home. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...