A Marvel Fanboy Posted August 21, 2018 Author Share Posted August 21, 2018 Meg1.1b seems locked. Rising to #1 on the 11th day of release, a record. 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Awesomer Posted August 21, 2018 Share Posted August 21, 2018 No guesses on Ant-Man and the Wasp? What are presales like? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted August 21, 2018 Share Posted August 21, 2018 (edited) If Meg does $170 (1160-1165) in China and close to $135 Dom, then that's around +25% difference between the two markets. Had posted this a few days back: On 8/12/2018 at 3:11 PM, a2k said: Dom v China of Meg is an anomaly. Money left on the table? Needed a better release date I guess. WB films this year, Tomb $57 vs $80 ....+40% RPO $137 vs $220 ... +60% Rampage $99 vs $156 ... +57% Meg $110 vs $105 ... -5% (using ~2.5x dom multi and ~2x China) Looks much better now but still an anomaly: Meg $170 vs $135 ... +26% I hope it keeps on legging it in China for +40% (like Tomb Raider) over the expected dom ($135) and does close to $190. edit: Also worth keeping in mind that TR dom under-performed a lot and Rampage was no great shakes dom (even though it did well) so that made it a little easier for China to show a big increase from dom. Meg is over-performing dom a lot and that makes it tougher for China to post a big increase in comparision. Edited August 21, 2018 by a2k 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted August 21, 2018 Share Posted August 21, 2018 1 hour ago, a2k said: If Meg does $170 (1160-1165) in China and close to $135 Dom, then that's around +25% difference between the two markets. Had posted this a few days back: Looks much better now but still an anomaly: Meg $170 vs $135 ... +26% I hope it keeps on legging it in China for +40% (like Tomb Raider) over the expected dom ($135) and does close to $190. edit: Also worth keeping in mind that TR dom under-performed a lot and Rampage was no great shakes dom (even though it did well) so that made it a little easier for China to show a big increase from dom. Meg is over-performing dom a lot and that makes it tougher for China to post a big increase in comparision. I wish that IW would have followed the WB trend of this year, that 1B would have looked nice 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted August 22, 2018 Share Posted August 22, 2018 16 hours ago, Awesomer said: No guesses on Ant-Man and the Wasp? What are presales like? There exists a separate thread where presales are tracked. Here it is 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZeeSoh Posted August 22, 2018 Share Posted August 22, 2018 Ant Man currently sits at a 7.5 rating in Douban. Its still early and and a lot of votes will come but here is where it stands right now amongst other SH movies Logan - 8.3 Infinity War - 8.2 Guardians 2 - 8.0 Ant Man 1 - 7.6 Ant Man 2 - 7.5 Thor 3 - 7.4 SMH - 7.3 Wonder Woman - 7.1 Justice League - 6.5 Black Panther - 6.4 Douban ratings does not necessarily correlate to legs. Size of opening, Maoyan ratings and competition is far more important for that imo. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted August 22, 2018 Share Posted August 22, 2018 Good news for AM2's PS a 45% + jump happpening today. Better jump than BP. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted August 22, 2018 Author Share Posted August 22, 2018 AM2 did a screening today. Early word is its WOM will be very good. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MrFanaticGuy34 Posted August 22, 2018 Share Posted August 22, 2018 2 minutes ago, firedeep said: AM2 did a screening today. Early word is its WOM will be very good. Cool. I just hope it increases in China enough so it can hit over $600M+ WW. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HouseOfTheSun Posted August 22, 2018 Share Posted August 22, 2018 1 hour ago, pepsa said: Good news for AM2's PS a 45% + jump happpening today. Better jump than BP. Hoping for 70m OW Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted August 22, 2018 Share Posted August 22, 2018 reactions from Shenzhen’s press screening sound pretty good. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted August 22, 2018 Share Posted August 22, 2018 9 minutes ago, HouseOfTheSun said: Hoping for 70m OW Would need a 480m OW (guessing you were talking in USD) for that, I would love that but I would keep your expectations in check. For a 480m OW it needs something like this: My PS guess: 39m Fri: 140m (3.46 PS multi + MN) Sat: 189m (35% jump) Sun: 145m (23% drop) OW: 474m = $69.2m OW Still don't know if it can get a 3.5 PS multi, probably not I guess. Sat jump might be bigger, sunday drop around 25% seems reasonable. Atm I am thinking of a mid $60m OW. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted August 22, 2018 Share Posted August 22, 2018 (edited) How much is Meg expected to drop this weekend? Considering it did 36 Monday, I hope it can make it to 90-100 weekend: 32 Tue (-10%) 29 Wed (-10%) 24.5 Thu (-15%) 22 Fri (-10%) 33 Sat (+50%) 30 Sun (-10%) = 85 (-60% or so) EDIT: Tue was 33.4. Recalc with bigger Friday drop and bigger Sat bump, 33.4 Tue 30.0 Wed (-10%) 25.5 Thu (-15%) 20.5 Fri (-20%) 33.0 Sat (+60%) 30.0 Sun (-10%) = 83.5 Edited August 22, 2018 by a2k Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeepItU25071906 Posted August 22, 2018 Share Posted August 22, 2018 13 minutes ago, a2k said: How much is Meg expected to drop this weekend? Considering it did 36 Monday, I hope it can make it to 90-100 weekend: 32 Tue (-10%) 33,5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted August 22, 2018 Share Posted August 22, 2018 (edited) 47 minutes ago, a2k said: How much is Meg expected to drop this weekend? Considering it did 36 Monday, I hope it can make it to 90-100 weekend: 32 Tue (-10%) 29 Wed (-10%) 24.5 Thu (-15%) 22 Fri (-10%) 33 Sat (+50%) 30 Sun (-10%) = 85 (-60% or so) Bigger drop on Friday but I guess it will rebound on sat and sun with a bigger sat bump than 50%. Atleast that is what I think. Edited August 22, 2018 by pepsa 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
efialtes76 Posted August 22, 2018 Share Posted August 22, 2018 51 minutes ago, a2k said: How much is Meg expected to drop this weekend? Considering it did 36 Monday, I hope it can make it to 90-100 weekend: 32 Tue (-10%) 29 Wed (-10%) 24.5 Thu (-15%) 22 Fri (-10%) 33 Sat (+50%) 30 Sun (-10%) = 85 (-60% or so) Tuesday was 33.4m. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted August 22, 2018 Share Posted August 22, 2018 I think Meg could drop 70% on 3rd wknd. But $150M-plus lifetime gross is still going to happen. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Awesomer Posted August 22, 2018 Share Posted August 22, 2018 7 hours ago, ZeeSoh said: There exists a separate thread where presales are tracked. Here it is Thanks ZeeSoh. Haven't been on the site in a while and I remember presales always being talked about in this thread as well. It makes sense that a new thread was made for that purpose. Will check it out. Thanks again. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Awesomer Posted August 22, 2018 Share Posted August 22, 2018 4 hours ago, MrFanaticGuy34 said: Cool. I just hope it increases in China enough so it can hit over $600M+ WW. I suspect it would only need $110m at most. The rest of the world still has enough left to push the total - China to $490m+. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted August 23, 2018 Share Posted August 23, 2018 Thursday Estimates The Meg 27.2M/934m, -12.6%The Island 24.4M/1236m, -11.5%Go Brother! 20.65M/217.7M, -11% Ant-man 2 10.2M MN (SMH -9.9M)Hotel Transylvania 3 9.1M/158.3m, -7.5%Hello Mr. Billionaire 8.0M/2490M ,-3% 6 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...