China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26

[POTUS 2020]

43 minutes ago, TigerPaw said:

True, presales or OD under-performing doesn't affect animations as much as Live Action movies in general, however in the case of KFP3.. the 2nd weekend will be extremely scary in terms of screencounts. WOM may be good but if there are not enough showtimes or screens, nothing can save it... hopefully it opens big this weekend.

There aren't any large openers next weekend. They open on monday the 8th.

[jiangsen]

Thursday Estimates

Star Wars TFA: 8.6M/788M

Alvin & Chipmunks 4: 7.25M/22.05M

The Walk: 6.18M/73.35M

Boonie Bears: 5.88M/245M

Last Witch Hunter: 5.05M/160M

Detective Chinatown: 5M/799M

 

No reports on Panda's midnight screenings across all realtime BO platforms....weird. 

 

Tomorrow's screen %

Panda 49.1% (Record for animation on opening day)

Lost in the Pacific 16.4%

Star Wars 4.6%

 

[Olive]

Movies which had previews don't have big midnights and animated movies are always weak in midnights.

[TigerPaw]

30 minutes ago, No Prisoners said:

There aren't any large openers next weekend. They open on monday the 8th.

Oh ya, phew. I kept forgetting! Panda will have additional 3 days to grab some cash before the 3 CNY movies dominate the spring holidays, hopefully KFP performs well enough to warrant at least 10 - 15% showtimes on 8th Feb... or else it is going to be painful.

 

 

5 minutes ago, jiangsen said:

Thursday Estimates

Star Wars TFA: 8.6M/788M

Alvin & Chipmunks 4: 7.25M/22.05M

The Walk: 6.18M/73.35M

Boonie Bears: 5.88M/245M

Last Witch Hunter: 5.05M/160M

Detective Chinatown: 5M/799M

 

No reports on Panda's midnight screenings across all realtime BO platforms....weird. 

 

Tomorrow's screen %

Panda 49.1% (Record for animation on opening day)

Lost in the Pacific 16.4%

Star Wars 4.6%

 

Looks like SW:FTA might not reach 800m yuan. 4.6% showtimes.... 
Alvin and Chipmunks is a goner, it literally only had 3 days to earn.

[bangbingchan]

36 minutes ago, No Prisoners said:

There aren't any large openers next weekend. They open on monday the 8th.

Most cinemas will open half a day on next sunday and some cinemas will close on new year eve.

Edited January 28, 2016 by bangbingchan

[jiangsen]

37 minutes ago, No Prisoners said:

There aren't any large openers next weekend. They open on monday the 8th.

Families will be home together celebrating CNY and watching the CCTV Gala on Sunday Feb 7th, likely to be the weakest BO day of the year. KFP3 will only have Friday and Saturday next weekend. 

Edited January 28, 2016 by jiangsen

[efialtes76]

13 minutes ago, jiangsen said:

Thursday Estimates

Star Wars TFA: 8.6M/788M

Alvin & Chipmunks 4: 7.25M/22.05M

The Walk: 6.18M/73.35M

Boonie Bears: 5.88M/245M

Last Witch Hunter: 5.05M/160M

Detective Chinatown: 5M/799M

 

No reports on Panda's midnight screenings across all realtime BO platforms....weird. 

 

Tomorrow's screen %

Panda 49.1% (Record for animation on opening day)

Lost in the Pacific 16.4%

Star Wars 4.6%

 

KFP3(Maoyan)

Midnights::1.1m yuan(0.6% screens)

Friday:37.2m(48.1%)

Saturday:12.47m(58.2%)

Sunday:6.05m(64.5%)

Edited January 28, 2016 by efialtes76

[POTUS 2020]

TMK						BH6					KFP3
Day	Yuan	Daily % +/-	Last Week	Tot Yuan	$Tot	Yuan	Daily % +/-	Last Week	Tot Yuan	$Tot	Yuan	Daily % +/-	Last Week	Tot Yuan	$Tot
Fri	18			18	3						85			85	13
Sat	29	58%		47	8	37			37	6
Sun	40	40%		87	14	48	30%		85	14
Mon	40	0%		127	20	16	-67%		101	16
Tue	58	45%		185	30	17	6%		118	19
Wed	66	14%		251	40	19	12%		137	22
Thu	49	-26%		300	48	20	5%		157	25
Fri	37	-24%	106%	337	54	20	0%		177	29
Sat	62	68%	118%	399	64	49	145%	32%	226	36
Sun	62	0%	55%	461	74	46	-6%	-4%	272	44
Mon	30.0	-52%	-25%	491	79	12.8	-72%	-20%	285	46
Tue	28.0	-7%	-52%	519	84	13.4	5%	-21%	298	48
Wed	25.2	-10%	-62%	544	88	12.4	-7%	-35%	311	50
Thu	21.0	-17%	-57%	565	91	11.4	-8%	-43%	322	52
Fri	38.0	81%	3%	603	97	17.5	54%	-13%	340	55
Sat	38.9	2%	-37%	642	103	41.5	137%	-15%	381	61
Sun	17.0	-56%	-73%	659	106	33.3	-20%	-28%	414	67
Mon	16.6	-2%	-45%	675	109	8.3	-75%	-35%	423	68
Tue	15.0	-10%	-46%	690	111	8.1	-2%	-40%	431	69
Wed	9.5	-37%	-62%	700	113	7.4	-9%	-40%	438	71
Thu	9.7	2%	-54%	709	114	6.7	-9%	-41%	445	72
				950	152				520	84				???	???
				XR	6.25				XR	6.2				XR	6.58

Presale at 37m and still climbing, that ensures at least 85m now.

BH6 was the second largest toon behind KFP2(4 years later) until TMK last summer.

I'm not saying KFP3 will bump next weekend, but with CNY to follow the weekend(boosting the weekend) and with animation/family movies generally having better holds, it could have a very tight hold, better than -25%.

 

[peludo]

According what you are saying, it seems pointless, but for the record: KFP3 has grossed $200k with midnights

 

http://english.entgroup.cn/boxoffice/cn/daily/?date=01 /28 /2016

Edited January 28, 2016 by peludo

[Dementeleus]

So are you guys still thinking US$300m+ for KFP3?

[efialtes76]

25 minutes ago, Telemachos said:

So are you guys still thinking US$300m+ for KFP3?

No way.

[druv10]

46 minutes ago, Telemachos said:

So are you guys still thinking US$300m+ for KFP3?

We won't know until the 2nd weekend hold. Animation with great WOM can have tremendous holds from OW and CNY to follow, it could happen but right now, it looks tough.

[Olive]

46 minutes ago, Telemachos said:

So are you guys still thinking US$300m+ for KFP3?

Even 200M is not locked...

It seems that animated sequels don't increase like live-actions movies, and general audience in China still have prejudice against animated movies.

[WrathOfHan]

Jesus that's low 

[Ash Skywalker]

Just now, WrathOfHan said:

Jesus that's low 

You talking about $200M Total or Midnights Han?

[WrathOfHan]

5 minutes ago, Ash Skywalker said:

You talking about $200M Total or Midnights Han?

Midnights. Less than 200M is a bit disappointing too but still decent all things considered.

Edited January 28, 2016 by WrathOfHan

[Ash Skywalker]

3 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Midnights. Less than 200M is a bit disappointing too but still decent all things considered.

Ya but Olive already explained about that. It's good
I'm expecting a very good run for Panda, let's see how it goes. But the only problem is that i will get to see this on APRIL 1st week, now that's disappointing as *uck 

[terrestrial]

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[POTUS 2020]

2 hours ago, WrathOfHan said:

Midnights. Less than 200M is a bit disappointing too but still decent all things considered.

$150m  is the all time animated record. Above that can't really be a disappointment.  Just the way toons play there.  Our expectations are based on the performance of KFP2 and market growth. TMK  had huge WOM to get to $150m beating KFP2s 4 year old record  by 50%

 

Presales stalled at 40m. 90-100m expected OD.

Will have to wait until Tuesday and Wednesday hold to see where it's going.

[POTUS 2020]

5 hours ago, TigerPaw said:

Looks like SW:FTA might not reach 800m yuan. 4.6% showtimes.... 
Alvin and Chipmunks is a goner, it literally only had 3 days to earn.

Has 1m in presales, will do close to 4m today, 15m for the weekend. Will clear 810m.