China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26

[TigerPaw]

50 minutes ago, a2knet said:

 

If KFP3 is at 930m by the end of Sunday, it will need about 8-9 days more after that to hit 1b.

How long can it stay in the market...Is there a fixed amount weeks a hollywood movie can run?

It is consider a "local/co produced" film in this case so its run can be longer than the traditional 4 weeks. But March 4th Zootopia will be its biggest competitor.. exactly the same genre.

[POTUS 2020]

2 hours ago, a2knet said:

 

If KFP3 is at 930m by the end of Sunday, it will need about 8-9 days more after that to hit 1b.

How long can it stay in the market...Is there a fixed amount weeks a hollywood movie can run?

It will have 9 days til zootopia after this sunday. May drop to 4m next Monday and do 7m the following sat sun. Could be 30m short when ZT opens. Could leg out. No time limit on this.

[a2k]

1 hour ago, TigerPaw said:

It is consider a "local/co produced" film in this case so its run can be longer than the traditional 4 weeks. But March 4th Zootopia will be its biggest competitor.. exactly the same genre.

 

Oh wow. Yes Zootopia will seriously dent KFP's chances of hitting 1b.

[a2k]

10 minutes ago, No Prisoners said:

It will have 9 days til zootopia after this sunday. May drop to 4m next Monday and do 7m the following sat sun. Could be 30m short when ZT opens. Could leg out. No time limit on this.

 

Ok. I thought it would do ~8m next Monday cause it's Monday to Monday drop this time hasn't been that bad.

Yeah with ~4m weekdays next week, 1b looks bleaker.

Edited February 16, 2016 by a2knet

[efialtes76]

Maoyan 6:00pm

 

Mermaid:108.25M

TMK2:32.31M

Macau 3:25.76M

KFP3:13.37M

[POTUS 2020]

21 hours ago, a2knet said:

 

Ok. I thought it would do ~8m next Monday cause it's Monday to Monday drop this time hasn't been that bad.

Yeah with ~4m weekdays next week, 1b looks bleaker.

Just remembered someone saying school is out until Mar 1. 7-8m days possible next week, could be above 10m still. Gets it close. 

Edited February 17, 2016 by No Prisoners

[Olive]

1 hour ago, No Prisoners said:

Just remembered someone saying school is out until Mar 1. 7-8m days possible next week. Gets it close. 

School begins next Tuesday.

[efialtes76]

Maoyan 20:00pm

 

Mermaid:134.54M

TMK2:41.28M

Macau 3:33.6M

KFP3:14.81M

[efialtes76]

Maoyan 21:30pm

 

Mermaid:144.29M

TMK2:43.95M

Macau 3:37.03M

KFP3:14.91M

[Fake]

It seems Monday was a bit inflated for some reason, and Tuesday is at the "normal" level, i.e. what I projected based on last year trends.

 

Still 3.29B ($500M) should happen, but 3.5B seems the high-end.

[Olive]

Tuesday est

Mermaid 148M, 2128M

TMK2 46.3M, 863M

Macau3 39.8M, 871M

KFP3 14.5M, 864M

[POTUS 2020]

26 minutes ago, Fake said:

It seems Monday was a bit inflated for some reason, and Tuesday is at the "normal" level, i.e. what I projected based on last year trends.

 

Still 3.29B ($500M) should happen, but 3.5B seems the high-end.

15% drop happened last year. May drop 10-15% thru Friday, then hold flat/bump small sat/sun. 

Panda will hold better due to small show count.

[efialtes76]

25 minutes ago, Olive Skywalker said:

Tuesday est

Mermaid 148M, 2128M

TMK2 46.3M, 863M

Macau3 39.8M, 871M

KFP3 14.5M, 864M

With those great holds for KFP3 my anger with DW increases and increases...

[TigerPaw]

1 hour ago, Olive Skywalker said:

Tuesday est

Mermaid 148M, 2128M

TMK2 46.3M, 863M

Macau3 39.8M, 871M

KFP3 14.5M, 864M

Almost every film has taken over Panda, it will end up the lowests of the "CNY" movies just because of its release date. It could have been the 1st runner up....

Edited February 16, 2016 by TigerPaw

[efialtes76]

Presales(00:00am)

 

Mermaid:17.06M

TMK2:5.16M

Macau 3:3.96M

KFP3:2.40M

[Omario]

WTF those MK2 numbers. Had no idea about it. Shocking number

[seduh]

Mermaid is really huge, it will became China's biggest movie in 2 or 3 days. Amazing

[POTUS 2020]

15 hours ago, TigerPaw said:

Almost every film has taken over Panda, it will end up the lowests of the "CNY" movies just because of its release date. It could have been the 1st runner up....

Panda mite beat M3 this sat or sun and will hold better next week. I think it beats M3s total and won't be far behind TMK2.

With TMK2 as direct competition and I assume with 20% screens, it would have opened at 120m on CNY and would've had a similar pattern to TMK2 which would be at a lower total right now. They could both be at 700-800 today. I don't think the difference would be more than 10%. You have to remember, there were 3 more movies tentatively on the schedule when they made this decision. 

 

Pre-sales were down another 15% early this morning. Same pattern. MM and TMK2 will hold -15% or better. M3 closer to -20%. Panda close to flat

Edited February 17, 2016 by No Prisoners

[POTUS 2020]

6pm

MM - 18%

TMK2 -15%

M3 -16%

KFP - 12%

Edited February 17, 2016 by No Prisoners

[PPZVGOS]

My Bold Prediction for the future of the global box-office:

 

There will be a $1bln grosser in a single market in China before North America.