China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26

[peludo]

54 minutes ago, Jim Shorts said:

From Variety

 

Stephen Chow’s “The Mermaid” on Saturday became the first film ever to score more than half a billion dollars at the Chinese box office.

The film grossed $8.18 million on Saturday and ended the day with $502.9 million (RMB3.30 billion) according to data from Ent Group. It has achieved that score in 27 days of release since its outing on the first day of the Chinese New Year (aka Lunar New Year) holidays on Feb. 9.

Fastest to $500m in a single market:

 

1. Star Wars VII: 10 days (USA)

2. Jurassic World: 17 days (USA)

3. The Avengers: 23 days (USA)

4. The Mermaid: 27 days (China)

5. Avatar: 32 days (USA)

6. The Dark Knight: 45 days (USA)

Edited March 6, 2016 by peludo

[POTUS 2020]

They applied 6.5 which happened to land there just on friday. It's 28 days, period.

 

[A Marvel Fanboy]

CBO, Super Legs (since 2010)
Title	OD (M/RMB)	Total (M/RMB)	Total/OD Multiplier	Highest Douban Score	Final Douban Score	Year
Avatar	36.0	1339.9	37.2	9.5	8.6	2010
Inception	16.5	475.0	28.8	9.5	9.2	2010
Rio	8.6	139.8	16.3	8.9	8.3	2011
Love is Not Blind	17.3	320.7	18.5	8.4	7.4	2011
Life of Pi	12.0	573.0	47.8	9.2	9.0	2012
Lost in Thailand	39.9	1267.9	31.8	8.6	7.5	2012
CZ12	44.0	881.0	20.0	7.2	6.7	2012
Finding Mr. Right	10.3	519.1	50.4	8.2	7.5	2013
The Croods	20.0	495.0	24.8	9.3	8.8	2013
American Dream in China	24.7	537.7	21.8	8.1	7.7	2013
The Man from Macau	26.5	524.7	19.8	6.3	5.8	2014
Intersteller	35.2	753.6	21.4	9.4	9.1	2014
The Taking of Tiger Mountain	17.1	884.2	51.7	8.0	7.7	2014
Wolf Totem	33.0	699.0	21.2	7.6	7.0	2015
The Moneky King: Hero is Back	18.0	956.4	53.1	8.8	8.3	2015
Goodbye Mr Loser	23.3	1441.4	61.9	8.5	7.5	2015
Mr Six	59.7	902.4	15.1	8.9	8.2	2015
Zootopia	22.9	?	?	9.6	9+	2016
Films with 15+ multiplier over wide OD (opening midnight included)
Zootopia will reach 1.1B with Life of Pi multiplier

[A Marvel Fanboy]

ZOO Sunday looks to be 70m+, maybe close to 75m. Monday should easily be 20m+. maybe 25m+ with discounted tickets for Women's Day. This Friday could be its lowest day in its first 10 days. It will cross 500m in 14 days. What is more interesting, can ZOO score its highest single day with 100m+ next Saturday.

 

March will def reach 4B. Last Mar was only 2.85B.

[Fake]

So which movie will finish higher in the end? IM3 or Zootopia? Any guesses?

[druv10]

Sunday estimates

 

IP3 121M 468M

Zootopia 72.3M 155M

Mermaid 22.2M 3294M

KFP3 985M

[Olive]

inside out lifetime gross 97.2M yuan, poor Pixar

[A Marvel Fanboy]

China Box Office Week 9 (2.29-3.6), 2016
Rank	Title	Distributor	Gross (RMB/M)	Gross ($/M)	Change	Total (RMB/M)	Total ($/M)	Days
1	Ip Man 3 (3D) 叶问3	Da Yinmu	¥468.0	$71.45	NEW	¥468.0	$71.45	3
2	Zootopia (3D) 疯狂动物城	CFGC	¥155.0	$23.66	NEW	¥155.0	$23.66	3
3	Mermaid (3D) 美人鱼	Union Pictures	¥146.0	$22.29	-64%	¥3,294.0	$502.90	28
4	The Monkey King 2  (3D) 西游记之孙悟空三打白骨精	Anshi Yingna	¥35.0	$5.34	-72%	¥1,192.0	$181.98	28
5	The Man from Macau 3  (3D) 澳门风云3	Bona	¥25.0	$3.82	-70%	¥1,114.0	$170.08	28
6	Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon II – The Green Destiny  (3D) 卧虎藏龙2	Wu Zhou	¥20.0	$3.05	-80%	¥255.0	$38.93	17
7	The November Man 谍影特工	Huaxia	¥16.0	$2.44	NEW	¥16.0	$2.44	3
8	The 33 地心营救	CFGC	¥14.0	$2.14	NEW	¥14.0	$2.14	3
9	Mr Highheel 高跟鞋先生	LeVP	¥12.0	$1.83	-63%	¥128.0	$19.54	22
10	Left Behind 末日迷踪	CFGC	¥11.5	$1.76	-52%	¥35.5	$5.42	10
…
Weekly Total			¥937.0	$143.05	+3.3%

China Box Office Week 10 (3.7-3.13), 2016 Top 5 Prediction
Rank	Title	Distributor	Gross (RMB/M)	Gross ($/M)	Change	Total (RMB/M)	Total ($/M)	Days
1	Zootopia (3D) 疯狂动物城	CFGC	¥350.0	$53.44	+125%	¥505.0	$77.10	10
2	Ip Man 3 (3D) 叶问3	Da Yinmu	¥340.0	$51.91	-27%	¥808.0	$123.36	10
3	Gods of Egypt (3D) 神战：权力之眼	LeVP	¥220.0	$33.59	NEW	¥220.0	$33.59	3
4	Mermaid (3D) 美人鱼	Union Pictures	¥58.0	$8.85	-60%	¥3,352.0	$511.76	35
5	The November Man 谍影特工	Huxia	¥15.0	$2.29	-6%	¥31.0	$4.73	10

 

 

The fudge on IPM3 is screwing up everything ... pathetic behavior by Shi Jianxiang ...

Edited March 6, 2016 by firedeep

[AlexBennettCai]

Chinese theatres will be dominated by hollywood movies from March to June

[A Marvel Fanboy]

db

Edited March 6, 2016 by firedeep

[TigerPaw]

11 minutes ago, AlexBennettCai said:

Chinese theatres will be dominated by hollywood movies from March to June

What Hollywood movies are confirmed to be in April? London has Fallen, Jungle Book both have not officially set a date according to Douban, Maoyan and Gewara, nothing much in April...

[A Marvel Fanboy]

34 minutes ago, AlexBennettCai said:

Chinese theatres will be dominated by hollywood movies from March to June

In Jan and Feb, the box office share of imports dropped to just 13.3%.... For Mar to June, I would say it will be more like a 50%:50% (60%:40% at the most) between imports and locals. For the whole year, imports share could drop to 30%, another all-time low.

21 minutes ago, TigerPaw said:

What Hollywood movies are confirmed to be in April? London has Fallen, Jungle Book both have not officially set a date according to Douban, Maoyan and Gewara, nothing much in April...

3/11	Gods of Egypt	神战·权力之眼
3/18	Eddie the Eagle	飞鹰艾迪
3/18	The Revenant	荒野猎人
3/25	Batman v. Superman: Dawn of Justice	蝙蝠侠大战超人
4/1	Chongqing Hot Po	火锅英雄
4/1	The Bodyguard	我的特工爷爷
4/1	Who Sleeps My Bro	睡在我上铺的兄弟
4/8	London Has Fallen	伦敦陷落
4/15	The Jungle Book	奇幻森林
4/22	Criminal	世纪罪犯
4/22	Yesterday Once More	谁的青春不迷茫
4/29	Finding Mr Right 2	北京遇上西雅图2
4/29	Miss Partner	梦想合伙人
4/29	Sweet Sixteen	夏有乔木 雅望天堂

 

major release schedule through May holiday. Douban updates late.

Edited March 6, 2016 by firedeep

[bangbingchan]

1 hour ago, Olive said:

inside out lifetime gross 97.2M yuan, poor Pixar

MU is still 1#Pixar animation in China.only 200M.Good luck to Dory

 

[bangbingchan]

1 hour ago, Fake said:

So which movie will finish higher in the end? IM3 or Zootopia? Any guesses?

Of course Zoo.

Everyone knows what happen to IM3.Shi jianxiang ruins everything.

[A Marvel Fanboy]

Sun-Mon drop for animations in Spring and Fall in general is 80%. But ZOO Monday could drop only 60% or so. The power of great WOM. ZOO is officially the best reviewed imported release in China since Interstellar.

[TigerPaw]

34 minutes ago, firedeep said:

In Jan and Feb, the box office share of imports dropped to just 13.3%.... For Mar to June, I would say it will be more like a 50%:50% (60%:40% at the most) between imports and locals. For the whole year, imports share could drop to 30%, another all-time low.

3/11	Gods of Egypt	神战·权力之眼
3/18	Eddie the Eagle	飞鹰艾迪
3/18	The Revenant	荒野猎人
3/25	Batman v. Superman: Dawn of Justice	蝙蝠侠大战超人
4/1	Chongqing Hot Po	火锅英雄
4/1	The Bodyguard	我的特工爷爷
4/1	Who Sleeps My Bro	睡在我上铺的兄弟
4/8	London Has Fallen	伦敦陷落
4/15	The Jungle Book	奇幻森林
4/22	Criminal	世纪罪犯
4/22	Yesterday Once More	谁的青春不迷茫
4/29	Finding Mr Right 2	北京遇上西雅图2
4/29	Miss Partner	梦想合伙人
4/29	Sweet Sixteen	夏有乔木 雅望天堂

 

major release schedule through May holiday. Douban updates late.

Wow, thanks! Are these confirmed? Because i tried Googling and even search on Weibo, I haven't seen an announcement like that of Revenant or Gods of Egypt. No "Ding Dang" (Confirmed Release Date News)
But if these dates are confirmed, then April is so much more exciting than March!

[A Marvel Fanboy]

43 minutes ago, TigerPaw said:

Wow, thanks! Are these confirmed? Because i tried Googling and even search on Weibo, I haven't seen an announcement like that of Revenant or Gods of Egypt. No "Ding Dang" (Confirmed Release Date News)
But if these dates are confirmed, then April is so much more exciting than March!

pretty much all confirmed.

 

Why do you think Apr is more interesting than Mar ? It's pretty weak between Apr 8 and Apr 29 IMO.

[TigerPaw]

21 minutes ago, firedeep said:

pretty much all confirmed.

 

Why do you think Apr is more interesting than Mar ? It's pretty weak between Apr 8 and Apr 29 IMO.

Just by judging on Paper.
Between March 4th to March 25th.  Just looking at the big release.
Ip Man 3 (March 4th) and Revenant (March 18th) are both highly acclaimed in terms of awards, Ip Man 3's 8 nominations in HK film awards and of course Revenant's Oscar Best Actor win, but both are plagued by piracy. Ip Man 3 have been seen many Chinese audiences online to be honest, and Revenant's download apparently increased tremendously after Leonardo Dicarpio won the best oscar. So 2 big releases plagued by Piracy, piracy will kill their legs. 
What I feel about Revenant is that, it will bore the Chinese audiences. I think okay douban score but low Gewara or Maoyan scores.. It already opened in Singapore during CNY weekend but didn't do well at all.

Next we have Gods of Egypt (March 11th), which is not doing well in most Asian countries other than HK where it beats London has Fallen... weird. But WOM is already terrible everywhere, rotten tomatoes, US Box office flop.. I am thinking at most 300m Yuan for this.

We do have a wild card which is Zootopia, but the only thing lacking is that it is an animated film, so on paper it doesn't look attractive and many predicted a small opening but good legs, therefore it wouldn't have the "big splash" effect of record breaking daily Box office, but will consistently perform and reach a good overall gross.

So in this sense, on paper in March, we have 2 releases plagued by piracy despite huge fan bases and online activity. Then we have a bad WOM Hollywood flick. Lastly, an animation which will have strong legs. In that sense, every weekend is pretty predictable, for both showtimes and grosses.

Of course BvS is great on March 25th, but why is April interesting is because I am looking at it in terms of box office competition. % of Showtimes, Daily gross during the weekend...  BvS I will look at it for the Qingming weekend where the fight between 4 big films will occur, and then later in April London has Fallen and Jungle book has so much more commercial appeal than Gods of Egypt and Revenant to be honest.

 I think Jungle book will do extremely well, its has that "Life of Pi" appeal! (If Jungle Book opens on Apr 22nd instead, it will be more fun, 5-1 Labour Day competition). =)

[Arlo245]

Awesome start for Zootopia! $100 million USD is very likely! 

[seduh]

Great Opening for IPMan3 and Zootopia. Zootopia could have great legs and reach $100, it will be amazing