China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26

[POTUS 2020]

GOE going to beat domestic OD/OW

ZOO going to beat domestic second weekend.

ZOO pre-sales already double for tomorrow. 150m+ likely. 350m+ weekend

 

[Gavin Feng]

1 hour ago, peludo said:

Wow. That would mean 830m OW, more or less what I am expecting for BvS total 

 

Mermaid, Zootopia, maybe CW... China BO seems to be on fire again.

 

By the way, what is the biggest 3-day OW ever?

The biggest 3-day OW is ￥680M by Lost in Hong Kong last year.Transformer 4 earned ￥619M 3-day OW.

[druv10]

17 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said:

The biggest 3-dafOW is ￥680M by Lost in Hong Kong last year.Transformer 4 earned ￥619M 3-day OW.

So it really would be shattering the old record, if Firedeep's prediction comes true.

[MinaTakla]

Why did ZOO achieve all that huge success in China? Am very curious..Why didn't KFP, Minions or any other animated film make as much here?

Such a fascinating and shocking success story.

[EVANGELyang]

19 hours ago, bangbingchan said:

OD remain the lowest

It will be very likely that OD remains lowest until the Monday after next.

[druv10]

3 minutes ago, MinaTakla said:

Why did ZOO achieve all that huge success in China? Am very curious..Why didn't KFP, Minions or any other animated film make as much here?

Such a fascinating and shocking success story.

Zooptopia WOM is through the roof. I have never seen such high scores and these scores have gone up. Maoyan at 9.6, Gewara at 9.5 and Douban 9.5. KFP3 with a really bad release date and Minions just wasn't as liked as other two.

[Gavin Feng]

3 minutes ago, druv10 said:

So it really would be shattering the old record, if Firedeep's prediction comes true.

Yeah,maybe it would beat the record of HLW opening week which is ￥958M by TA2,but I still wanna give a conservative estimate(35M-45M-40M)

[POTUS 2020]

On Tuesday, March 08, 2016 at 5:35 PM, firedeep said:

 

First it's a very good film (the story, the animation, the music, the gags, the message ... all good) with super adorable character designs which the audience are always fond of.

 

Box office is the combined result of the movie (quality, story, genre, cast, budget, etc) itself, release time (coming at the right or wrong time), market and competition status and audience feedback (WOM).  While WOM is greatly effected by expectation.

 

The Monkey King might only be a 6/10 grade movie in reality, but people had zero expectation for it (few knew its existence before the release; Chinese local animation is known as something absolutely awful in quality); it wowed the audience and was received as an 9/10 grade movie.

 

KFP3 was always expected as an at least 8/10 movie with DWA quality. It turned out to be 8/10 so normally it should have a normal run, doing a normal 1.5B or so. But it was killed by its release date, falling before 1B.

 

Few Chinese audience knew of ZOO before its opening weekend. But once the beast is released, its 9/10 quality quickly wowed the audience, and is being received by many as a nearly 10/10 movie.

 

The same theory also applies to other sleep hits at CBO such as Life of Pi, Goodbye Mr Loser, Lost in Thailand.

 

Jiang Wen's Gone With the Bullets was vastly hyped with a similar tone and similar quality to its predecessor Let the Bullets Fly but in fact, it's not such a case. It disappointed the audience by being something opposite to their expectation. As a result, audience rejected it in double force, leading to its total collapse at the box office.

 

The distributors and marketers on Mermaid, on the other hand, know how to manage pre-release expectation. Because it's a Stephen Chow movie so people had high hopes for it. But the trailers was lukewarmly received. So they decided to not do any pre-relase screening at all. So everyone was speculating "Mermaid was troubled in quality". But once released, it turned out to be decent. Thus, it avoided disappointing majority of the audience. the family appeal and eco-message also helped with its box office legs.

 

Expectation apart, being a talking animal feature also helped ZOO. it seems most Chinese audience perfer this type of Hollywood animation to others. The best sold HLW animation franchises are all about talking animals: KFP, Ice Age and Madagascar, and now ZOO (if it gets a sequel). 

 

 

 

 

 

10 minutes ago, MinaTakla said:

Why did ZOO achieve all that huge success in China? Am very curious..Why didn't KFP, Minions or any other animated film make as much here?

Such a fascinating and shocking success story.

 

[Gavin Feng]

9 minutes ago, MinaTakla said:

Why did ZOO achieve all that huge success in China? Am very curious..Why didn't KFP, Minions or any other animated film make as much here?

Such a fascinating and shocking success story.

Kung Fu Panda 3 and Minions were killed by date.Zoo doesn’t have a good one but it earns a perfect public praise in auidence just like Interstellar did.

[druv10]

4 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said:

Yeah,maybe it would beat the record of HLW opening week which is ￥958M by TA2,but I still wanna give a conservative estimate(35M-45M-40M)

Even your predicting $120M OW, which would be 780M+ almost at Firedeep level.

[Gavin Feng]

3 minutes ago, druv10 said:

Even your predicting $120M OW, which would be 780M+ almost at Firedeep level.

Both he and I can not imagine CA3 won’t achieve this level

[Olive]

Friday est:

Zootopia 71.5M/418M

GOE 40.9M OD

IPM324.54m/667M

Mermaid 5.4M/3342M

[TalismanRing]

Amazing run for Zoo.  It opened to only about $3.5m Friday right?

[Olive]

53 minutes ago, druv10 said:

So it really would be shattering the old record, if Firedeep's prediction comes true.

Good luck if it gets a Sunday opening date...

[druv10]

7 minutes ago, Olive said:

Good luck if it gets a Sunday opening date...

I thought May 6th is the release date which is a Friday?

[Olive]

2 minutes ago, druv10 said:

I thought May 6th is the release date which is a Friday?

Not confirmed

[Fake]

IPM3 was 6.6x Zootopia last Friday and now Zootopia is 3x IPM3 this Friday!

 

The ratio has changed by a factor of 20x which is simply crazy!!

 

$200M seems likely for Zootopia now......

[keysersoze123]

Zootopia has had WOM like very few movies in China. So that is why its run is incredible. KFP3 and Minions did not have that kind of WOM.

[Olive]

Zootopia is best reviewed animated movie on Douban.com, besting Wall-E, you may call it over-praised but Chinese love it.

I know many people who have watched it 4-5 times, they seldom do this.

Edited March 11, 2016 by Olive

[TigerPaw]

28 minutes ago, Fake said:

IPM3 was 6.6x Zootopia last Friday and now Zootopia is 3x IPM3 this Friday!

 

The ratio has changed by a factor of 20x which is simply crazy!!

 

It is a combination of various factors, not just that Zootopia is good but Ip Man 3's bluray is out everywhere, people are watching it online and DVDs are selling at almost every departmental store in China.

Props to Zootopia, but Ip Man 3 dropped greatly also because of itself.