China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26

[druv10]

18 minutes ago, Olive said:

Not because they are afraid CA3 breaking records, but CA3 will shorten the local movies' legs, they will make much less.

Didn't that apply with AoU or IM3 which was partially released in May holiday?

[Olive]

8 minutes ago, druv10 said:

Didn't that apply with AoU or IM3 which was partially released in May holiday?

IM3  coproduced

AOU was 10 days away from holiday

[druv10]

9 minutes ago, Olive said:

IM3  coproduced

AOU was 10 days away from holiday

Ok, so how late a release date?

[TalismanRing]

And they dropped AOU on a freaking Tues.

[Olive]

1 minute ago, druv10 said:

Ok, so how late a release date?

We'll know in a few days

[druv10]

38 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

And they dropped AOU on a freaking Tues.

But it had record breaking 6 days. If it had decent WOM, it would have easily cleared 300M instead of 240M. First 6 days accounted for 156M of the 240M, frontloaded as hell.

[POTUS 2020]

15% drop on bvs, standard 

The three new releases don't look like they will combine for more than 70m on friday. 

Thinking

M.    30m

T.     26

W.    22

T.     19

F.     27

S.     50   -65% wow

S.     33.   580m total

650-700m 

 

5% on zoo. Very good hold

[TalismanRing]

That's a pretty big Saturday jump for BvS you're projecting.  Any particular reason why considering last Saturday?

[Olive]

I don't see how BVS increases on Friday after losing 70% showtimes, and Sat bump won't be more than 50% thanks to its WOM.

Sunday drop will be small since Monday is holiday.

Local movie usually have low presales, Bodyguard will easily open to more than 50M yuan, maybe much more.

[druv10]

Olive, zootopia has showtimes on Maoyan for the April 4th, any reason? Extension or a mistake?

[A Marvel Fanboy]

Agreed, Bodyguard alone will open to more than 50m on Friday.  Local movies usually have much lower presales (and midnight).

 

Hotpot is a film that will be driven by WOM.

19 minutes ago, druv10 said:

Olive, zootopia has showtimes on Maoyan for the April 4th, any reason? Extension or a mistake?

It's either misscheduling by the theater or keys expire on Apr 4 instead of Apr 3 in that theaters (this happens quite often).

[druv10]

1 hour ago, firedeep said:

Agreed, Bodyguard alone will open to more than 50m on Friday.  Local movies usually have much lower presales (and midnight).

 

Hotpot is a film that will be driven by WOM.

It's either misscheduling by the theater or keys expire on Apr 4 instead of Apr 3 in that theaters (this happens quite often).

Thanks, so how much is Zootopia losing without extension? 

[TigerPaw]

Any Predictions for the 3 openers' opening weekend?

 

The qingming holiday seems good to launch an action movie, Wolf Warriors last year and My Beloved Bodyguard(title changed) this year.

 

I am pretty shocked by Hotpot Hero's presales, i thought it would dominate... gosh.

[Gavin Feng]

14 minutes ago, druv10 said:

Thanks, so how much is Zootopia losing without extension? 

Not too much I think.Zoo would earn a little every day after the wave in Qingming festival(清明)

[POTUS 2020]

14 hours ago, TalismanRing said:

That's a pretty big Saturday jump for BvS you're projecting.  Any particular reason why considering last Saturday?

Spider and aou both did 40/80 or 50/100 bumps. New releases look like non events

last Saturday was just 20% but that was after OD. Its less just like in Dom. Until recently there haven't been many Friday releases

Edited March 30, 2016 by No Prisoners

[POTUS 2020]

Pre-sales for the top 3 total at just 11m. They might triple by Thursday night. Local OD is usually just 2.25x PS. 70m total 

35m

20m

15m

For the 3 releases

Screens will continue to adjust. The bottom 2 have way to many

 

Zoo will make it to 1.4b

Edited March 30, 2016 by No Prisoners

[POTUS 2020]

On ‎3‎/‎26‎/‎2016 at 1:58 PM, Cynosure said:

 

Well, of course, the market has become 2.5 to 3 times bigger since then.

 

Considering their respective market conditions, it's not actually doing as well as MoS in China.

a lot of the 2.5 to 3 times growth has been in the 3rd and 4th tier cities that prefer local movies. the growth can be seen in their grosses. Not all 10 big HLWD releases of the year are going to do $200m+. Just like in domestic, high expectations for 300m+ for 10 movies, but in 2014 just GotG made it then AS, really in 2015.  The growth for HLWD is slowing as locals continue to explode. You can expect just 3 HLWD to do 200m+ this year, the rest will fall in the 100- 150m range like MI5, Minions, T5, Sw7, BvS Spectre etc

[TigerPaw]

If My Beloved Bodyguard opens wit 50m yuan, it is similar to CTHD2 and Gods of Egypt, and if WOM is similar, 300m yuan might be the ceiling. 
Depends on Hotpot Hero's WOM now...

 

[Olive]

5 hours ago, No Prisoners said:

Pre-sales for the top 3 total at just 11m. They might triple by Thursday night. Local OD is usually just 2.25x PS. 70m total 

35m

20m

15m

For the 3 releases

Screens will continue to adjust. The bottom 2 have way to many

 

Zoo will make it to 1.4b

You think Qingming 2016 will decrease from last year?LOL

[POTUS 2020]

6 minutes ago, Olive said:

You think Qingming 2016 will decrease from last year?LOL

I "see" presales look like shit.

I "think" the girl across the bar needs a drink. Going to buy her one and see what happens