China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26

[Gavin Feng]

SUN
before service fees
Homecoming  -  124.2m / 431.9m
Dunkirk  -  12.5m / 286.8m
The Shape of Voice  -  9.18m / 30.2m
Wolf Warrior 2  -  8.49m / 5,255m
Cars 3  -  2.22m / 126.2m
Valerian  -  1.43m / 379.9m
 
after service fees

Homecoming  -  132m / 458.8m
Dunkirk  -  13.5m / 307.6m
The Shape of Voice  -  10m / 32.9m
Wolf Warrior 2  -  9.05m / 5,624m
Cars 3  -  2.4m / 134.4m
Valerian  -  1.53m / 405.8m

[Olive]

Presales are really low for Monday, 70% drop may not surprise.

[a2k]

$70.8m for SMH. Needs 2.12x for $150m total.

[ZeeSoh]

44 minutes ago, a2knet said:

$70.8m for SMH. Needs 2.12x for $150m total.

I dont think its gonna manage that legs. I think sub 2 legs will happen. It needs 1.83 legs to get to 130 to get to 890 ww and thats gonna be a stretch too looking at its rating and presales for the weekdays. 

[ZeeSoh]

47 minutes ago, a2knet said:

$70.8m for SMH. Needs 2.12x for $150m total.

I dont think its gonna manage that legs. I think sub 2 legs will happen. It needs 1.83 legs to get to 130 to get to 890 ww and thats gonna be a stretch too looking at its rating and presales for the weekdays. 

[a2k]

19 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said:

I dont think its gonna manage that legs. I think sub 2 legs will happen. It needs 1.83 legs to get to 130 to get to 890 ww and thats gonna be a stretch too looking at its rating and presales for the weekdays. 

wow. am a bit surprised. looks like china is getting front-loaded exponentially each year (not that i have tracked it regularly). thought 2x was the norm as long as movie is considered above average by the audience.

[jiangsen]

1 hour ago, a2knet said:

wow. am a bit surprised. looks like china is getting front-loaded exponentially each year (not that i have tracked it regularly). thought 2x was the norm as long as movie is considered above average by the audience.

An 8.1 rating on Maoyan is just average. 

Edited September 10, 2017 by jiangsen

[fmpro]

On 8/9/2017 at 5:57 PM, Michael Seng Wah said:

 

Edited September 11, 2017 by fmpro
I dont know what happend sorry

[fmpro]

Homecoming on track for a 70% monday drop unless evening is really strong

 

My guess is 39 mill monday

[POTUS 2020]

40 minutes ago, fmpro said:

Homecoming on track for a 70% monday drop unless evening is really strong

 

My guess is 39 mill monday

5pm should be the midpoint again with school back in.  42m down the standard  68%

[fmpro]

10 minutes ago, POTUS said:

5pm should be the midpoint again with school back in.  42m down the standard  68%

I hope so 

[POTUS 2020]

13 hours ago, a2knet said:

wow. am a bit surprised. looks like china is getting front-loaded exponentially each year (not that i have tracked it regularly). thought 2x was the norm as long as movie is considered above average by the audience.

Too many seats now on OW. 

In domestic a $150m OW will get 12k screens out of 40k. Spidey had 50% of 44k screens in china.  They rush to see films, <2x will become common. FF8 fell short of 2x and its the biggest HLWD movie at CBO.  Whereas the top 3 grossers of the last 5 years in Domestic SW7 JW and TA were all 3x+, greater than the norm.

SMH could be as low as 1.8, 2 possible.

Apes looking to open at $50m. Not huge but could help cause a 75%+ drop for SMH

[OnlyRajCr]

12 minutes ago, POTUS said:

5pm should be the midpoint again with school back in.  42m down the standard  68%

Spidey fan here. Opened the account just for this. Is this normal drop for SMH? 

[POTUS 2020]

43 minutes ago, OnlyRajCr said:

Spidey fan here. Opened the account just for this. Is this normal drop for SMH? 

65-70% is the norm for this demo. Better than 60% is big WoM spillover. Worse than 70% is tanking on bad WoM.

Welcome to the forum

Edited September 11, 2017 by POTUS

[OnlyRajCr]

37 minutes ago, POTUS said:

65-70% is the norm for this demo. Better than 60% is big WoM spillover. Worse than 70% is tanking on bad WoM.

Welcome to the forum

Thanks. Hopefully SMH reach 140m+.

[Gavin Feng]

MON
before service fees
Homecoming  -  39.1m / 471.9m
Dunkirk  -  4.58m / 291.7m
Wolf Warrior 2  -  3.71m / 5,259m
The Shape of Voice  -  2.44m / 32.7m

Valerian  -  0.63m / 380.5m
 
after service fees

Homecoming  -  41.5m / 501.1m
Dunkirk  -  4.95m / 312.7m
Wolf Warrior 2  -  3.95m / 5,628m
The Shape of Voice  -  2.67m / 35.6m

Valerian  -  0.68m / 406m

[TalismanRing]

5 hours ago, POTUS said:

5pm should be the midpoint again with school back in.  42m down the standard  68%

41 right now - right on target

[scabab]

It's at 44 million according to Cboooo

[AussieinParis23]

50 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said:

MON
before service fees
Homecoming  -  39.1m / 471.9m
Dunkirk  -  4.58m / 291.7m
Wolf Warrior 2  -  3.71m / 5,259m
The Shape of Voice  -  2.44m / 32.7m

Valerian  -  0.63m / 380.5m
 
after service fees

Homecoming  -  41.5m / 501.1m
Dunkirk  -  4.95m / 312.7m
Wolf Warrior 2  -  3.95m / 5,628m
The Shape of Voice  -  2.67m / 35.6m

Valerian  -  0.68m / 406m

Don't think Dunkirk will do better than Valerian. 

[scabab]

Maoyan says 49.4 million and Cbooo says 54.9 million.

 

Entgroup only has it at $6.8 million for Monday though.