a2k Posted November 24, 2019 Share Posted November 24, 2019 18 minutes ago, danhtruong5 said: I mean it needs miracle for 200, but for 150? Or it is go big or go home case? 110 or 200, not in between? 150 needs 2.8x multi too using $53.5 ow. Very tough if not miraculous for China on 9.0 rating (99.5k ratings). Coco was 9.6 if I remember correctly. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PKMLover Posted November 24, 2019 Share Posted November 24, 2019 2 minutes ago, a2k said: 150 needs 2.8x multi too using $53.5 ow. Very tough if not miraculous for China on 9.0 rating (99.5k ratings). Coco was 9.6 if I remember correctly. What about 120-125....? Increase 70-75m from the 1st one, can help balance out one part of the loss due to Japan. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted November 24, 2019 Share Posted November 24, 2019 1 hour ago, a2k said: 150 needs 2.8x multi too using $53.5 ow. Very tough if not miraculous for China on 9.0 rating (99.5k ratings). Coco was 9.6 if I remember correctly. Coco and zoo were new material which needs big WoM to boost the BO F2 has a 6 year fanbase now. RPO had under 9 rating and was able to to 3x OW if i recall correctly.. I just think the 130% bump meant something. Im sticking with $125-150m until tues. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PKMLover Posted November 24, 2019 Share Posted November 24, 2019 18 minutes ago, POTUS 2020 said: Coco and zoo were new material which needs big WoM to boost the BO F2 has a 6 year fanbase now. RPO had under 9 rating and was able to to 3x OW if i recall correctly.. I just think the 130% bump meant something. Im sticking with $125-150m until tues. Tuesday is discount ticket day in China or what? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted November 24, 2019 Share Posted November 24, 2019 (edited) 10 minutes ago, PKMLover said: Tuesday is discount ticket day in China or what? No. Typical weekday demand burn is 15-20%. If tuesday is -5-10% then 2.5-3x OW is likely depending also on future competition and screen loss. Flat or bumped tuesday can lead to 5 to 10x OW which usually happens with smaller openers like Zoo Dangal Coco etc Edited November 24, 2019 by POTUS 2020 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mau Posted November 24, 2019 Share Posted November 24, 2019 Is frozen 2 facing huge competition in china? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted November 24, 2019 Share Posted November 24, 2019 52 minutes ago, Mau said: Is frozen 2 facing huge competition in china? 6 new releases on friday 120 mill total max IMO 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damien Posted November 24, 2019 Share Posted November 24, 2019 2 hours ago, POTUS 2020 said: Coco and zoo were new material which needs big WoM to boost the BO F2 has a 6 year fanbase now. RPO had under 9 rating and was able to to 3x OW if i recall correctly.. I just think the 130% bump meant something. Im sticking with $125-150m until tues. I agree here there is a reason why the movie had a 130% bump on Saturday. I don't think Monday is a holiday, maybe if the movie is big with families that might have led to weaker evenings. Let's see how next weekend goes. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mau Posted November 24, 2019 Share Posted November 24, 2019 Does anyone know what are the most popular WDAS movies in china? Not pnly in terms of box office, but merchandising or popularity over the years? 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted November 24, 2019 Share Posted November 24, 2019 I dont think we get this kind of data. But @Olive or @Gavin Feng can give their perspective. That said F2 OW in China is very impressive. After not so good OD. I think this movie will continue to play strong on sat till sunday evening while having meh numbers during weekdays. Where it ends up depends on how it holds the showcount against new releases. Let us wait and see. But I am not feeling a 3x multi kind of run. Probably closer to 2.1x or so . 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jamiem Posted November 24, 2019 Share Posted November 24, 2019 4 hours ago, Mau said: Does anyone know what are the most popular WDAS movies in china? Not pnly in terms of box office, but merchandising or popularity over the years? Most likely Zootopia, it’s so popular they are making a land at Shanghai Disneyland’s based on the film. Will be the first Zootopia based land at any of the Disney parlance worldwide (and off the top of my head I believe none of the other parks even have a ride based of Zootopia, I could be incorrect here though) Source: https://variety.com/2019/biz/asia/zootopia-land-shanghai-disneyland-1203115032/ 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted November 25, 2019 Author Share Posted November 25, 2019 Jumanji 3 release date now bumped to Dec 6 since SW9 is opening on Dec 20. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UserHN Posted November 25, 2019 Share Posted November 25, 2019 7 minutes ago, A Marvel Fanboy said: Jumanji 3 release date now bumped to Dec 6 since SW9 is opening on Dec 20. Jumanji has nothing to fear from SW9 in China. The last SW flopped hard in the country. But it's a totally different conversation if we're talking US/Canada, where SW9 will be super huge. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted November 25, 2019 Share Posted November 25, 2019 (edited) Seems more likely to be moving from Ip Man than moving from Star Wars 😛 Edited November 25, 2019 by Thanos Legion 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted November 25, 2019 Author Share Posted November 25, 2019 38 minutes ago, UserHN said: Jumanji has nothing to fear from SW9 in China. The last SW flopped hard in the country. But it's a totally different conversation if we're talking US/Canada, where SW9 will be super huge. 29 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said: Seems more likely to be moving from Ip Man than moving from Star Wars 😛 haha probably Jumanji was moved by the Film Administration, not by Sony though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted November 25, 2019 Share Posted November 25, 2019 What is the midpoint for a monday. I am assuming it will be something crazy like 6PM as morning shows would be empty. F2 is just above 9m yuan at this point. I am assuming since there is no holiday it will drop 70% from yesterday for around 40 yuan. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted November 25, 2019 Share Posted November 25, 2019 12 hours ago, keysersoze123 said: I dont think we get this kind of data. But @Olive or @Gavin Feng can give their perspective. That said F2 OW in China is very impressive. After not so good OD. I think this movie will continue to play strong on sat till sunday evening while having meh numbers during weekdays. Where it ends up depends on how it holds the showcount against new releases. Let us wait and see. But I am not feeling a 3x multi kind of run. Probably closer to 2.1x or so . Yeah, 700-800m yuan.IT won't have any holiday boost 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted November 25, 2019 Share Posted November 25, 2019 (edited) 2 hours ago, keysersoze123 said: What is the midpoint for a monday. I am assuming it will be something crazy like 6PM as morning shows would be empty. F2 is just above 9m yuan at this point. I am assuming since there is no holiday it will drop 70% from yesterday for around 40 yuan. Im not an toon expert at all but my guess would be around 4pm Maybe you can check @Jedi Jat s lists for help Edited November 25, 2019 by fmpro 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted November 25, 2019 Share Posted November 25, 2019 1 minute ago, fmpro said: Im not an toon expert at all but my guess would be around 4pm This has very less PS. I would think walkin's after 6PM could double it at the current level. But previously you are right 4-430PM used to be it. Not sure for toons. @POTUS 2020 would know for sure. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted November 25, 2019 Share Posted November 25, 2019 1 hour ago, keysersoze123 said: This has very less PS. I would think walkin's after 6PM could double it at the current level. But previously you are right 4-430PM used to be it. Not sure for toons. @POTUS 2020 would know for sure. I have never seen a first monday midpoint at 6pm. I can`t recall any movie. But if midday is 4pm we are looking at 28 mill monday. Must be a bit later. So around 30-31 mill Monday maybe 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...