Cooper Legion Posted May 15, 2020 Share Posted May 15, 2020 Quote 2020 CNY might be very tough. Well, not wrong, Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted May 15, 2020 Share Posted May 15, 2020 1917 in June. 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jamiem Posted May 30, 2020 Share Posted May 30, 2020 Is a June reopening still looking likely? Getting close to seeing some numbers if it is. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
john2000 Posted June 2, 2020 Share Posted June 2, 2020 @Gavin Feng still looking like mid june ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
john2000 Posted June 6, 2020 Share Posted June 6, 2020 credit @Gavin Feng Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted June 8, 2020 Share Posted June 8, 2020 (edited) @Arendelle Legion asked a version of it, I wonder, where will non-Disney film hit $200mn pure FSS first. China or North America. The current biggest non-Disney FSS is $190mn Jurassic World in NA & 2nd biggest is just $140mn (The Dark Knight iirc) while $173mn Furious 8 in China and 2nd biggest is Wandering Earth $170mn iirc. China I took without ticket booking charges gross. Edited June 8, 2020 by charlie Jatinder Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted June 8, 2020 Share Posted June 8, 2020 (edited) Gotta be China, right? US will take until like 2022/2023, some China local with a Fri release should get it before then even with growth slowed. Edited June 8, 2020 by Arendelle Legion Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lorddemaxus Posted June 8, 2020 Share Posted June 8, 2020 (edited) 13 minutes ago, Arendelle Legion said: US will take until like 2022/2023 I don't see any non-Disney film do it by then tbh. Don't see any confirmed non-Disney movie do it right now. I can only see a potential Harry Potter sequel do it far into the future. Edited June 8, 2020 by lorddemaxus 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted June 8, 2020 Share Posted June 8, 2020 7 minutes ago, lorddemaxus said: I don't see any non-Disney film do it by then tbh. Don't see any confirmed non-Disney movie do it right now. I can only see a potential Harry Potter sequel do it far into the future. Harry Potter 8 did only $125mn and that's sort of peak. It was at that time just 66% of The Avengers, 66% of Infinity War today will be 144mn approx, which will be roughly inflated adjusted. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted June 8, 2020 Share Posted June 8, 2020 (edited) 18 minutes ago, lorddemaxus said: I don't see any non-Disney film do it by then tbh. Don't see any confirmed non-Disney movie do it right now. I can only see a potential Harry Potter sequel do it far into the future. Me neither really, almost put 2022-2024. If I had to pick a single film for it I guess I’d go for Batman sequel. I agree that concrete announced possibilities are a bit murky, but there’s also a background rate of unexpected breakout OWs to consider. At least as long as covid/streaming doesn’t leave a persistent scar. Edited June 8, 2020 by Arendelle Legion 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lorddemaxus Posted June 8, 2020 Share Posted June 8, 2020 (edited) 26 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said: Harry Potter 8 did only $125mn and that's sort of peak. It was at that time just 66% of The Avengers, 66% of Infinity War today will be 144mn approx, which will be roughly inflated adjusted. 66% of Endgame is 196 mil and with 6-10 years of inflation, it should be able to cross 200 mil FSS. I can also see The Batman sequel do it as @Arendelle Legion says. Edited June 8, 2020 by lorddemaxus Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted June 8, 2020 Share Posted June 8, 2020 15 minutes ago, lorddemaxus said: 66% of Endgame is 196 mil and with 6-10 years of inflation, it should be able to cross 200 mil FSS. I can also see The Batman sequel do it as @Arendelle Legion says. Endgame isn't even in picture for any sane comparison. Infinity War is the comparison. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted June 8, 2020 Share Posted June 8, 2020 Eh, I wouldn’t totally exclude Endgame just ‘cause it’s too huge. Using the full 357M is gonna skew stuff a bit, but otoh it’s now crystal clear what I suspected at the time — IW’s record was rather slack. For trying to do historical comparisons with % of OW record, I might average them for ~307. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted June 8, 2020 Share Posted June 8, 2020 27 minutes ago, Arendelle Legion said: Eh, I wouldn’t totally exclude Endgame just ‘cause it’s too huge. Using the full 357M is gonna skew stuff a bit, but otoh it’s now crystal clear what I suspected at the time — IW’s record was rather slack. For trying to do historical comparisons with % of OW record, I might average them for ~307. Ohh it is. Infinity War FSS was no small number. It's just that Endgame is next level. IW FSS was $219mn which was $25mn or 13% bigger than TFA. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
john2000 Posted June 12, 2020 Share Posted June 12, 2020 @Gavin Feng hey when we will know when cinemas will reopen ? june ? july ? you said that the message that theaters need to play movies would be given soon any update on that ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted June 12, 2020 Share Posted June 12, 2020 28 minutes ago, john2000 said: @Gavin Feng hey when we will know when cinemas will reopen ? june ? july ? you said that the message that theaters need to play movies would be given soon any update on that ? no exact word after June reopen almost impossible Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
john2000 Posted June 12, 2020 Share Posted June 12, 2020 (edited) 21 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said: no exact word after June reopen almost impossible so not reopen in june ? ok maybe july idk what they are waiting for though still have you heard when they will announce something officially though ? from the momment that they spoke about cinemas last month, cinemas will probably open in summer Edited June 12, 2020 by john2000 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted June 12, 2020 Share Posted June 12, 2020 1 minute ago, john2000 said: so not reopen in june ? ok maybe july idk what they are waiting for though tiny industry. No person in power care about $9 billion box office. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
john2000 Posted June 12, 2020 Share Posted June 12, 2020 2 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said: tiny industry. No person in power care about $9 billion box office. good point there in your opinion when do you think that they will announce something ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted June 12, 2020 Share Posted June 12, 2020 1 minute ago, john2000 said: good point there in your opinion when do you think that they will announce something ? when president Xi want to go cinema 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...