Issac Newton Posted March 31 Share Posted March 31 Sunday Godzilla x Kong The New Empire - ¥92.00M / ¥317.45M Kung Fu Panda 4 - ¥15.50M / ¥245.46M Viva De Vida - ¥11.60M / ¥158.42M The Pig, the Snake and the Pigeon - ¥6.60M / ¥643.24M Anatomy Of The Fall - ¥3.48M / ¥13.44M ⊃∪∩⪽ Part II - ¥3.14M / ¥334.26M Boonie Bears: Time Twist - ¥2.67M / ¥1,975.54M I Miss You - ¥1.20M / ¥207.84M Article 20 - ¥1.08M / ¥2,447.98M Pegasus 2 - ¥1.05M / ¥3,393.05M 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Issac Newton Posted March 31 Share Posted March 31 The Boy and The Heron OD Forecast ¥70.454M @Maoyan ¥74.491M @Taopiaopiao ¥72.472M / $10M Wednesday 18:00 Start // OD Pre-Sales exceeded ¥20M (incl. EA)!! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarabeesley Posted April 1 Share Posted April 1 15 hours ago, Issac Newton said: The Boy and The Heron OD Forecast ¥70.454M @Maoyan ¥74.491M @Taopiaopiao ¥72.472M / $10M Wednesday 18:00 Start // OD Pre-Sales exceeded ¥20M (incl. EA)!! How much do you think the final gross could be? 70 million? Its presales double Dune and KongvsGodzilla. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Issac Newton Posted April 1 Share Posted April 1 (edited) 3rd Party projection is at that range. Now what Ticketing Platform like Maoyan & Taopiaopiao project (will be revealed tomorrow) should give us a rough idea Rest is upto audiences Edited April 1 by Issac Newton Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarabeesley Posted April 1 Share Posted April 1 3 hours ago, Issac Newton said: 3rd Party projection is at that range. Now what Ticketing Platform like Maoyan & Taopiaopiao project (will be revealed tomorrow) should give us a rough idea Rest is upto audiences Apparently they are not releasing it on as many screens as the big releases, only 35,000. Is this true? How might this impact its gross? Kong x Godzilla might beat it to number 1. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Issac Newton Posted April 1 Share Posted April 1 Just now, tarabeesley said: Apparently they are not releasing it on as many screens as the big releases, only 35,000. Is this true? How might this impact its gross? Kong x Godzilla might beat it to number 1. Film opens on 18:00 - how much shows you can add in 6 hours? Ofc, Heron will have less shows than GxK OD (which open on 09:00). Heron Day 2 Shows > Day 1 Shows Heron (Shows Live Count) Day 1 - 46K Shows (Prime Time - 31K Shows) Day 2 - 72K Shows (Prime Time - 17K Shows) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarabeesley Posted April 1 Share Posted April 1 17 minutes ago, Issac Newton said: Film opens on 18:00 - how much shows you can add in 6 hours? Ofc, Heron will have less shows than GxK OD (which open on 09:00). Heron Day 2 Shows > Day 1 Shows Heron (Shows Live Count) Day 1 - 46K Shows (Prime Time - 31K Shows) Day 2 - 72K Shows (Prime Time - 17K Shows) I'm still learning about all this 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Issac Newton Posted April 1 Share Posted April 1 3 minutes ago, tarabeesley said: I'm still learning about all this Sorry (I guess I sounded aggressive). Well, can't help. If Heron was a solo and non-Holidays Release - it would easily have closed to 200K Shows but since it's releasing on holiday with other works so it's about fair play - one with more numbers will start to have edge over one with poorer numbers - Heron WED 18:00 itself isn't a full day play and its just a warm up session ahead of Qingming Festival starting on next days (3-Days in Total and Sunday will be workday) Atleast a very good positive sign is improved Douban Score with previews lifting it from 7.6 to 8.0 - so maybe (even a little) looking into a good future ahead. Hopefully let's wait and watch - 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarabeesley Posted April 1 Share Posted April 1 25 minutes ago, Issac Newton said: Sorry (I guess I sounded aggressive). Well, can't help. If Heron was a solo and non-Holidays Release - it would easily have closed to 200K Shows but since it's releasing on holiday with other works so it's about fair play - one with more numbers will start to have edge over one with poorer numbers - Heron WED 18:00 itself isn't a full day play and its just a warm up session ahead of Qingming Festival starting on next days (3-Days in Total and Sunday will be workday) Atleast a very good positive sign is improved Douban Score with previews lifting it from 7.6 to 8.0 - so maybe (even a little) looking into a good future ahead. Hopefully let's wait and watch - Interesting that Suzume only has a 7.2 rating on Douban and yet it made about 110 million dollars in China. I guess there isn't always a direct correlation between the audience rating and box office gross? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Issac Newton Posted April 1 Share Posted April 1 1 minute ago, tarabeesley said: Interesting that Suzume only has a 7.2 rating on Douban and yet it made about 110 million dollars in China. I guess there isn't always a direct correlation between the audience rating and box office gross? Yeah it's true that Ratings ≠ Numbers Diff arises because - 1. Audience is a limited to that film (need rigorous marketing) 2. Bad Release Date If you analyze "Suzume" &"Slam Dunk" - Suzume got 4 weeks of free run while Slam Dunk got only 1 week (next week was Labor Day Holiday release - got badly slam but those works). Suzume got strong support from students where as a good % of Slam Dunk audience were from 30s or above At some cases, ratings just exploded like Dangal &Spirited Away in a way that GOTG2 &Toy Story 4 feel like minor release. and even recent Taiwanese Title "The Pig, the Snake, the Pigeon" Since, the statement holds true. I perhaps believe more in having a good date rather than a well built quality. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Issac Newton Posted April 1 Share Posted April 1 If I look into Heron - I have some good sights Opened after GxK instead of March 15 A good Marketing with Producer himself visiting for Shanghai Premiere (I don't remember Producer/Miyazaki travelling to any country for Premiere) Got a good release date on Qingming Festival Competition less Month (Strong competitors are straightly opening on Labor Days Holidays) Douban Score has improved on Previews. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Issac Newton Posted April 1 Share Posted April 1 March 2024 Box Office - ¥2,788M (+46.17% Y/Y) Admission - 66,949,600 (+36.46% Y/Y) Domestic Films - ¥1,850M (+37.68% Y/Y) 21 hours ago, Issac Newton said: The Boy and The Heron OD Forecast ¥70.454M @Maoyan ¥74.491M @Taopiaopiao ¥72.472M / $10M Wednesday 18:00 Start // OD Pre-Sales exceeded ¥20M (incl. EA)!! The Boy and The Heron (Forecast) @Maoyan Wednesday - ¥78.723M (+11.74%) Thursday - ¥107M @Taopiaopiao Wednesday - ¥80.593M (+8.19%) Thursday - ¥110M 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarabeesley Posted April 1 Share Posted April 1 9 minutes ago, Issac Newton said: March 2024 Box Office - ¥2,788M (+46.17% Y/Y) Admission - 66,949,600 (+36.46% Y/Y) Domestic Films - ¥1,850M (+37.68% Y/Y) The Boy and The Heron (Forecast) @Maoyan Wednesday - ¥78.723M (+11.74%) Thursday - ¥107M @Taopiaopiao Wednesday - ¥80.593M (+8.19%) Thursday - ¥110M So the 5-day opening could easily exceed 40 million and might even get to 50? It'll be interesting to see.. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Issac Newton Posted April 1 Share Posted April 1 Monday Godzilla x Kong The New Empire - ¥29.30M / ¥346.40M Viva De Vida - ¥5.15M / ¥163.69M The Pig, the Snake and the Pigeon - ¥2.48M / ¥645.69M Kung Fu Panda 4 - ¥2.28M / ¥247.74M Anatomy Of The Fall - ¥1.40M / ¥14.83M ⊃∪∩⪽ Part II - ¥980K / ¥335.20M Article 20 - ¥650K / ¥2,448.70M I Miss You - ¥590K / ¥208.38M Pegasus 2 - ¥540K / ¥3,393.59M Remember Me - ¥440K / ¥97.12M 30 minutes ago, tarabeesley said: So the 5-day opening could easily exceed 40 million and might even get to 50? It'll be interesting to see.. Yeah $40M+ is looking good in sight. Hopefully let it be $50M OW please 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Issac Newton Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 YOLO (Overseas) Hong Kong - HK$3,751,278 (Incl. MON - HK$3,973,795) Malaysia - RM1,611,150 / RM9,879,311 (-52.1%) North America - $63,482 / $1,882,303 (-46%) Singapore - SG$296,957 / SG$784,362 (-20.8%) Australia - A$22,462 / A$887,387 (-49.4%) New Zealand - NZ$7,509 / NZ$192,434 (-28.2%) Good Hold in Singapore! Crossed "Hi Mom" in Hong Kong &Probably heading for RM 13M+ Final in Malaysia (Crossed RM10M on Monday) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Issac Newton Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 Article 20 (Overseas) North America - $4,338 / $706,463 | -60.0% Australia - A$419,583 Final New Zealand - NZ$5,064 / NZ$55,053 | -54.2% United Kingdom - £98,667 Final £100K in UK didn't happen Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
xieh tie Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Issac Newton Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 How Do You Live? (The Boy and The Heron) OD / Final Forecast @Maoyan Wednesday - ¥92.185M (+17.10%) Thursday - ¥125M (+16.82%) Friday - ¥94.029M Final - ¥586M / $81M @Taopiaopiao Wednesday - ¥90.198M (+11.92%) Thursday - ¥121M (+10.00%) Friday - ¥103M Final - ¥573M / $79M Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarabeesley Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 (edited) 10 minutes ago, Issac Newton said: How Do You Live? (The Boy and The Heron) OD / Final Forecast @Maoyan Wednesday - ¥92.185M (+17.10%) Thursday - ¥125M (+16.82%) Friday - ¥94.029M Final - ¥586M / $81M @Taopiaopiao Wednesday - ¥90.198M (+11.92%) Thursday - ¥121M (+10.00%) Friday - ¥103M Final - ¥573M / $79M Do these seem a bit odd? It making 43 million approx in 3 days according to Maoyan but only 81 million for its entire run? Edited April 2 by tarabeesley Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Issac Newton Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 Sunday is a workday while Saturday will perform like Sunday Conservative Forecast is better for time being - Let's wait and watch - If numbers holds per forecast then final Projection will improve 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...