tarabeesley Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 (edited) 2 minutes ago, Issac Newton said: Sunday is a workday while Saturday will perform like Sunday Conservative Forecast is better for time being - Let's wait and watch - If numbers holds per forecast then final Projection will improve If it can make 43 million in 3 days it will by a very large margin be the highest amount a Ghibli film ever made in 3 days and the largest number of people seeing one at the cinema in a short amount of time. The largest Ghibli opening was Spirited Away's release in China where it made about 25 mil. Edited April 2 by tarabeesley Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Issac Newton Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 4 minutes ago, tarabeesley said: If it can make 43 million in 3 days it will by a very large margin be the highest amount a Ghibli film ever made in 3 days and the largest number of people seeing one at the cinema in a short amount of time. The largest Ghibli opening was Spirited Away's release in China where it made about 25 mil. "Spirited Away" ranked 5th among all-time *best* rated work in Douban Top 250 with 9.4⭐. Heron is not a work as equivalent of SA - so its sure for Heron to have higher % of Final in 5-Days Debut. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Issac Newton Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 Tuesday Godzilla x Kong The New Empire - ¥24.90M / ¥371.97M Viva De Vida - ¥5.25M / ¥168.98M The Pig, the Snake and the Pigeon - ¥2.48M / ¥648.19M Kung Fu Panda 4 - ¥2.20M / ¥249.94M Anatomy Of The Fall - ¥1.37M / ¥16.17M ⊃∪∩⪽ Part II - ¥1.03M / ¥336.22M I Miss You - ¥660K / ¥209.09M Article 20 - ¥610K / ¥2,449.31M Pegasus 2 - ¥460K / ¥3,394.07M Remember Me - ¥400K / ¥97.53M 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarabeesley Posted April 2 Share Posted April 2 8 minutes ago, Issac Newton said: "Spirited Away" ranked 5th among all-time *best* rated work in Douban Top 250 with 9.4⭐. Heron is not a work as equivalent of SA - so its sure for Heron to have higher % of Final in 5-Days Debut. I wonder what the likelihood of TBATH overperforming in China is since it overperformed in practically every other jurisdiction outside of Asia... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SaltyPistola Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 Are the Monday/Tueday drops for GxK good? How far can the total leg out? 100M? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Issac Newton Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 Current Final Projection is ¥856M / $118M per Maoyan Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Issac Newton Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 Heron 1st Day live forecast is at ¥98M per Maoyan (which is ahead of GxK ¥96.67M) - Best OD for an Imported Release. Total Pre-Sales has exceeded ¥100M while OD PS (T-5 hrs) - ¥61M 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Issac Newton Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 The Boy and The Heron OD PS (T-0 hr) - ¥77M / T-PS - ¥124M Shows starts now - Maoyan Live Forecast is slightly closer to ¥99M for OD 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Issac Newton Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 21 hours ago, Issac Newton said: @Maoyan Wednesday - ¥92.185M (+17.10%) 21 hours ago, Issac Newton said: @Taopiaopiao Wednesday - ¥90.198M (+11.92%) Crossed Both OD Forecast. Final Projection will improve in both Maoyan/TTP Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Issac Newton Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 Biggest OD for a Japanese Film! taking down "Suzume" (¥94.96M)!!! 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Issac Newton Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 With (Maybe even without) EA Screenings - ¥100M OD looks like it's happening! Current Numbers is at ¥98M ! — Biggest Opening Day for an Imported Film in 2024! GxK - ¥96.67M 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flip Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 how does it rank for imported movie OD post Covid? I'd guess probably behind GvK, Avatar, and JWD, any more? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Issac Newton Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 2 minutes ago, Flip said: how does it rank for imported movie OD post Covid? I'd guess probably behind GvK, Avatar, and JWD, any more? After 2nd Re-opening? June 2022 then 3rd behind Avatar 2 and Fast X If straightly after 1st Re-Opening then 5th behind F 9, GvK, Avatar 2 &Fast X 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Issac Newton Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 The Boy and The Heron 9.4 Taopiaopiao 9.0 Maoyan 8.0 Douban 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarabeesley Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 (edited) 1 hour ago, Issac Newton said: Biggest OD for a Japanese Film! taking down "Suzume" (¥94.96M)!!! So if WOM is good it could easily gross over 100 million dollars... Will they recalculate their predictions for the final gross then? What about the total opening numbers over the first 5 days? Edited April 3 by tarabeesley Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarabeesley Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 7 minutes ago, Issac Newton said: The Boy and The Heron 9.4 Taopiaopiao 9.0 Maoyan 8.0 Douban I'd imagine those are good then compared to Slam Dunk and Suzume? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Issac Newton Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 6 minutes ago, tarabeesley said: So if WOM is good it could easily gross over 100 million dollars... $100M is pretty much a done deal in this dead month - how much more it can add extra will be the question of relevance 7 minutes ago, tarabeesley said: Will they recalculate their predictions for the final gross then? Forecast are adjusted regularly based on PS pace for each consecutive day and on high note - if they are going up against their forecast then Projection for next upcoming days goes up and like-wise opposite if its down 9 minutes ago, tarabeesley said: What about the total opening numbers over the first 5 days? We will get Saturday Projection in few minutes. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Issac Newton Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 7 minutes ago, tarabeesley said: I'd imagine those are good then compared to Slam Dunk and Suzume? Slam Dunk is at 9.2 &Suzume at 9.0 at Maoyan 9.3 TTP for Suzume &9.2 TTP for Slam Dunk 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Issac Newton Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 Final Forecast is projected up! Maoyan - ¥652M / $90M Taopiaopiao - ¥609M / $84M 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Issac Newton Posted April 3 Share Posted April 3 Wednesday The Boy and The Heron - ¥101.00M / ¥101.24M Godzilla X Kong: The New Empire - ¥37.80M / ¥409.95M Dwelling by the West Lake - ¥10.82M / ¥10.90M The Victims ! - ¥10.00M / ¥10.60M Viva De Vida - ¥4.10M / ¥173.09M 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...