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A Marvel Fanboy

China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26

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Saturday was New Year's Eve and theaters scored lowest single day national wide in past 365 days with overall box office just about 10m yuan, down 63% from Fridays 27m yuan.Then on Sunday, with the debut of JTTW and the arrival of the first day of the official spring festival holiday, it increased nearly 700% (estimated for the moment).

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On New Year's Eve day (sat), 1950 theaters screened movies for movie goers, meaning over 1000 cinemas closed business on that day. A few hundreds had night shows. Only 130 theaters made midnight shows for JTTW. The 10m yuan new years eve daily gross actually is slightly less than that of 2012.

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If the OD estimates for JTTW holds, records it has set:Biggest Chinese new year holiday debutBiggest Feb launchBiggest Stephen chow openingSecond biggest OD for a local title behind PS2Fourth biggest OD in china after TF3, PS2, titanic 3dAnd of course, biggest opening Sunday

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In this case, JTTW has also become the ever first movie to win the weekly box office with just one day release.About next week's performance:Noticing quite a lot cinemas just had half day open on sunday, Monday will see a flat, most likely, with some rush factor on the OD. 2.12 or tuesday, it will increase as usual. A drop on Wednesday. Then thursday, 2.14, Valentine's day, a huge bump, probably a close to 100m yuan day and its biggest single day in its entire run. Fri/sat/sun should be in line with first 3 days or below. That said, assuming it does did 64m yuan od, that is 200m yuan in 3 days, 500m in 7 days (both with Sunday included) we are looking at, all records for local movies.

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Terrifying opening day for JTTW.It's 6pm now. Full day is locked to be well over $10m, mostly likely even higher.Like I said week ago, $200m is pretty much a lock. $100m could happen by next Sunday.Hobbit is doomed. Holiday belongs to JTTW

Niiiiiiiceeeee....

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Overall Sunday was also above 100m yuan, +900% from Saturday.This week, 7 days is locked to set new weekly records for both individual film and overall box office. Means Jttw to be the first film to achieve 500m yuan weekly mark; weekly box office will be around 700m yuan.As for jttw, $150m is nothing but locked. If you go bold, $200m is a lock. And obviously, it set the OD record for local movies surpassing PS2.

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