China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26

[Olive]

Personal Tailor is getting an IMAX release? IMAX isn't mentioned in any of the publicity and I can't find any mention of it with Google or Baidu. Not saying it's impossible (I think they announced the IMAX version of The Grandmaster less than a week in advance), it's just the first I'm hearing of it.

http://weibo.com/2267293105/AmLEO8Kp1?mod=weibotime

[A Marvel Fanboy]

Thursday EST.

 

Firestorm ---------30m-------------- 41.7m

NML ----------------8m-------------- 177m

Four 2--------------  5.5m-------------- 127m

TWS-----------------4m---------------197M

Gravity---------------------------------421m

CF---------------------------------------168m

Epic--------------------------------------38.3m

 

Really good or even exceptional opening day for Firestorm, considering its a December working day and it just burned off nearly 12m in previews. 300m should easily happen even if the WOM looks average so far. Another win for Edko and Audy Lau.

 

NML holds good. 

[A Marvel Fanboy]

Hobbit has got an initial date but still no HFR copy this time.

 

Am I the only one who doesnt think DM2 will be huge ? lol. Seems everyone is expecting China to help it cross the 1B worldwide mark ... its at $918m now.

[juni78ukr]

Hobbit has got an initial date but still no HFR copy this time.

 

Am I the only one who doesnt think DM2 will be huge ? lol. Seems everyone is expecting China to help it cross the 1B worldwide mark ... its at $918m now.

 

Yes, really tired of answering stiupid questions about that on russian movie site.

[Robert Cain]

Hobbit has got an initial date but still no HFR copy this time.

 

Am I the only one who doesnt think DM2 will be huge ? lol. Seems everyone is expecting China to help it cross the 1B worldwide mark ... its at $918m now.

Could go either way. There is a huge fanbase for DM2's 'Minions' characters in China. Little kids know who they are and will want to see the movie. On the other hand, there will be a more than 6 month delay between DM2's global release back in July and the PRC release, so chances are many of those same kids will have already seen the movie via pirated means.

[A Marvel Fanboy]

I think DM2 should do something between $30~40m. $82m, which is needed for 1B and would be bigger than Gravity,  seems too much to ask. It's an animation after all.

[ecstasy]

Does DM2 have a shot at making the billion dollar club?

[Sam]

I think DM2 should do something between $30~40m. $82m, which is needed for 1B and would be bigger than Gravity, seems too much to ask. It's an animation after all.

$82M is like Kung Fu Panda level, right?

[ecstasy]

I think DM2 should do something between $30~40m. $82m, which is needed for 1B and would be bigger than Gravity,  seems too much to ask. It's an animation after all.

 

I totally missed this post. Question answered.

[Olive]

Does DM2 have a shot at making the billion dollar club?

I don't think it can make that.

40M tops in china with 6 months delay and lots of local animated movie competition.

[Olive]

$82M is like Kung Fu Panda level, right?

Only Kung fu Panda 2 made more than that.

This year's animated movie champion was less than $70M.

[Olive]

I think these are the top 25 animated films in China, excluding MU. I may have overlooked something, since I compiled this from firedeep's yearly lists.

 

1. Kung Fu Panda 2 (2011) - ¥640,690,0002. Ice Age: Continental Drift (2012) - ¥446,663,9003. The Croods (2013) - ¥394,000,0004. Madagascar 3 (2012) - ¥208,747,8005. Kung Fu Panda (2008) - ¥180,130,0006. Mission Incredible: Adventures on the Dragon's Trail (2012) - ¥165,950,0007. Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs (2009) - ¥157,000,0008. Moon Castle: The Space Adventure (2011) - ¥145,000,0009. Rio (2011) - ¥142,000,00010. The Adventures of Tintin (2011) - ¥132,250,00011. The Mythical Ark: Adventures in Love & Happiness (2013) - ¥125,140,00012. Pleasant Goat and Big Bad Wolf 2 (2010) - ¥124,700,00013. Toy Story 3 (2010) - ¥110,900,00014. Pleasant Goat and Big Bad Wolf (2009) - ¥100,000,00015. Up (2009) - ¥95,300,00016. Shrek Forever After (2010) - ¥88,750,00017. How to Train Your Dragon (2010) - ¥84,900,00018. Cars 2 (2011) - ¥78,500,00019. McDull: Kung Fu Kindergarten (2009) - ¥75,200,00020. Seer III (2013) - ¥75,000,00021. I Love Wolffy (2012) - ¥72,640,00022. Roco Kingdom: Desire of Dragon (2013) - ¥68,050,00023. Wreck-It Ralph (2012) - ¥63,634,10024. Happy Little Submarine 3 (2013) - ¥54,700,00025. Happy Feet 2 (2012) - ¥53,545,100

 

Two animation/live-action hybrids would be in the list if you counted those:

 

The Smurfs (2011) - ¥264,070,000

Garfield: A Tale of Two Kitties (2006) - ¥56,400,000

Bump, MU at 4th now with 210M yuan.

[A Marvel Fanboy]

 

2013-2014 New Year Season Box Office Predictions

 

The White Storm, No Man Land, he Four 2 and Firestorm already opened, so the winter forecast comes a bit late.

 

This year's new year box office season falls between Nov 29 (the last weekend of November) and Feb 16 (the end of Valentine's Day weekend). We will be seeing around 40 films come and go in total, which will be one third less than last year's over 60.

 

There will be around 22 major releases, 15 local and 7 imported, in the 81 days period.  As always, there will be five important slots within the winter/New Year film season: the last weekend of November or the first weekend of December, pre-Christmas week, New Year Holiday week, Chinese New Year holiday week, Valentine's Day week).

 

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Edited December 13, 2013 by firedeep

[A Marvel Fanboy]

Edited December 13, 2013 by firedeep

[ecstasy]

I don't think it can make that.

40M tops in china with 6 months delay and lots of local animated movie competition.

 

Thanks Olive.

[A Marvel Fanboy]

 

Thursday EST.

 

Firestorm ---------30m-------------- 41.7m

NML ----------------8m-------------- 177m

Four 2--------------  5.5m-------------- 127m

TWS-----------------4m---------------197M

Gravity---------------------------------421m

CF---------------------------------------168m

Epic--------------------------------------38.3m

 

Really good or even exceptional opening day for Firestorm, considering its a December working day and it just burned off nearly 12m in previews. 300m should easily happen even if the WOM looks average so far. Another win for Edko and Audy Lau.

 

NML holds good. 

 

Actuals:

 

Firestorm ----------31.2m-------------- 43m

NML ----------------7.5m-------------- 177m

Four 2--------------  5.3m------------- 127m

TWS-----------------4m---------------197M

Gravity---------------------------------421m

CF--------------------------------------168m

Epic-------------------------------------38.3m

[SchumacherFTW]

Monkey King is really delayed isn't it?

[A Marvel Fanboy]

Total rough budgets for some major local films on the table above:

 

The Monkey King --- 300m+ (once rumored to be over 400m. will be struggling to be profitable)

The Man from Macau --- 180m (oh Bona ... how could this one be profitable)

The White Storm --- 100m (struggling to be profitable)

Firestorm --- 90m

Personal Tailor around 80m, 30~80m for most others.

 

Monkey King is really delayed isn't it?

Its first release date was summer 2012.

[Robert Cain]

Total rough budgets for some major local films on the table above:

 

The Monkey King --- 300m+ (once rumored to be over 400m. will be struggling to be profitable)

The Man from Macau --- 180m (oh Bona ... how could this one be profitable)

The White Storm --- 100m (struggling to be profitable)

Firestorm --- 90m

Personal Tailor around 80m, 30~80m for most others.

 

 

Great info, Firedeep! Did you see these numbers published somewhere? Or are they your best guesses?

[A Marvel Fanboy]

300m for TMK was according to their producer in a Sina article. 100m for TWS was from early media reports. Firestorm is a little cheaper than TWS. 80m for PT is a guess. 180m for The Man from Macau is still unpublished info.

 

But according this report on Tencent:

 

TWS --- 120m

PS2013 --- 100m

Firestorm --- 80m

PT --- 80m