China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26

[Black Hawk]

how is WoM of kingsman?

Really good.

Douban 8.7 55606 votes

Gewara 9.2 9570 votes

[Olive]

Top Animated movies in China

 

*1.Kung Fu Panda 2 - 617M -2011

*2.Big Hero 6 - 525M -2015 (new)

*3.Ice Age 4 - 449M - 2012

*4.How to Train Your Dragon 2 - 409M -2014

*5.The Croods - 395M -2013

*6.Despicable Me 2 - 324M - 2014

*7.Frozen - 299M -2014

*8.Bonnie Bears 2 - 292M -2015

*9.Smurfs - 255M - 2011

10. Peguins of Madagascar - 251M

11.Bonnie Bears - 247M -2014

12.Rio 2 - 243M -2014

13.Madagascar 3 - 211M -2012

14. Monsters University -210M -2013

15.Kung Fu Panda - 190M -2008

 

No animated movies in all-time 20 list, Minions has a small chance to break into top 20 chart, if not, KFP3 will next March.

[Lihongkim]

See it this way, at least imported films get released. Chinese movies are never released in the US the same way for example (and wouldn't get a lot of movie either, that is )

In their eyes Chinese movies is not good enough quality 

I do not expect Chinese movies get successful in US although it get nationwide release

 

But CBO grow fastly, Hollywood will tend to make more & more co-productions (Just for money) 

it will be the best way bringing good future for Chinese movies in NA

 

"If there is another "Fast and Furious," it will be filmed in China," Diesel told the fans. The idea of an actor from China being in part of the Fast saga feels inevitable. The next director I am going to work with will be Ang Lee. 

Fast and furious, with an eye on China

[Asyulus]

Thurs est.?

[Hernan Gonzalez]

Thurs est.?

Way too early... in around 4 hours...

[Asyulus]

Way too early... in around 4 hours...

Sure, np.

And this is my 2000 post.

[Olive]

Thursday(4/2/2015) estimates

#/Title: Daily(yuan)~Total(yuan)~Total($)

1.Wolf Warriors: 36M~36M~$5.8M

2.Let's Get Married: 26.3M ~ 27M~$4.35m

3.Kingsman: 15.5M~244M~$39.4M

4.Cinderella: 1.5M ~ 428M~$69.1m

5.Lost and Love:  1.2M~213M~$34.4M  

6.Tak3n: 1.0M~ 201M~$32.5M 

 

 

*USD total based on current exchange rate( $=6.200 Yuan).

[druv10]

I'm not good at predicting, so these can be off a lot.

 

We know release dates are never good for foreign releases but 180M would be weak for TA2.

[Rsyu]

 

Thursday(4/2/2015) estimates

#/Title: Daily(yuan)~Total(yuan)~Total($)

1.Wolf Warriors: 36M~36M~$5.8M

2.Let's Get Married: 26.3M ~ 27M~$4.35m

3.Kingsman: 15.5M~244M~$39.4M

4.Cinderella: 1.5M ~ 428M~$69.1m

5.Lost and Love:  1.2M~213M~$34.4M  

6.Tak3n: 1.0M~ 201M~$32.5M 

 

 

*USD total based on current exchange rate( $=6.200 Yuan).

 

 

Lets get married is a variety T.V show is it not? Is it like the film version of Running man?

Edited April 2, 2015 by Rsyu

[Olive]

We know release dates are never good for foreign releases but 180M would be weak for TA2.

Don't let firedeep's prediction inflate your expectation, remember his 700m prediction for BH6?

 

Lets get married is a variety T.V show is it not? Is it like the film version of Running man?

Nope, just a rom-com.

[druv10]

Don't let firedeep's prediction inflate your expectation, remember his 700m prediction for BH6?

 

Nope, just a rom-com.

 

It's not. You had provided data about anticipated movies in China where TA2 was doubling FF7 yet you're predictions are fairly close for both. FF7 150-180 while TA2 at 180-210. Looking at that data, either you're overpredicting FF7 or underpredicting TA2.

 

Edit: For foreign releases, I've noticed that WOM is the key factor in China. BH6 increased in it's 2nd weekend compared to OW. As long as TA2 gets great WOM, I expect 200M+ in China.

Edited April 2, 2015 by druv10

[James]

It's not. You had provided data about anticipated movies in China where TA2 was doubling FF7 yet you're predictions are fairly close for both. FF7 150-180 while TA2 at 180-210. Looking at that data, either you're overpredicting FF7 or underpredicting TA2.

Not really. Just like in the US, TA is a much more fanboy-driven franchise than FF, so those polls don't mean very much.

[Olive]

It's not. You had provided data about anticipated movies in China where TA2 was doubling FF7 yet you're predictions are fairly close for both. FF7 150-180 while TA2 at 180-210. Looking at that data, either you're overpredicting FF7 or underpredicting TA2.

 

Edit: For foreign releases, I've noticed that WOM is the key factor in China. BH6 increased in it's 2nd weekend compared to OW. As long as TA2 gets great WOM, I expect 200M+ in China.

F&7 movies are more popular among GA, and TA target audience are young people.

BH6 first weekend only had 2 days and one of them was a working day.

[druv10]

Not really. Just like in the US, TA is a much more fanboy-driven franchise than FF, so those polls don't mean very much.

 

 

Actually, Marvel fanbase is lazy as hell when it comes to presales and to say FF is not fanboy-driven franchise is laughable.

 

Edit: I was talking about US not China.

Edited April 2, 2015 by druv10

[druv10]

F&7 movies are more popular among GA, and TA target audience are young people.

BH6 first weekend only had 2 days and one of them was a working day.

 

BH6 3rd Saturday was bigger than it's OD. WOM absolutely was a factor. At one point you thought it would only gross 30-40M and it more than doubled that amount. I guess we'll just agree to disagree and see who is right in 1.5 months.  

[Olive]

BH6 3rd Saturday was bigger than it's OD. WOM absolutely was a factor. At one point you thought it would only gross 30-40M and it more than doubled that amount. I guess we'll just agree to disagree and see who is right in 1.5 months.  

Yeah, WOM is very important.

Let's hope firedeep's numbers will be close.

[seduh]

bad numbers for Tak3n

[druv10]

Yeah, WOM is very important.

Let's hope firedeep's numbers will be close.

 

 

Yeah, for my club's sake, I need 250M+ from China but that's my hope, I'll satisfied with 200M. 

[A District 3 Engineer]

#NowWatching.

 

[Olive]

Year - Q1 BO  - Whole Year - %

2015 - 9.584B - N/A

2014 - 6.784B - 29.64B - 22.9%

2013 - 5.248B - 21.77B - 24.1%

2012 - 3.717B - 17.07B - 21.8%

2011 - 2.674B - 13.12B - 20.4%

2010 - 2.932B - 10.17B - 28.8%

 

First quarter of 2014, overall box office hit 9.584B yuan($1.535 B,+41.3%), 265.93M admissions.

Local movies accounted for 65% due to local protectionism during Spring Festival holidays. 

http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MjM5NDE1NjI2NA==&mid=205110493&idx=2&sn=b75107aa36adb850a972f0a3f42d0c85#rd