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China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26

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Interesting! How much do you think Minions will do in China this year?

Edit: and KFP3 beating FF7 would be what 300 million? Wow! 

If I do remember well, people who know the market here are saying $150m for Minions.

 

Relative to KFP3, same people are saying it could reach $100m OD. F7 did about $390m. Some predictions for KFP3 are as high as $500m. Absurd numbers.

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If I do remember well, people who know the market here are saying $150m for Minions.

 

Relative to KFP3, same people are saying it could reach $100m OD. F7 did about $390m. Some predictions for KFP3 are as high as $500m. Absurd numbers.

Oh wow - if KFP3 does these numbers (say 400 million in China), maybe it can beat Frozen WW! and become highest all time in animation!

Edited by MinaTakla
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Oh wow - if KFP3 does these numbers (say 400 million in China), maybe it can beat Frozen WW! and become highest all time in animation!

Not probable, IMHO. I see more probable that China > US + rest of countries.

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Can someone explain to me why the predictions for KFP3 are so high? I thought many local films would be released during the Chinese New Year week, and take a lot of screens from it?

KFP3 itself is a local film .... like The Great Wall, official co-productions are considered local films in China.

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Sunday Estimates
Daily total 403M yuan, biggest Sunday in history.
1). Monster Hunt ¥181M/cume: 669M($107.7M) 
2). JianBing Man ¥137M/cume: 427M($68.8M) 
3). TMK : Hero is back ¥62M/cume: 466M($75M) 
4). Shaun the sheep ¥10.0M/cume: 26.3M($4.2M) 
5). Tiny Times 4 ¥4.6M/cume: 470M($75.7M) 
6). Forever Young ¥4.0M/cume: 371M($59.7M)
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How far can Monster Hunt go. Can it gross 1.5B

Competitions are fairly weak in next two weeks, I think 1.5B is well locked for it.

JBM will break 1B easily too.

Two black horses in one week.

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And TMK will dethrone KFP2's all-time animation record before Minions invading.

Big year for animations in China.

Boonie Bears, BH6, DORAEMON and TMK all crossed 300M yuan.

At the moment, I think TMK will march to 800M yuan, Minions will beat it even it opens against T5 and Pixels.

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And TMK will dethrone KFP2's all-time animation record before Minions invading.

Big year for animations in China.

Boonie Bears, BH6, DORAEMON and TMK all crossed 300M yuan.

At the moment, I think TMK will march to 800M yuan, Minions will beat it even it opens against T5 and Pixels.

Please keep us posted of the T5, Pixels and Minions dates and not sure if announced yet, but would also be curious to see if IO will be up against MI5 or not...

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And TMK will dethrone KFP2's all-time animation record before Minions invading.

Big year for animations in China.

Boonie Bears, BH6, DORAEMON and TMK all crossed 300M yuan.

At the moment, I think TMK will march to 800M yuan, Minions will beat it even it opens against T5 and Pixels.

And later KFP3?

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Monster Hunt's budget is Yuan 350M

280m (Original movie) + 70m (Re-shooting, Male lead role was arrested in drug cast).

 

Jian Bing Man's budget is Yuan 80M ($12.9M)

 

The Monkey King : Hero is Back's budget is a bit over $10M

 

http://china.org.cn/arts/2015-07/20/content_36101618.htm

Edited by Lihongkim
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I am surprised that even with major hits like MH and TMK, the theatres are only around 50% to 60% full on average. Is this normal?

Yes.

 

It is impossible to sell out every seat. Normally, it is considered very good if matinee shows are 10~20% packed on average, meaning big 200m+ single day.

 

In fact, if every seat of the 28k+ halls is sold throughout the day, single day gross will reach 750m yuan with more than 20m admissions.

Edited by firedeep
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