ZattMurdock Posted September 15, 2017 Share Posted September 15, 2017 1 minute ago, fmpro said: Friday is looking to be down by 20-30% from thursday and that leaves SMH almost zero chance of 130 mill total Breaks my heart but no way around that Ouch. I thought it could make around $20m this weekend Fri-Sun. Is that out of the window? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted September 15, 2017 Share Posted September 15, 2017 2 minutes ago, iJackSparrow said: Ouch. I thought it could make around $20m this weekend Fri-Sun. Is that out of the window? Sorry. Not even close. Presale indicates 12 mill maybe. Its still under 1 million $ on friday by 1,30pm China have no mercy sometimes 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZattMurdock Posted September 15, 2017 Share Posted September 15, 2017 1 minute ago, fmpro said: Sorry. Not even close. Presale indicates 12 mill maybe. Its still under 1 million $ on friday by 1,30pm China have no mercy sometimes Do walk ins happen in China at all? Haha. Oh well, it could get away with something like $125m for the $890m+ total. Do you think that crossing $120m is in danger too? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted September 15, 2017 Share Posted September 15, 2017 5 minutes ago, iJackSparrow said: Do walk ins happen in China at all? Haha. Oh well, it could get away with something like $125m for the $890m+ total. Do you think that crossing $120m is in danger too? My guess for now is 118-120 mill. But i think @POTUS should be able to project a more precise number sometime tomorrow Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted September 15, 2017 Share Posted September 15, 2017 (edited) 58 minutes ago, fmpro said: Sorry. Not even close. Presale indicates 12 mill maybe. Its still under 1 million $ on friday by 1,30pm China have no mercy sometimes $12m for the weekend sounds right. Another $5m for the midweek. Should hold better next week with weak competition making $7-8m for the week. Doubt it makes much more after week 3. $115m, maybe a couple mil more Apes will get through ¥100m today. At least a ¥340m/$52m weekend. Edited September 15, 2017 by POTUS 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZattMurdock Posted September 15, 2017 Share Posted September 15, 2017 14 minutes ago, POTUS said: $12m for the weekend sounds right. Another $5m for the midweek. Should hold better next week with weak competition. Apes will get through ¥100m today. At least a ¥340m/$52m weekend. Isn't a festival/holiday coming along that could help Spidey? Not sure how China BO works at all. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted September 15, 2017 Share Posted September 15, 2017 4 minutes ago, iJackSparrow said: Isn't a festival/holiday coming along that could help Spidey? Not sure how China BO works at all. The problem is screens/theaters. It will have almost none left at that time 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted September 15, 2017 Share Posted September 15, 2017 25 minutes ago, POTUS said: $12m for the weekend sounds right. Another $5m for the midweek. Should hold better next week with weak competition. Apes will get through ¥100m today. At least a ¥340m/$52m weekend. Very happy for Apes. Hopefully it can reach ¥350m/$53.5m weekend. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted September 15, 2017 Share Posted September 15, 2017 (edited) 56 minutes ago, fmpro said: The problem is screens/theaters. It will have almost none left at that time Yup. At least 4 releases on Friday and Saturday before monday holiday start. Never Say Die is already at 3.5m PS at 14 days out. SMH will have 1%, Apes might a few percent. Apes might pull off 4x PS today and get to 108m. Just an 8.2 rating though. Edited September 15, 2017 by POTUS 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted September 15, 2017 Share Posted September 15, 2017 (edited) Apes evening very strong. Hourly at 130% of afternoon runrate. 115-120m OD. 4.4x PS. Never seen it that high and the rating is only 8.2. $57-60m OW. It should have a stronger monday hold than spidey as it skews older and could pull close to 2x with a good hold next weekend with small competition and smaller screen loss. Second weekend will be larger than SMH should it hold -65% It will be in a tight race with spidey $110-120m total I think Apes wins Edited September 15, 2017 by POTUS 6 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peludo Posted September 15, 2017 Share Posted September 15, 2017 Fortunately, Apes can win somewhere. I think the trilogy is really good and I think it deserved a better box office ending. And this can be a good example that China can go massively to see very good films, since some people think that Chinese people only devour trash. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted September 15, 2017 Share Posted September 15, 2017 43 minutes ago, POTUS said: Apes evening very strong. Hourly at 130% of afternoon runrate. 115-120m OD. 4.4x PS. Never seen it that high and the rating is only 8.2. $57-60m OW. It should have a stronger monday hold than spidey as it skews older and could pull close to 2x with a good hold next weekend with small competition and smaller screen loss. Second weekend will be larger than SMH should it hold -65% It will be in a tight race with spidey $110-120m total I think Apes wins Agree. Apes is having a huge walk up. Could beat SMH in the end Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted September 15, 2017 Share Posted September 15, 2017 Apes around 110 mill by 8,30 pm. Should clear 120 mill.. Very very strong day for Apes SMH could touch 20 mill. A little better than expected 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted September 15, 2017 Author Share Posted September 15, 2017 Thor 3 I think should produce similar mumbers to SMH or just a bit lower. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted September 15, 2017 Author Share Posted September 15, 2017 Apes was underestimated. 1 hour ago, POTUS said: Apes evening very strong. Hourly at 130% of afternoon runrate. 115-120m OD. 4.4x PS. Never seen it that high and the rating is only 8.2. $57-60m OW. It should have a stronger monday hold than spidey as it skews older and could pull close to 2x with a good hold next weekend with small competition and smaller screen loss. Second weekend will be larger than SMH should it hold -65% It will be in a tight race with spidey $110-120m total I think Apes wins 18 minutes ago, fmpro said: Agree. Apes is having a huge walk up. Could beat SMH in the end Apes could outweighs SMH in total for real, with significantly less competition and seemly better WOM. who would have thought... From what we have seen in the past two years, Marvel's fanbase in China apparently get staturated, continuously resulting into $100~$120m grosses for solo MCU films. Now a well received Spiderman flick couldnt beat a 'flopped' Apes sequal. I won't be surprised if Avengers 2 remains the height of MCU in China for a very LONG time. Also, it turns out China is the only(?) market where Apes 3 is not experiencing a decrease from its predecessor. That 93% Rottentomatoes score is not lying... Here it comes the day that China recognizes true good movies while everywhere else do not, Apes say. what a twist... Worldwide (Unadjusted) Rank Title (click to view) Studio Worldwide Domestic / % Overseas / % Year 1 Dawn of the Planet of the Apes Fox $710.6 $208.5 29.3% $502.1 70.7% 2014 2 Rise of the Planet of the Apes Fox $481.8 $176.8 36.7% $305.0 63.3% 2011 3 War for the Planet of the Apes Fox $368.4 $145.5 39.5% $222.9 60.5% 2017 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted September 15, 2017 Share Posted September 15, 2017 Hurt by SMH. Happy for Apes. I was thinking Apes may be a flop in China because it feels more like a personal war of Caesar. War for the Planet never exists. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted September 15, 2017 Author Share Posted September 15, 2017 watch Contratiempo to become a leggy sleeper hit. OD is about $1m. 20x+ mul on the way. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peludo Posted September 15, 2017 Share Posted September 15, 2017 36 minutes ago, firedeep said: watch Contratiempo to become a leggy sleeper hit. OD is about $1m. 20x+ mul on the way. Really? I did not know it was being released in China. It did not reach $4m in Spain. Nice surprise. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted September 15, 2017 Share Posted September 15, 2017 24 minutes ago, peludo said: Really? I did not know it was being released in China. It did not reach $4m in Spain. Nice surprise. Debut on Today. Friend said he believed it will make $15m in China. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gavin Feng Posted September 15, 2017 Share Posted September 15, 2017 FRI before service fees War for the Planet - 114m / 122.6m Homecoming - 19.2m / 571.2m Sword Art Online - 11.2m Contratiempo - 6.47m Wolf Warrior 2 - 1.58m / 5,271m Dunkirk - 1.48m / 305m after service fees War for the Planet - 121.5m / 130.8m Homecoming - 20.6m / 609.1m Sword Art Online - 12.1m Contratiempo - 7.01m Wolf Warrior 2 - 1.68m / 5,643m Dunkirk - 1.6m / 327.6m 8 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
