POTUS 2020 Posted December 7, 2019 Share Posted December 7, 2019 (edited) 2 hours ago, PKMLover said: Any chance F2 wont recieve an extension? 50/50 is my guess, they were regularly giving extensions to anything that would make 20m more but lately they have been iffy. @Olive @Gavin Feng? 4 hours ago, Arendelle Legion said: With just 11.8 PS and less than 3.3x Friday PSm I was honestly considering a small Sat drop. True 4 hours ago, a2k said: JUM3 could miss $25 ow 61 + 65 + 44 (-32%) = 170 ($24+ using today's EXR) So $40 total I guess. Same as JUM2's ow. Just $36m is possible Edited December 7, 2019 by POTUS 2020 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted December 8, 2019 Author Share Posted December 8, 2019 9 hours ago, a2k said: JUM3 could miss $25 ow 61 + 65 + 44 (-32%) = 170 ($24+ using today's EXR) So $40 total I guess. Same as JUM2's ow. floping so hard Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted December 8, 2019 Author Share Posted December 8, 2019 JU3 making only 200m-ish yuan shows the Rock is not that big a star in China. Confident that a Statham actioner would do better. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blaze Heatnix Posted December 8, 2019 Share Posted December 8, 2019 2 hours ago, A Marvel Fanboy said: JU3 making only 200m-ish yuan shows the Rock is not that big a star in China. Confident that a Statham actioner would do better. Yeah...Statham was in Mechanic Resurrection and that movie made 49 million in China, 3 years ago. Statham had another hit in China, called The Meg. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted December 8, 2019 Share Posted December 8, 2019 2 hours ago, A Marvel Fanboy said: Rock is not that big a star definitely. overrated throughout world. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted December 8, 2019 Share Posted December 8, 2019 17 hours ago, Jedi Jat said: Wondering if Frozen 2 will bump on Sunday. Shows are 11k more than Saturday and PS are also higher by good share. If it do, will be nice. 6 31 31 // 68 -61% With Sunday just 55% down from Week 2, weekdays hold will be better too. Looks like today will bump and the weekend (sat-sun) will be down less than 60% after all. 800m/$114m looking good w/o ext They are opening SW9 against IP4 which already has 1.3m PS. They threw that one away. SW9 not listed for PS yet 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted December 8, 2019 Share Posted December 8, 2019 5 hours ago, Jedi Jat said: definitely. overrated throughout world. He is very likable and has high awareness throughout the world due to wwe days. He best combines to combine charm and bravado. But I guess the ability to convert that into tickets might be debatable. The record is enviable no doubt. Without a concept/theme that suits an actor, there are very few stars who have pull anyway. He can do action, comedy and some smoldering, and probably wants to carry ahead an interesting brand of high octane family movies. San Andreas, Rampage, Jum2 were good non-FF wins for DJ last 5 years. Jungle Cruise 2020 boxoffice got more interesting. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted December 8, 2019 Share Posted December 8, 2019 (edited) China ratio of Star Wars film to rest of world Star Wars: The Force Awakens: 11.96% Star Wars: The Last Jedi: 5.89% Rogue One: 13.4% Solo: 9.5% I think we are underestimating TRS a bit. Say TRS is 4-5% of $600mn overseas, that will be $24-30mn. May be it clear $30mn and who knows may be come close to TLJ. If you had told me that TRS may come almost par Jumanji 3 in China a month back, lol. Edited December 8, 2019 by Jedi Jat Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted December 8, 2019 Share Posted December 8, 2019 (edited) 19 minutes ago, Jedi Jat said: China ratio of Star Wars film to rest of world Star Wars: The Force Awakens: 11.96% Star Wars: The Last Jedi: 5.89% Rogue One: 13.4% Solo: 9.5% I think we are underestimating TRS a bit. Say TRS is 4-5% of $600mn overseas, that will be $24-30mn. May be it clear $30mn and who knows may be come close to TLJ. If you had told me that TRS may come almost par Jumanji 3 in China a month back, lol. So Jum is gonna go from competing with SW dom (2017) to loosing to SW China (2019). Life is fickle. Edited December 8, 2019 by a2k 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted December 8, 2019 Share Posted December 8, 2019 Date is atrocious, and numbers drop with every movie (though yeah, probably shouldn’t count Solo for that trend). Maybe it will be a nice surprise with $30, but I won’t be surprised with 2.5% of 550M or something. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steven Posted December 8, 2019 Share Posted December 8, 2019 Frozen2 now have a chance to reach 780m Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted December 8, 2019 Share Posted December 8, 2019 54 minutes ago, Steven said: Frozen2 now have a chance to reach 780m 99.44% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tongtong Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted December 9, 2019 Author Share Posted December 9, 2019 14 hours ago, Jedi Jat said: China ratio of Star Wars film to rest of world Star Wars: The Force Awakens: 11.96% Star Wars: The Last Jedi: 5.89% Rogue One: 13.4% Solo: 9.5% I think we are underestimating TRS a bit. Say TRS is 4-5% of $600mn overseas, that will be $24-30mn. May be it clear $30mn and who knows may be come close to TLJ. If you had told me that TRS may come almost par Jumanji 3 in China a month back, lol. Yeah I at some piont thought JUM3 could even triple SW9 ... Now SW9 even has a chance to beat JUM3... who knows 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 (edited) JUM3 61.0 65.3 46.4 // 172.7 ow 16.5 (-64.4%) // 189.2 @POTUS 2020 @fmpro Any idea how many shows JUM3 could loose come Friday? Edited December 9, 2019 by a2k Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted December 9, 2019 Share Posted December 9, 2019 30 minutes ago, a2k said: JUM3 61.0 65.3 46.4 // 172.7 ow 16.5 (-64.4%) // 189.2 @POTUS 2020 @fmpro Any idea how many shows JUM3 could loose come Friday? Im thinking 75-80% shows on friday. It has low att. and 4-5 new locals are opening.. Drop will be huge 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 (edited) 16 hours ago, a2k said: JUM3 61.0 65.3 46.4 // 172.7 ow 16.5 (-64.4%) // 189.2 @POTUS 2020 @fmpro Any idea how many shows JUM3 could loose come Friday? From Wed to Friday the show drop will be 75%+ but likely to be 85%+ WoW as it is losing shows daily with its weak PTA. Today's BO drop looking to be -20%. There is a Thursday release with 6m PS. Could see 40%+ drop for J2 DoD. I think 2nd weekend will be down 85-90% WoW. It has a shot to come in as low as 1.5x OW SW9 PS have begun!! Just 280 shows listed with Y4000 PS. Give it a few days Its up against Ip Man 4 which already has 2.42m PS with 35k shows Ip 3 made 700m/$110m+ in 2016 Edited December 10, 2019 by POTUS 2020 2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A Marvel Fanboy Posted December 10, 2019 Author Share Posted December 10, 2019 21 hours ago, a2k said: JUM3 61.0 65.3 46.4 // 172.7 ow 16.5 (-64.4%) // 189.2 @POTUS 2020 @fmpro Any idea how many shows JUM3 could loose come Friday? 5 hours ago, POTUS 2020 said: From Wed to Friday the show drop will be 75%+ but likely to be 85%+ WoW as it is losing shows daily with its weak PTA. Today's BO drop looking to be -20%. There is a Thursday release with 6m PS. Could see 40%+ drop for J2 DoD. I think 2nd weekend will be down 85-90% WoW. It has a shot to come in as low as 1.5x OW SW9 PS have begun!! Just 280 shows listed with Y4000 PS. Give it a few days Its up against Ip Man 4 which already has 2.42m PS with 35k shows Ip 3 made 700m/$110m+ in 2016 Pathetic performance. I cannot even bear to check the box office. December has been very slow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 (edited) 14.57 Tuesday for JUMANJI, 14%+ drop. My probably wishful path to 300 total (290 by 3rd weekend followed by 10-15 more) Weekday Date Gross % Hold Cume Milestone Fri 6 Dec 19 61.1 61.1 Sat 7 Dec 19 65.3 6.9 126.4 Sun 8 Dec 19 46.5 -28.8 172.9 weekend1 Mon 9 Dec 19 17.0 -63.4 189.9 Tue 10 Dec 19 14.6 -14.3 204.5 Wed 11 Dec 19 12.8 -12.5 217.2 Thu 12 Dec 19 8.3 -35.3 225.5 week1 Fri 13 Dec 19 8.5 3.0 234.0 Sat 14 Dec 19 15.0 76.5 249.0 Sun 15 Dec 19 11.5 -23.3 260.5 weekend2 Mon 16 Dec 19 4.4 -61.7 264.9 Tue 17 Dec 19 3.9 -11.4 268.8 Wed 18 Dec 19 3.5 -10.3 272.3 Thu 19 Dec 19 2.6 -25.7 274.9 week2 Fri 20 Dec 19 2.9 11.5 277.8 Sat 21 Dec 19 5.5 89.7 283.3 Sun 22 Dec 19 4.5 -18.2 287.8 weekend3 Edited December 10, 2019 by a2k Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted December 10, 2019 Share Posted December 10, 2019 PS for SW9 is irrelevant until it hits 20-30K shows. Let us wait. These days most movies seem to have short PS window. Anyway expectations for this movie is quite low and so its underperformance is not extraordinary. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
