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A Marvel Fanboy

China Box Office Thread | Deadpool & Wolverine- July 26

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Amazing how fast this market is growing, this could top the US stagnant market in as little as 10 years.

If China's annual box office growth slows to 25 percent (from the 35+ percent average of the past decade) it will surpass North America in 2018. If its growth slows to 20 percent it will surpass North America in 2020.

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If China's annual box office growth slows to 25 percent (from the 35+ percent average of the past decade) it will surpass North America in 2018. If its growth slows to 20 percent it will surpass North America in 2020.

Hopefully their consideration of the cinema and their taste in movies grow, too. Especially about animated films.

But I'm afraid it'll remain in the 'Russian Route' for awhile.

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Some 2014 long range predictions ?

 

In release sequence:

12.18 --- Gone with the Bullets --- drama --- 2D/3D/IMAX --- 2.0B

 

Correct me if I am wrong, but if 300 million Yuan is about 50 million $, you mean that this movie, Gone with the Bullets, will make about 330 million $ :blink: :blink: :o :o ??

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I do think GWTB could be the first movie to cross the 2B yuan ($328m) mark. 1.5B is locked imo. think even poorly received Personal Tailor (2D, non-sequel) is doing half of 1.5B. GWTB (mega cast, huge budget $50m, co-production, 3D, IMAX, sequel to the most well received Chinese movie in past decade) on double screens.

 

Top 10 box office provinces (in RMB / millions) in 2013:

 

1. Guangdong ---- 2954

2. Jiangsu ---- 2000

3. Beijing ---- 1850

4. Zhejiang ---- 1790

5. Shanghai ---- 1560

6. Sichuan ---- 1120

7. Hubei ---- 1070

8. Liaoning ---- 824

9. Shandong ---- 741

10. Fujian ---- 714

 

Top 10 cinema lines (in RMB / millions) in 2013:

 

1. Wanda Cinemas ---- 3160

2. Shanghai United Circuit ---- 1860

3. China Film Stellar Theater Chain ---- 1840

4. Dadi Cinema line ---- 1570

5. China Film South Cinema Circuit ---- 1550

6. JinYiZhuJiang Movie Circuit ---- 1540

7. Zhejiang Time Cinema ---- 900

8. Beijing New Film Association ---- 870

9. HG Entertainment ---- 840

10. China Film Group Digital Cinema Line ---- 740

 

Top 10 box office cities:

 

1. Beijing

2. Shanghai

3. Shenzhen

4. Guangzhou

5. Chengdu

6. Wuhan

7. Chongqing

8. Hangzhou

9. Nanjing

10. Xi'an

 

 

Top 10 theaters (in RMB / millions --- US$/k --- admissions/millions) in 2013:

 

1. Jackie Chan Cinema 17 (Beijing)  ---- 91.95 ---- 15123 ---- 2.57

2. OSGH Cinemas 12 (Shenzhen) ---- 73.36 ---- 12065 ---- 1.49

3. Capital Cinema 13 (Beijing) ---- 72.96 ---- 12000 ---- 1.32

4. SFC 11 (Shanghai) ---- 70.27 ---- 11557 ---- 1.47

5. Xinjiekou International Cineplex 9 (Nanjing) (IMAX) ---- 69.28 ---- 11394 ---- 1.45

6. Wanda Cinema 10 (Shanghai) (IMAX) ---- 68.25 ---- 11225 ---- 1.23

7. UME Shuangjing 10 (Beijing) (CGFS)---- 67.75 ---- 11143 ---- 1.19

8. UME Huaxing 5 (Beijing) (IMAX)---- 64.59 ---- 10623 ---- 1.04

9. Wanda Cinema 9 (Guangzhou) (IMAX) ---- 63.68 ---- 10473 ---- 1.15

10. Jinyi Cinemas Joy City 7 (Beijing) (IMAX) ---- 60.85 ---- 10008 ---- 1.04

 

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Saturday box office didnt even cross 70m ... 

 

 

Sarft report 21.769 billion RMB total box office for 2013. Total films screened: 305.

Local: 12.767B, +54.32%, share 58.65%

Foreign: 9.002B, +2.3%, share 41.35%

Total screens end of 2013: 18195

 

Average attendance per show in 2013 was about 21 (15%), slightly down from 2012. 70% new theaters in 2013 posted deficit in 2013.

Edited by firedeep
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China box office cannot keep growing indefinitely. It has to slow down at some point.

 

Further, generally different countries have annual box office of around $500-700 for every million dollar of GDP. China is fast approaching this mark and is now over $400. So the growth rate will keep slowing down asymptotically.

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