Fake Posted April 21, 2015 Share Posted April 21, 2015 Slowing down now..... $400m getting progressively difficult. Still ..... $360m is more than a decent total. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalismanRing Posted April 21, 2015 Share Posted April 21, 2015 Olive made a post about it. firedeep is predicting 2B Yuan which would be over 320M. To be honest I would be happy with 200M, anything over that amount is just icing on the cake. Considering that the projections were for FF7 days before it opened was around $180-210m I'm not sure close projections 3 weeks away is possible for a film that size in this surprising rapidly expanding market.. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted April 21, 2015 Share Posted April 21, 2015 TF4 FF7 Day Yuan % +/- % BO -OW Total $ Tot Yuan % +/- TF4 vs FF7 Total $ Tot % Cume TF4 Mltplr DayxM +OW $Proj Fri 195 195 32 Sat 223 14.4% 418 69 51 - MN Sun 213 -4.6% 631 103 347 63.1% 398 64 -37.9% Mon 123 -42.1% 9.07 754 124 184 -47.0% 49.5% 582 94 -24.0% 11.03 2,421 390 Tues 112 -8.9% 8.25 866 142 167 -9.2% 48.8% 749 121 -14.9% 12.12 2,416 389 Wed 95 -15.7% 6.97 961 157 137 -18.0% 44.8% 886 143 -9.3% 14.35 2,358 380 Thur 84 -11.0% 6.21 1045 171 114 -16.8% 35.4% 1000 161 -5.8% 16.10 2,228 359 Fri 87 3.4% 6.42 1132 186 142 24.6% 63.0% 1142 184 -0.7% 15.58 2,604 419 Sat 130 48.8% 9.55 1262 207 225 58.5% 73.6% 1367 220 6.6% 10.47 2,748 443 Sun 118 -9.0% 8.69 1379 226 184 -18.2% 56.1% 1551 250 10.6% 11.51 2,509 404 Mon 54 -58.33% 4.02 1433 235 72 -60.9% 33.3% 1623 262 11.4% 24.85 2,181 351 Tue 53 -1.85% 3.95 1486 244 63 -12.5% 18.9% 1686 272 11.6% 25.32 1,987 320 Wed 43 -18.87% 3.20 1529 251 Thu 39 -9.30% 2.91 1568 257 Fri 42 7.69% 3.13 1610 264 Sat 62 47.62% 4.62 1672 274 Sun 58 -6.45% 4.32 1730 284 AvePro 384 Str8 Up TF4 1st Week FF7 2nd Week TF/FF Day TF4 FF7 %Cume Day Yuan % Ch Total $ Tot Yuan % Ch vs TF4 Total $ Tot F/Su 1 195 398 104.3% Fri 195 195 32 142 -27.2% 142 23 S/M 2 223 184 39.4% Sat 223 14.4% 418 69 225 58.5% 0.9% 367 59 S/T 3 213 167 18.8% Sun 213 -4.6% 631 103 184 -18.2% -13.5% 551 89 M/W 4 123 137 17.5% Mon 123 -42.1% 754 124 72 -60.9% -41.5% 623 100 T/Th 5 112 114 15.5% Tue 112 -8.9% 866 142 63 -12.5% -43.9% 686 111 W/F 6 95 142 18.9% Wed 95 -15.7% 961 157 Th/S 7 84 225 30.8% Thu 84 -11.0% 1045 171 F/Su 8 87 184 37.0% S/M 9 130 72 28.7% TF4 Fri to Thu FF7 S/T 10 118 63 22.2% Yuan $$$ +/- Yuan $$$ +/- TF v FF M/W 11 Wk1 1045 171 1000 161 -4.3% T/Th 12 Wk2 524 86 -49.9% 791 128 -20.9% 51.1% Partial Proj Total 1379 1686 22.2% Wk3 256 42 -51.1% 400 65 -49.4% 56.3% Proj w Ap 30 Tot $ 226 272 20.3% Wk4 81 13 -68.4% 300 48 -25.0% 270.4% Proj w M1,2.3 Proj$ 30 319 384 20.3% Wk5 42 7 -48.1% 75 12 -75.0% 78.6% Tot 1947.4 319 2566 414 31.8% Numbers keep getting lower than I thought after that amazing Saturday number. Fingers crossed for a 40m + weekend. The more I look the May numbers, the more I think we're in for a surprise. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Emirazza Posted April 21, 2015 Share Posted April 21, 2015 Slowing down now..... $400m getting progressively difficult. Still ..... $360m is more than a decent total. I need this to drop hard as possible. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LumiaAir Posted April 21, 2015 Share Posted April 21, 2015 I hope Furious 7 stops at $400.000001M , that would be amazing Not as much as you might think,there should be $380 m . Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tupek Posted April 21, 2015 Share Posted April 21, 2015 I need this to drop hard as possible. Calm down dude, you ain't goin' to earn a single buck from the goldmine that will be AoU anyways 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lordmandeep Posted April 21, 2015 Share Posted April 21, 2015 Lol chill TA2 is like coming for 3 more weeks dude. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seduh Posted April 22, 2015 Share Posted April 22, 2015 $400 is quite difficult, but not imposible at all. I think $375 is almost a lock (in china nothing is a lock as movie can fall +80%) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vc2002 Posted April 22, 2015 Share Posted April 22, 2015 (edited) Most box office observers here are predicting $250-300M. I think like what F7 did to our DOM predictions, it's doing the same to our expectations on China boxoffice. $250-300m seems too high for TA2. The feeling of nostalgia (Is that a proper translation of "情怀"?) is among the most efficient marketing tools in China, and that's why this F7 mega breakout happened. It's more efficient in China than in any other countries which is why Titanic re-release did monstrous business in China while only having average performance in the rest of the world. There's no doubt that TA2 will be huge, but does it have what it takes challenge $300m? TF4 is obvious the closest case. We've seen that it took 3 record-breaking predecessors, Chinese actors involvement, scenes shooting in China to break that $300m mark. I don't see how TA2 got the same quality to even come close. Normal blockbuster level in China is $100-150m at this moment. TA2 should be around $200m IMO. Edited April 22, 2015 by vc2002 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted April 22, 2015 Share Posted April 22, 2015 San Andreas -June 2nd Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pypa94 Posted April 22, 2015 Share Posted April 22, 2015 China wants to cut money from AOU or what? F7 has 3-4 weeks with less competition and AOU has already 2 potentially big movies from Hollywood and I guess couple of local movies too. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted April 22, 2015 Share Posted April 22, 2015 San Andreas -June 2nd Lol, SARFT trying to sabotage TA2. By pushing TA2 to May 12th, they helped FF7 have clear path to record breaking total and now with TA2... ridiculous. Hopefully, it can still hit 250M. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted April 22, 2015 Share Posted April 22, 2015 Wednesday(4/21/2015) estimates #/Title: Daily(yuan)~Total(yuan)~Total($) 1.Furious 7: 51M~1741M~$281M #2 all time grosser 2.Ever Since We Love: 10M~105M~$16.9M 3.Wolf Warriors: 5.4M~506M~$81.7M 4.Mortdecai: 1.8M~19M~$3.1M 5.The Queens:0.7M~14.2M~$2.3M (Current exchange rate $=6.195 Yuan). 9 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neo Posted April 22, 2015 Share Posted April 22, 2015 Lol, SARFT trying to sabotage TA2. By pushing TA2 to May 12th, they helped FF7 have clear path to record breaking total and now with TA2... ridiculous. Hopefully, it can still hit 250M. Why do they sabotage a movie? What benefit is there? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted April 22, 2015 Share Posted April 22, 2015 Why do they sabotage a movie? What benefit is there? They want local movies to thrive as such they've protection months where only local movies play. With FF7 blowing up, they definitely don't want TA2 do the same so it makes sense from their point of view. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted April 22, 2015 Share Posted April 22, 2015 Why do they sabotage a movie? What benefit is there? Chinese are protectionists against imports, They limit, tax or outright prohibit many imports to ensure their own products thrive. movies are a fine example of their practices 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neo Posted April 22, 2015 Share Posted April 22, 2015 They want local movies to thrive as such they've protection months where only local movies play. With FF7 blowing up, they definitely don't want TA2 do the same so it makes sense from their point of view. But they do make a % of what it makes? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted April 22, 2015 Share Posted April 22, 2015 But they do make a % of what it makes? Firedeep or Olive can better explain that. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POTUS 2020 Posted April 22, 2015 Share Posted April 22, 2015 But they do make a % of what it makes? the theaters do but 100% of the money stays in China when its a Chinese film and provides thousands of jobs. Reduce foreign choices that may be more desired and a moviegoer will have no choice but opt for something local. If the 4b in BO was the amount Chinese were able or willing to spend last year and if all OS releases were released in China and not restricted to 30 days, would it have been approx. 50/50 for local and imports? Doubt it. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neo Posted April 22, 2015 Share Posted April 22, 2015 the theaters do but 100% of the money stays in China when its a Chinese film and provides thousands of jobs. Reduce foreign choices that may be more desired and a moviegoer will have no choice but opt for something local. If the 4b in BO was the amount Chinese were able or willing to spend last year and if all OS releases were released in China and not restricted to 30 days, would it have been approx. 50/50 for local and imports? Doubt it. A movie like F7 that will do 300M+ isn't it better to maximize OW #'s so more can stay in China. I don't think a local film would do better than say AOU OW. To me it hurts China seeing they could make more, no? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...