druv10 Posted November 29, 2012 Share Posted November 29, 2012 Let's say Lincoln follows in The Artist's footsteps:Thurs: 1.9Fri: 4.2Sat: 6.6Sun: 5.0That's 15.8 mill...that's about 40%. So it's not out of the realm that it will have a fairly large drop, just like many other films do after Thanksgiving.I expect Lincoln to get another TC increase this weekend so another strong hold should happen. Sub 40% drop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted November 29, 2012 Author Share Posted November 29, 2012 I expect Lincoln to get another TC increase this weekend so another strong hold should happen. Sub 40% drop.I didn't account for a theater increase. 2000 theaters is quite a lot. You think it will get more than that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted November 29, 2012 Share Posted November 29, 2012 I don't see how it finishes any higher than 3rd.Skyfall with 50%+ drop is in the same range. BD2 with the 60%+ drop is in the same range so Lincoln can definitely win the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted November 29, 2012 Share Posted November 29, 2012 (edited) I didn't account for a theater increase. 2000 theaters is quite a lot. You think it will get more than that?Licoln's PTA was over 12K last weekend so another TC increase is on the cards. Edited November 29, 2012 by druv10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ecstasy Posted November 29, 2012 Share Posted November 29, 2012 Argo getting close to that 100m. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted November 29, 2012 Author Share Posted November 29, 2012 Skyfall with 50%+ drop is in the same range. BD2 with the 60%+ drop is in the same range so Lincoln can definitely win the weekend.Skyfall with a 50% drop is at 17.5BD2 with a 60% drop is at 17.5Lincoln with a 40% drop is at 15 mill.It's not going to get a 10-12K average again, imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MovieMan89 Posted November 29, 2012 Share Posted November 29, 2012 So The Hobbit will bring life back to Theaters in 2 weeks?Hopefully it opens big.This two week movie drought will only help its opening. People will be clamoring for something new to see come mid december. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poseidon Posted November 29, 2012 Share Posted November 29, 2012 I wouldn't be so cocky there bub. I'm not saying it will, but many films, including well received ones aimed at adults, drop the weekend after Thanksgiving.http://www.boxoffice....com/120511.htmIt's not about being cocky. Lincoln is still limited and even if it's not adding theaters the coming weekend, it just had the biggest 3 day bump i can find in the last 15 years and that's including christmas themed movies.To me that's what good WOM is all about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted November 29, 2012 Share Posted November 29, 2012 Skyfall with a 50% drop is at 17.5BD2 with a 60% drop is at 17.5Lincoln with a 40% drop is at 15 mill.It's not going to get a 10-12K average again, imo.Should was a strong word but could win is possible. I'm expecting a 35% drop and that's without a TC increase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted November 29, 2012 Author Share Posted November 29, 2012 Should was a strong word but could win is possible. I'm expecting a 35% drop and that's without a TC increase.Yes, you could be right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Punishment Posted November 29, 2012 Share Posted November 29, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted November 29, 2012 Author Share Posted November 29, 2012 WTF? BD2 with a much better hold than reported. 12% drop is very nice. that's about half of what the estimates had it dropping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted November 29, 2012 Author Share Posted November 29, 2012 That little correction for BD2 now puts it on pace for a drop of less than 60% for the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TLK Posted November 29, 2012 Share Posted November 29, 2012 BD2 and Skyfall have almost identical Mon-Wed drops. I think BD2 will edge out Skyfall for the weekend if their Thursday holds are similar. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Punishment Posted November 29, 2012 Share Posted November 29, 2012 Theater counts are up; not much of change for any of the movies and Lincoln is staying in the same amount of theaters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted November 29, 2012 Share Posted November 29, 2012 Yes, you could be right.Looks like you're right. BD2 should win the weekend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Accursed Arachnid!™ Posted November 29, 2012 Share Posted November 29, 2012 Lincoln, SLP and Argo are the only movies in the top 10 to increase from Monday to Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gopher Posted November 29, 2012 Share Posted November 29, 2012 Looks like SLP and Lincoln are waiting until next weekend to add theaters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ecstasy Posted November 29, 2012 Share Posted November 29, 2012 Nice surprise for BD2 with that drop. Not so fast Skyfall, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Accursed Arachnid!™ Posted November 29, 2012 Share Posted November 29, 2012 Nice surprise for BD2 with that drop. Not so fast Skyfall, lol.Mon to Wed holds:Skyfall: 94.8%BD2: 93.4%QOS: 92.9%Just sayin... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
