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Weekend Estimates:BD2: 9.2 LINC 9.115

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Both Skyfall and BD2 should just edge past 300m when it's all said and done. Lincoln has almost made 100m and it still has a long run ahead of it... Disney's probably waiting until January to take it beyond 2000 theaters. I still see 150m for it. Pi and Guardians will probably finish somewhere between 90-100m.

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Studio estimates: boxofficemojo.com

 

TW LW Title (click to view) Studio Weekend Gross % Change Theater Count / Change Average Total Gross Budget* Week #
1 2 Skyfall Sony $11,000,000 -33.6% 3,401 -62 $3,234 $261,620,000 $200 5
2 3 Rise of the Guardians P/DW $10,540,000 -21.3% 3,639 -33 $2,896 $61,914,000 $145 3
3 1 The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 2 Sum. $9,200,000 -47.2% 3,646 -362 $2,523 $268,735,000 $120 4
4 4 Lincoln BV $9,115,000 -31.9% 2,014 -4 $4,526 $97,335,000 $65 5
5 5 Life of Pi Fox $8,300,000 -31.7% 2,946 +18 $2,817 $60,918,000 $120 3
6 N Playing for Keeps FD $6,000,000 - 2,837 - $2,115 $6,000,000 - 1
7 6 Wreck-It Ralph BV $4,904,000 -29.4% 2,746 -341 $1,786 $164,448,000 $165 6
8 8 Red Dawn (2012) FD $4,261,000 -34.4% 2,754 -27 $1,547 $37,265,000 $65 3
9 9 Flight Par. $3,130,000 -30.1% 2,431 -172 $1,288 $86,202,000 $31 6
10 7 Killing Them Softly Wein. $2,748,000 -59.7% 2,424 - $1,134 $11,772,000 $15 2
11 11 Silver Linings Playbook Wein. $2,238,000 -27.6% 371 - $6,032 $14,031,000 $21 4
12 12 Anna Karenina Focus $1,538,000 -31.5% 422 +38 $3,645 $6,602,000 - 4
13 10 The Collection LD $1,503,000 -51.6% 1,403 - $1,071 $5,471,000 - 2
14 13 Argo WB $1,470,000 -26.9% 944 -99 $1,557 $103,148,000 $44.5 9
15 56 End of Watch ORF $733,000 +3,126.9% 1,249 +1,225 $587 $40,000,000 $7 12
16 16 Hitchcock FoxS $725,000 +77.4% 183 +133 $3,962 $1,674,000 - 3

 

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I just came back from a packed showing of Rise of the Guardians. Great movie, deserves more.Also saw today Red Dawn. Fucking hilarious :rofl:Great to see Skyfall back on top :)

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Per BOM report, the highest romcom for 2012 is What to Expect When You're Expecting with just 41 million? That's not even a "traditional" romcom. Bad year for romcoms although romantic drama The Vow earned huge this year

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What are the chances for 300m Skyfall now?

It's holding better than Casino Royale, so it does have a shot at 300M... Just do the math.Current gross: 261.2M.Next weekend: 45% percent drop (steeper than CR - Hobbit comes) - Means: 6.05M + Dailies (-40% = 4x 0.75(Average) = 3mil), so next week = 9.05M270M21st December - Here, vacation kicks in... Kids are free and stuff.Light drop maybe? -25% = 4.55M weekend + Dailies (-20% = 4x 0.50 (Average) = 2mil) = 5.05MChristmas: Increase 50%, leads to = 6.82M + Dailies (+100% = 4 x 1 = 4mil) = 10.82MCurrently, total stands at: 286.3MNew year's weekend: Increase 85%, leads to = 12.61M + Dailies (-50% = 4x 0.5= 2mil) = 14.6M300.9MThese numbers are based on Casino Royale drops and increases (Skyfall did better in increases, because, let's face, better Word of Mouth than Casino Royale had... Next week drop is steeper because of the Hobbit)
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1 Billion is locked even before China release.I'd say more like 1.1b. And if China breaks out, Shriekapoo may be going down. :P

Ok, so I've been a member of this forum for a long time, but I still have no idea why you call it "shriekapoo"? Care explaining please?
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It's holding better than Casino Royale, so it does have a shot at 300M... Just do the math.Current gross: 261.2M.Next weekend: 45% percent drop (steeper than CR - Hobbit comes) - Means: 6.05M + Dailies (-40% = 4x 0.75(Average) = 3mil), so next week = 9.05M270M21st December - Here, vacation kicks in... Kids are free and stuff.Light drop maybe? -25% = 4.55M weekend + Dailies (-20% = 4x 0.50 (Average) = 2mil) = 5.05MChristmas: Increase 50%, leads to = 6.82M + Dailies (+100% = 4 x 1 = 4mil) = 10.82MCurrently, total stands at: 286.3MNew year's weekend: Increase 85%, leads to = 12.61M + Dailies (-50% = 4x 0.5= 2mil) = 14.6M300.9MThese numbers are based on Casino Royale drops and increases (Skyfall did better in increases, because, let's face, better Word of Mouth than Casino Royale had... Next week drop is steeper because of the Hobbit)

Thanks!
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Ok, so I've been a member of this forum for a long time, but I still have no idea why you call it "shriekapoo"? Care explaining please?

I love fish....but I'm not even sure how she came up with shriekapoo.But it means Return of the King.
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