Weekend #s Hobbit 84.7 ROG 7.4 Linc 7.2 Sky 7.0 Pi 5.4 BD2 5.2 pg 90

[Accursed Arachnid!™]

To further cement my point:

Midnights(Under 15m in red, over 25m in blue):

Winter 2002: TTT- 4m

Winter 2003: ROTK- 8m

Summer 2004: POA- 5m

Summer 2005: ROTS- 16.9m

Winter 2005: GOF- 6.3m

Summer 2007: OOTP- 12m

Summer 2008: TDK- 18.5m

Summer 2009: ROTF- 16.8m

Summer 2009: HBP- 22.8m

Winter 2009: New Moon- 26.3m

Summer 2010: Eclipse- 30.1m

Winter 2010: DH1- 24m

Summer 2011: DH2- 43.5m

Winter 2011: BD2- 30.3m

Spring 2012: THG- 19.7m

Summer 2012: TDKR- 30.6m

Winter 2012: BD2- 30.4m

Winter 2012: TH- 13m

OK, that's chronologically. Now let's go by largest to smallest(2010 films and newer in red, films 2005 or older in blue):

Summer 2011: DH2- 43.5m

Summer 2012: TDKR- 30.6m

Winter 2012: BD2- 30.4m

Winter 2011: BD2- 30.3m

Summer 2010: Eclipse- 30.1m

Winter 2009: New Moon- 26.3m

Winter 2010: DH1- 24m

Summer 2009: HBP- 22.8m

Spring 2012: THG- 19.7m

Summer 2008: TDK- 18.5m

Summer 2005: ROTS- 16.9m

Summer 2009: ROTF- 16.8m

Winter 2012: TH- 13m

Summer 2007: OOTP- 12m

Winter 2003: ROTK- 8m

Winter 2005: GOF- 6.3m

Summer 2004: POA- 5m

Winter 2002: TTT- 4m

[Noctis]

Exactly.

[#ED]

Perhaps she didn't include the 13M from midnights?

[Dementeleus]

OW numbers (and legs in general down the road) will determine if this was a "good" midnight number or not.

[Accursed Arachnid!™]

"Today’s take could be $38M-$40M with the weekend $115+M."

Her maths could use some work.She's using Avatar's multiplier.Avatar.

[baumer]

This isn't LotR 4. It's been ten years since ROTK came out.....why would the fans all flock to see this the minute it comes out? People will see this, but the gross will be spread out through the Christmas season.....

It was 17 years for TPM and that had a massive rush factor. LOTR, domestically and internationally, was at least on par with LOTR. So there should be a rush. Some of you in denial are talking about LOTR like it's a sequel to Magic Mike or Rush Hour 4. This is LOTR, one of the biggest movie phenoms ever.

[Shawn Robbins]

Her maths could use some work.

She's using Avatar's multiplier.

Avatar.

That, or copying Variety maybe:

http://www.variety.com/article/VR1118063653

Held at 3,100 midnight locations domestically, with 326 Imax, the strong latenight start matches what the pic has been collecting in advanced ticket sales: Two days prior to its release, "The Hobbit" was outpacing "The Avengers," which earned $17 million this summer in advanced ticket sales.

[#ED]

Again. I say this needs 45M today for 100M.

[Accursed Arachnid!™]

I Am Legend is a better comparison film than Avatar as it opened on the same exact day in 2007. Avatar, on the other hand, opened much closer to Christmas, which helped boost its Sunday number.

[Shawn Robbins]

Word of mouth looks concerning... down to 81% on Flixster. This really is going to come down to the general audience (families) at this point. Eerily reminiscent of Crystal Skull.

[Accursed Arachnid!™]

That, or copying Variety maybe:http://www.variety.c...le/VR1118063653

That article compares TH to Skyfall. I could be writing for Variety.

[Accursed Arachnid!™]

Word of mouth looks concerning... down to 81% on Flixster. This really is going to come down to the general audience (families) at this point. Eerily reminiscent of Crystal Skull.

That's the feeling I get too.

[Shawn Robbins]

I Am Legend is a better comparison film than Avatar as it opened on the same exact day in 2007. Avatar, on the other hand, opened much closer to Christmas, which helped boost its Sunday number.

That + the snow storm, IIRC. But maybe more importantly, its internal weekend word of mouth spread like wildfire.

[baumer]

That article compares TH to Skyfall. I could be writing for Variety.

Buddy....80% of us at this site could be and should writing for one of these major film publications. We have an inherently deeper knowledge of this stuff....mainly because we dissect everything 24 hours a day.

[Accursed Arachnid!™]

BTW, anyone looking to compare IAL to TH, IAL's midnights were 1.7m. http://boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=2635&p=.htm

[4815162342]

NOT A RECORD.

December Opening Weekend RecordDecember Opening Day Record

[#ED]

December Opening Weekend RecordDecember Opening Day Record

Awesome.

[Accursed Arachnid!™]

Oh, Dec records are falling. That was a given.

[#ED]

Oh, Dec records are falling. That was a given.

Still a record.

[lab276]

BTW, anyone looking to compare IAL to TH, IAL's midnights were 1.7m. http://boxofficemojo...?id=2635&p=.htm

So it's Saturday was Friday - midnights. Edited December 14, 2012 by lab276