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Jack Nevada

85th Academy Awards (24/2/13) Official Thread- TONIGHT!! NOMINEES IN THE FIRST POST

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Timetable for the rest of the season:24 January-PGA ballot deadline

25 January-WGA ballot deadline26 January-PGA awards27 January-SAG awards on TNT 5pm PST (Red Carpet at 3pm)1 February-DGA ballot deadline2 February-DGA awards6 February- BAFTA 2nd Round ballots are due8 February-AMPAS final ballots go out10 February - BAFTA ceremony Tape Delayed for Television until ceremony is done. Super Channel in Canada & BBC America in Canada and the US

17 February- WGA awards19 February–AMPAS final ballots in24 February– Oscars. 5pm PST Show Start. Red Carpet at 3pm24 February- The Meltdown and Aftermath 9pm PST

Bump. PGA tonight. Predictions?

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I'm going to predict Argo for PGA, though Lincoln and SLP certainly wouldn't surprise me. I'm also expecting DGA to go to Affleck. 

 

SAG isn't entirely indicative (though SLP will probably win there) but PGA certainly is. They use the same preferential ballot voting system as the Oscars, and I expect Argo to get enough #2 and #3 votes to take it. PGA, like the new Academy system, rewards the most generally agreeable film. Argo has a lot of passion and no one really dislikes the movie. Lincoln and SLP have more detractors. I think Affleck's directing snub may have done him more good than bad considering how much sympathy he is getting in the press (it's notable that Bigelow hasn't received nearly as much public sympathy). 

 

This is the now or never weekend. If Argo takes PGA and SLP takes SAG then Lincoln's pretty much out. If Lincoln takes PGA and SLP takes SAG then I was wrong about Argo and Lincoln is the frontrunner. If Lincoln takes both it's the frontrunner, if SLP takes both it's the frontrunner. 

Edited by Gopher
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