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May 17th-19th:

 

HPwj5JX.jpg

 

Good hold for Pikachu. Upcoming competition like Aladdin could hurt it, though. It should reach €6m.

 

Finally an under 50% drop for Endgame. Heading like we have already said to €28.5m (about $32m).

 

Mediocre opening of Hellboy. It could even miss €1.5m

 

"Lo dejo cuando quiera" keeps its great run with a mere 10% drop. €11m locked.

 

"Mia et le lion blanc" is having a great run. This last weekend has increased relative to previous weekend. It started with €0.5m and it has already multiplied by 7. €4m should be reachable, probably more.

 

Dumbo, great. It is reaching €14m.

 

We will see what happens with Aladdin, but the animated film is one of the most beloved ever. It sold 4.1 million admissions, the same than Endgame, for example.

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Presales for tomorrow with 4 new releases:

 

Aladdin (19 shows):
16:00 2D VOSE: 2/384

16:30 2D: 7/384

17:15 2D: 8/330

18:00 2D: 28/330

18:30 2D: 33/194

18:45 2D VOSE: 26/384

19:15 2D: 83/384

20:00 2D: 15/330

20:45 2D: 9/330

21:15 2D: 14/194

21:30 2D VOSE: 101/384

22:00 2D: 25/384

22:45 2D: 20/330

00:15 2D VOSE: 6/384

00:45 2D: 2/384

 

TOTAL: 379 tickets sold

 

Comps: 

Detective Pikachu (127 tickets sold): 5.80M

This could do +4M with Dumbo smashing before this year and Aladdin is more known than Dumbo and the marketing here was insane.

 

Brightburn (5 shows): 0 tickets sold

700K for this I think in line with Escape Room and Pet Sematary

 

Come un gatto in Tangenziale (5 shows): 0 tickets sold

 

Greta (5 shows): 0 tickets sold - 200K for this

 

 

 

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Yeah, Aladdin is hugely popular around here, so is Will Smith historically. Plus Dumbo's most impressive number OS is Spain....Expecting

big things. $20-25m total sounds reasonable but there's room for more.

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Aladdin legs could be impressive in Spain. Fiesta del Cine is coming next week (2.90 euros per ticket) on Monday to Wednesday. The only real competition will be Rocketman and John Wick and nothing more because Endgame and Pikachu are doing small numbers now. It can gross 1M per day on Fiesta del Cine if not more

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May 24th-26th

 

mSlavVD.jpg

 

Impressive opening of Aladdin. For the record, other recent openings:

Beauty an the Beast: €5.65m (€22.0m total)

The Jungle Book: €3.88m (€16.85m)

Dumbo: €3.47m (€14.33m, for the moment)

 

And as @ScareLol says, we have Fiesta del Cine next week which is a massive period of attendance because of low ticket prices. IMO, €20m is in play for Aladdin. Just to put into context, the animated film, with 4.1m admissions, adjusts to €26m.

 

The holdovers have been hit hard by Aladdin. Nearly everything drops over 50%. But since we have the mentioned discount period, it is hard to project final numbers. Let's say:

 

Pikachu: 6.5-7 million euros.

 

Endgame: 28.5-29 million

 

Lo dejo cuando quiera: 11.5-12 million

 

Hellboy: under 1.5 million

 

Dumbo: over 14.5 million

 

Dolor y Gloria could have a push after winning best actor prize in Cannes. It has been the only one with a great drop this last weekend (-8%). €6m should be safe. We'll see after that.

Edited by peludo
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Presales for tomorrow with 3 new releases:

 

A Private War (4 Shows): 0 tickets sold - This is going small so expect lower top 10 or out

 

John Wick 3 (8 shows):

16:20 2D: 2/212

17:15 2D VOSE: 2/212

19:40 2D VOSE: 12/212

21:40 2D: 12/212

22:15 2D VOSE: 20/212

 

TOTAL: 48 tickets sold - John Wick 2 did 375K first weekend but those pre-sales are strong. 1M is in play

Hellboy comp (31 tickets) - 780K

 

Rocketman (11 Shows):

16:30 2D: 2/330

18:45 2D VOSE: 17/330

20:35 2D: 4/212

21:30 2D VOSE: 23/330

22:00 2D: 8/330

00:45 2D: 4/330

 

TOTAL: 58 tickets sold - 1.25M+

 

Both of them could overperform with strong walk-ups. Aladdin will win the weekend again and I expect a 30% drop or less.

Edited by ScareLol
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Spain is the last territory for KOTM but the promo started already (I saw posters on the streets of Madrid). The problem is that it's releasing the same day as Toy Story 4 and the week after Men In Black so don't expect too much here

Edited by ScareLol
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18 minutes ago, ScareLol said:

Spain is the last territory for KOTM but the promo started already (I saw posters on the streets of Madrid). The problem is that it's releasing the same day as Toy Story 4 and the week after Men In Black so don't expect too much here

Yep No Chance ... 

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According to this, Rocketman debuts with 460K. My prediction was way off based on pre-sales but I think the most important reason here is La Fiesta del Cine coming tomorrow to justify the underperfomance a bit.

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