Passengers | Chris Pratt, Jennifer Lawrence | Dec 21, 2016 | Trailer pg 70

[Krissykins]

If only one thing was different, I would've liked Passengers.

 

But I can't forgive that one thing. And Sony are fully aware, hence keeping it totally hidden in marketing.

 

The films plot on IMDB is actually a lie:

 

A spacecraft travelling to a distant colony planet and transporting thousands of people has a malfunction in its sleep chambers. As a result, two passengers are awakened 90 years early.

 

[misafeco]

On 2017. 01. 02. at 6:06 PM, misafeco said:

	Passengers	TGWTDT	%
Wed	4,11	5,07	81,07
Thu	3,22	3,31	97,21
Fri	4,50	4,63	97,19
Sat	2,94	2,51	116,95
Sun	7,62	5,63	135,38
5 day	22,38	21,15	105,84
Mon	7,63	6,72	113,47
Tue	5,90	4,58	128,82
Wed	4,73	4,17	113,41
Thu	4,67	4,14	112,55
Fri	5,65	5,33	105,92
Sat	4,63	4,24	109,04
Sun	5,88	5,25	112,04
Mon	4,55	4,37	104,21
Gross to date	66,01	59,95	110,10
Legs (5 day)	2,95	2,84	104,02
Final gross*	110,36	102,5158	107,66
*if Passengers holds the last day's %

 

This is where the fun begins. TGWTDT had incredible weekday holds and a terrific 3rd weekend. It made 42.5M more after Monday. Passengers needs only 34M (80%).

Actuals in da house!

 

	Passengers	TGWTDT	%
Wed	4,11	5,07	81,07
Thu	3,22	3,31	97,21
Fri	4,46	4,63	96,30
Sat	2,87	2,51	114,32
Sun	7,54	5,63	133,99
5 day	22,19	21,15	104,97
Mon	7,52	6,72	111,85
Tue	5,92	4,58	129,21
Wed	4,78	4,17	114,74
Thu	4,69	4,14	113,15
Fri	5,63	5,33	105,63
Sat	4,64	4,24	109,38
Sun	5,88	5,25	112,16
Mon	4,91	4,37	112,54
Gross to date	66,18	59,95	110,39
Legs (5 day)	2,98	2,84	105,17
Final gross*	114,08	102,5158	111,28
*if Passengers holds the last day's %

 

Good news: Overall gross increased by ~170k. 5-day slightly decreased (190k) Monday too (110k), weekdays increased. Friday decreased, Sat/Sun/Mon increased (Mon especially! by 360k).

[amelin]

Thanks for doing these comparisons @misafeco!

[JennaJ]

So right now, does it look likely that this will gross over 100m domestic and 300m WW? I consider that to be the barometer for a decent performance considering the reviews. 

 

If it somehow does great in China and gets closer to 400m WW, then that could actually be considered a success.

[baumer]

This will possibly make my top 10 of the year.

[misafeco]

43 minutes ago, JennaJ said:

So right now, does it look likely that this will gross over 100m domestic and 300m WW? I consider that to be the barometer for a decent performance considering the reviews. 

 

If it somehow does great in China and gets closer to 400m WW, then that could actually be considered a success.

80% chance

40% chance

 

Just my guesses.

[baumer]

I think 100 is locked.

[75Live]

Just now, Christmas Baumer said:

I think 100 is locked.

 

I don't think it's locked, but I do think the shackle on the pad lock is 99.99% of the way pushed in  

[baumer]

It held up really well over the holidays and showed no signs of collapsing. I believe even if it has Dragon Tattoo legs now it should get to about 110

[The Futurist]

6 minutes ago, Christmas Baumer said:

It held up really well over the holidays and showed no signs of collapsing. I believe even if it has Dragon Tattoo legs now it should get to about 110

 

So BOT was right with its predictions of Passengers.

 

The ony thing we couldn't predict was the acid venom the movie got from critics.

 

Without those reviews, the movie would have flew by 150m.

 

 

[misafeco]

7 minutes ago, Christmas Baumer said:

It held up really well over the holidays and showed no signs of collapsing. I believe even if it has Dragon Tattoo legs now it should get to about 110

Dragon Tattoo had incredible holds in January. Also didn't drop under 1000 theaters until February. Let's see the weekday numbers before claiming it's locked.

[JennaJ]

January is pretty barren and I'm seeing mostly positive WOM. I just hope it doesn't lose too many theaters too quickly.

[Amadeus]

1 hour ago, misafeco said:

80% chance

40% chance

 

Just my guesses.

there's only a 10% chance of that. 

[efialtes76]

15 minutes ago, JennaJ said:

January is pretty barren and I'm seeing mostly positive WOM. I just hope it doesn't lose too many theaters too quickly.

Well...

Hidden Figures-2.500 Theaters

Underworld-2.300

Live By Night-3.000

Patriots Day-2.800-3.000

Silence-2.000+

Sleeples-2.000+

XXX-3.000+

Split-2.800+

Resident Evil-2.800

And La La Land.

[JennaJ]

29 minutes ago, efialtes76 said:

Well...

Hidden Figures-2.500 Theaters

Underworld-2.300

Live By Night-3.000

Patriots Day-2.800-3.000

Silence-2.000+

Sleeples-2.000+

XXX-3.000+

Split-2.800+

Resident Evil-2.800

And La La Land.

 

Yeah, I didn't mean January had no movies, just that nothing really seems all that appealing to me (except for some of the Oscar contenders which are expanding, like La La Land).

That's why I said that I hope it doesn't lose too many screens. Obviously there will be new movies contending for those screens.

[Goffe]

1 hour ago, The Futurist said:

The ony thing we couldn't predict was the acid venom the movie got from critics.

 

Without those reviews, the movie would have flew by 150m.

 

 

2

[misafeco]

4 minutes ago, JennaJ said:

 

Yeah, I didn't mean January had no movies, just that nothing really seems all that appealing to me (except for some of the Oscar contenders which are expanding, like La La Land).

That's why I said that I hope it doesn't lose too many screens. Obviously there will be new movies contending for those screens.

Good thing we have Assassins Creed to make room for new releases. 

[filmlover]

Movie theaters will be quick to drop things like Office Christmas Party (which most theaters around me are dropping like crazy this weekend) and Assassin's Creed (which is sure to die a very quick death now) before this goes.

[fmpro]

3 hours ago, misafeco said:

80% chance

40% chance

 

Just my guesses.

 

IMO its 95% safe that it hits 100 mill DOM and 100% that it hits 300 mill WW

 

The question is more will it hit 350 mill WW

 

[fmpro]

2 hours ago, Amadeus said:

there's only a 10% chance of that. 

 

I''ll give it a 90% chance of doing both