Passengers | Chris Pratt, Jennifer Lawrence | Dec 21, 2016 | Trailer pg 70

[Mockingjay Raphael]

4 minutes ago, fmpro said:

 

IMO its 95% safe that it hits 100 mill DOM and 100% that it hits 300 mill WW

 

The question is more will it hit 350 mill WW

 

 

Exactly, it has more chances at doing $300m OS alone, than doing less than $300m WW, lol.

[misafeco]

5 day	22,19	21,15	104,97
Mon	7,52	6,72	111,85
Tue	5,92	4,58	129,21
Wed	4,78	4,17	114,74
Thu	4,69	4,14	113,15
Fri	5,63	5,33	105,63
Sat	4,64	4,24	109,38
Sun	5,88	5,25	112,16
Mon	4,91	4,37	112,54
Tue	2,59	2,08	124,54
Gross to date	68,76	62,03	110,86
Legs (5 day)	3,10	2,93	105,62
Final gross*	119,19	102,5158	116,26
*if Passengers holds the last day's %

 

Very good Tuesday gross (even if the discount Tue effect is bigger than it was in 2011). If it doesn't fall below 2M on Wed, I think 100M is locked.

[DeeCee]

4 hours ago, Amadeus said:

there's only a 10% chance of that. 

It's at least 12%. 

[trifle]

5 hours ago, misafeco said:

Dragon Tattoo had incredible holds in January. Also didn't drop under 1000 theaters until February. Let's see the weekday numbers before claiming it's locked.

 

4 hours ago, JennaJ said:

 

Yeah, I didn't mean January had no movies, just that nothing really seems all that appealing to me (except for some of the Oscar contenders which are expanding, like La La Land).

That's why I said that I hope it doesn't lose too many screens. Obviously there will be new movies contending for those screens.

 

Yeah, my biggest concern is over theater count.  I cautiously expect the movie to make $330M WW for 3x its budget, but I really want it to at least cover its budget once domestically for those rooting for it to fail.

 

3 hours ago, filmlover said:

Movie theaters will be quick to drop things like Office Christmas Party (which most theaters around me are dropping like crazy this weekend) and Assassin's Creed (which is sure to die a very quick death now) before this goes.

 

I hope you are right!  

 

35 minutes ago, misafeco said:

5 day	22,19	21,15	104,97
Mon	7,52	6,72	111,85
Tue	5,92	4,58	129,21
Wed	4,78	4,17	114,74
Thu	4,69	4,14	113,15
Fri	5,63	5,33	105,63
Sat	4,64	4,24	109,38
Sun	5,88	5,25	112,16
Mon	4,91	4,37	112,54
Tue	2,59	2,08	124,54
Gross to date	68,76	62,03	110,86
Legs (5 day)	3,10	2,93	105,62
Final gross*	119,19	102,5158	116,26
*if Passengers holds the last day's %

 

Very good Tuesday gross (even if the discount Tue effect is bigger than it was in 2011). If it doesn't fall below 2M on Wed, I think 100M is locked.

 

 

I would love that final gross number!

 

 

Edited January 4, 2017 by trifle

[trifle]

 

[Mockingjay Raphael]

Finally released here in Brazil, it is easily going to surpass The Martian/Interstellar despite the terrible ER, imo.

[trifle]

 

 

[trifle]

 

Edited January 6, 2017 by trifle

[XO21]

Ironically the third weekend hold will make the difference. $30m to go 

[misafeco]

Bigger drop than expected. Not good.

 

5 day	22,19	21,15	104,97
Mon	7,52	6,72	111,85
Tue	5,92	4,58	129,21
Wed	4,78	4,17	114,74
Thu	4,69	4,14	113,15
Fri	5,63	5,33	105,63
Sat	4,64	4,24	109,38
Sun	5,88	5,25	112,16
Mon	4,91	4,37	112,54
Tue	2,59	2,08	124,54
Wed	1,75	1,80	96,91
Gross to date	70,51	63,83	110,47
Legs (5 day)	3,18	3,02	105,24
Final gross*	108,00	102,5158	105,35
*if Passengers holds the last day's %

 

First day since first weekend where Passengers daily number is below TGWTDT. Still on it's way to 100M but it can be harder than what we expected yesterday.

[baumer]

It will pass 100 million.  Yesterday's number doesn't make it more difficult.  Most films fell hard yesterday.  That has more to do with Tuesday and Monday being strong than it does with Wednesday being weak.

[Mockingjay Raphael]

Jen attending fans at the premiere of Passengers in LA and giving an interview to a Brazilian site:

 

https://web.facebook.com/sitecinepop/videos/1352543024777077/

 

She's proud of the movie, and I'm glad of this.

[trifle]

15 hours ago, XO21 said:

Ironically the third weekend hold will make the difference. $30m to go 

 

There are supposed to be big storms this weekend. In another thread people were saying it might drive theater going down this weekend then rebound next weekend.  I am keeping my fingers crossed! 

 

15 hours ago, misafeco said:

Bigger drop than expected. Not good.

 

5 day	22,19	21,15	104,97
Mon	7,52	6,72	111,85
Tue	5,92	4,58	129,21
Wed	4,78	4,17	114,74
Thu	4,69	4,14	113,15
Fri	5,63	5,33	105,63
Sat	4,64	4,24	109,38
Sun	5,88	5,25	112,16
Mon	4,91	4,37	112,54
Tue	2,59	2,08	124,54
Wed	1,75	1,80	96,91
Gross to date	70,51	63,83	110,47
Legs (5 day)	3,18	3,02	105,24
Final gross*	108,00	102,5158	105,35
*if Passengers holds the last day's %

 

First day since first weekend where Passengers daily number is below TGWTDT. Still on it's way to 100M but it can be harder than what we expected yesterday.

 

thank you for crunching these numbers.

[dxmatrixdt]

 

[misafeco]

	Passengers	TGWTDT	%
5 day	22,19	21,15	104,97
Mon	7,52	6,72	111,85
Tue	5,92	4,58	129,21
Wed	4,78	4,17	114,74
Thu	4,69	4,14	113,15
Fri	5,63	5,33	105,63
Sat	4,64	4,24	109,38
Sun	5,88	5,25	112,16
Mon	4,91	4,37	112,54
Tue	2,59	2,08	124,54
Wed	1,75	1,80	96,91
Thu	1,58	1,70	92,75
Gross to date	72,09	65,54	110,01
Legs (5 day)	3,25	3,10	104,80
Final gross*	107,93	102,5158	105,28
*if Passengers holds the last day's %

 

Updated with Thu #. Deadline weekend estimates are not good either.

[trifle]

3 hours ago, misafeco said:

	Passengers	TGWTDT	%
5 day	22,19	21,15	104,97
Mon	7,52	6,72	111,85
Tue	5,92	4,58	129,21
Wed	4,78	4,17	114,74
Thu	4,69	4,14	113,15
Fri	5,63	5,33	105,63
Sat	4,64	4,24	109,38
Sun	5,88	5,25	112,16
Mon	4,91	4,37	112,54
Tue	2,59	2,08	124,54
Wed	1,75	1,80	96,91
Thu	1,58	1,70	92,75
Gross to date	72,09	65,54	110,01
Legs (5 day)	3,25	3,10	104,80
Final gross*	107,93	102,5158	105,28
*if Passengers holds the last day's %

 

Updated with Thu #. Deadline weekend estimates are not good either.

 

Yeah, Deadline weekend estimates are bad.  I am hoping that if it goes down it is storm related and bounces back on the three day weekend next week (for some people it is a three day weekend!)  But honestly, how correct has deadline been lately?  It might be above or below.

[trifle]

 

[XO21]

Forbes: Sony’s Passengers is holding on for one more weekend. The Jennifer Lawrence/Chris Pratt sci-fi romance or (depending on your point-of-view) horror movie snagged another $2.7 million (-53%) on Friday no. three, for a likely $8.65m (-48%) weekend and $80.8m cume. This $110m release is still looking at $100m+ domestic, so now it’s a question of whether overseas can turn it into a hit. It debuts in China next Friday with a $180m worldwide total by Sunday.

 

Unsure if $180m is accurate

[babz06]

27 minutes ago, XO21 said:

Forbes: Sony’s Passengers is holding on for one more weekend. The Jennifer Lawrence/Chris Pratt sci-fi romance or (depending on your point-of-view) horror movie snagged another $2.7 million (-53%) on Friday no. three, for a likely $8.65m (-48%) weekend and $80.8m cume. This $110m release is still looking at $100m+ domestic, so now it’s a question of whether overseas can turn it into a hit. It debuts in China next Friday with a $180m worldwide total by Sunday.

 

Unsure if $180m is accurate

It probably is, trades just haven't announced updated WW totals for other films besides Rogue One yet.

[trifle]

I'm guessing the low expectations for this weekend must reflect the parts of this country where there is snow and ice, because I just came back from a midday show, and it was full, except for the front row and a few seats in the second row.

 

It's still great on a rewatch! Not saying there are no flaws, but it is really enjoyable, to me.  I also like trying to spot more elements in that last scene each time.