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Shawn Robbins

Wednesday (5/1/13) Numbers: P&G $1.3m; OBLIVION $1.175m; 42 $0.688m

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  • Founder / Operator

Maybe 93 M - 97 M?

 

$97m still feels high to me. $93m, possibly. I could honestly see it tanking bad enough against IM3 and in the coming weeks to the point of not quite hitting $90 million. Will get a better idea of that this weekend. It's (so far) not as front-loaded as Fast & Furious in 2009, but the competition ahead could make it so.

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BOM:

 

 

1 1 Pain and Gain Par. $1,312,805 -33% - 3,277 $401 $25,217,015 6 2 2 Oblivion Uni. $1,175,520 -25% -49% 3,792 $310 $69,243,165 13 3 4 42 WB $688,192 -24% -37% 3,405 $202 $71,412,363 20 4 3 The Big Wedding LGF $621,086 -32% - 2,633 $236 $9,756,410 6 5 5 The Croods Fox $301,211 -26% -30% 3,283 $92 $164,231,594 41 6 6 The Place Beyond the Pines Focus $258,857 -28% -43% 1,584 $163 $17,162,841 34 7 8 Olympus Has Fallen FD $241,847 -19% -37% 2,334 $104 $93,974,089 41 8 7 G.I. Joe: Retaliation Par. $232,366 -27% -38% 2,707 $86 $117,293,550 35 9 9 Jurassic Park 3D Uni. $193,995 -19% -33% 1,848 $105 $42,693,335 27 - - Evil Dead (2013) TriS $177,315 -17% -47% 2,186 $81 $52,443,913 27
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Oblivion slowing down too quickly. OHF definitely looks to be holding its own. Definitely believe it can hit 100 with a decent dollar theater run.Croods looks to finally be slowing down. Maybe end in 180's.

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$97m still feels high to me. $93m, possibly. I could honestly see it tanking bad enough against IM3 and in the coming weeks to the point of not quite hitting $90 million. Will get a better idea of that this weekend. It's (so far) not as front-loaded as Fast & Furious in 2009, but the competition ahead could make it so.

There will be an added BOOST to oblivion from iron man 3 sellouts if anything.
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  • Founder / Operator

There will be an added BOOST to oblivion from iron man 3 sellouts if anything.

 

If it gains anything from IM3 sellouts, it still won't come close to making up for what it loses to IM3 to begin with.

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If it gains anything from IM3 sellouts, it still won't come close to making up for what it loses to IM3 to begin with.

I disagree strongly with that as whenever there's a huge opener the next biggest film gets a boost from overflow. With IM3 there will be a lot of overflow. I mean overflow happened with 2012 for crying out loud, it's gotta happen with IM3. And even if people went to the theaters to see oblivion and then saw IM3 was playing and changed their minds it would probably be sold out anyways.
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