Caladbolg
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Posts posted by Caladbolg
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I agree with Baumer and Empire, shouldn't be any spoilers here and should be mostly about numbers. I liked it better when the weekend threads got stricter and more spoiler free.
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3 hours ago, Justin4125 said:
You're acting like a 20 film build up entitles the film to a big box office run? 20+ movies in 10 years is as much a liability as it is a plus. EG made that much DESPITE releasing so many films in such a short time period. I dont think any franchise can make so many movies and maintain interest. Part of TFA's huge box office was the years long wait, as we've seen the SW can't support the same frequency of movies released...
I don't think we've seen that Star Wars can't support that frequency, yet. Out of the 5 films only 1 can really be considered failure. the other 4 are huge financial successes. While not a movie, The Mandalorian is has drawn a lot of praise as well.
The issue here isn't how many is coming out but rather just making good, fun, crowd pleasing movies. There also should have been, with the 3 episodes, a better, singular vision.
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Looks nice and interesting, though maybe the trailer tried to add too many zings and jokes.
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close to a 63% drop. That's a bit steeper than I was thinking, thought it could be at least $10m
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On 7/24/2019 at 12:21 AM, harrisonisdead said:
The more I've ironically circlejerked about this trailer the more legitimate interest and excitement has been instilled in me. Send help.
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Sunday should come in higher, looks like BOM hit it right on the head with their $190m ow forecast.
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12 hours ago, DisposedData said:
8m seems too high tbh. That like a 650%+ increase over Thursday lol.
It's their weekend estimate, not a Friday number
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3 hours ago, captainwondyful said:
Speaking of this - what did Avatar do on its re-release internationally? I know it's listed on BOM as 10M DOM.
The special edition got around $28m internationally.
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Personally, I'd like to see The Black Cauldron get a live action remake. In the PC age, I wonder how something like Pocahontas would work? Lilo and Stich could be great.
Also get James Cameron to direct a remake of Atlantis.
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55 minutes ago, Minnale101 said:
Did imdb open up the user ratings already why does it have 1186 user ratings
not really fair to movie since most probably didn’t watch and just judging off trailers
Standard practice that IMDb does allowing movies to be rated sometimes 2 weeks before US release. I don't know their official reasoning, but I'd figured it could have something to do with movies not releasing on the same day worldwide.
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13 minutes ago, VanillaSkies said:
I think the labor day expansion is a given at this point.
It's going to be either the #2 or #1 grossing movie domestically by that point.
It's the end chapter of a hugely successful Avengers franchise (Phases 1-3).
That weekend only have Playmobil releasing, so it would likely be able to get back it's IMAX/Dolby screens.
Well last year neither Black Panther nor Infinity War got it, and they were No 1 and 2 respectively. Instead it went to Incredibles 2. So it could easily just go to Toy Story 4 or The Lion King or they may not expand any.
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8 minutes ago, IceFire9yt said:
So, assuming a 150M second weekend, Endgame would have a 1.75x multi by Sunday.
Infinity War at that point had a 1.76x multi.
Age of Ultron had a 1.64x multi. (EG would have a slightly better 2nd weekend drop, and benefited a lot more from spillover than AoU did).
AoU made an additional .76x after its 2nd weekend (for a 2.4x total). If Endgame does for the rest of its run, it would get a 2.51x multi- 896M. (in that situation I feel Disney would feel compelled to fudge and get it past 900M lol). Regardless, it does look like Endgame will hold slightly better than AoU this weekend, so it could do better than that.
They wouldn't have to fudge it, just give it their usual Labor Day Weekend expansion in September.
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41 minutes ago, Cappoedameron said:
It said 50 million on Twitter for Saturday. Why I said 90.6.
No holiday plus 3 hr movie kind of conflicts with late night showings. Adults have work on Monday morning, Kids and teenagers have school.
`From 2737 locations, Endgame is playing in 4600+
So far this weekend it's has similar but bit off drops/bumps to Infinity War. A reasonable assumption could be that Sunday will be like that as well. Infinity War dropped 21.5%. That would put Endgame around $47m, using a $60m Sat. But since it hasn't been exactly the same, a 24% drop isn't out of the question either, hopefully it doesn't go higher than that. It could drop lower as well, so basically I think the range is $45-49m for Sunday,
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Anything over TFA's $56.7m gives AEG the biggest Saturday not part of an opening weekend. TFA will however gain some ground back on AEG in the next 2 weeks as it still had winter holidays.
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18 minutes ago, NCsoft said:
Yep, Star Wars's original domestic run actually adjust lower than TFA I believe.
Does anyone know aside from ET and Titanic, which other movie adjust higher than TFA domestically in its first run? I don't think that GWTW adjust higher either.
https://www.boxofficemojo.com/alltime/adjusted.htm
According to that: Jaws, The Ten Commandments, Doctor Zhivago didn't have multiple releases. ET, unless like ANH there's an expansion mixed into that insane 1982 run. Same thing with Gone With the Wind and Sound of Music.
https://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=releases&id=et.htm&adjust_yr=2019&p=.htm
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1 hour ago, Lordmandeep said:
850 million is assured.
When it makes to that mark, that puts Endgame in slim company of only 12 films to sell 100m tickets in the domestic market. That is according to the BOM adjuster so it's not entirely accurate.
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Quote
"Sat 109 (Asgard p. 290)"
Hmm, It's on page 284 for me.
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Never seen anything like this before. My 8 screen theater dropped everything but 1 movie (Breakthrough) that isn't Endgame or Captain Marvel for the weekend, Monday, for now, goes back to normal with Shazam, Llorona, etc
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I wonder how long the Endgame bump will last for CM, will we see bigger drops than normal for it next week?
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No doubt the OW record is falling again. But if it goes over $300m, how long will that stand? The longest it’s been before it was broken again is about 4 years or so going back to ‘75.
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Very similar bumps to Black Panther's bumps during its 5th weekend (3/16-3/18).
CM- 106% bump from Thur to Fri, then 56.8% from Fri to Sat
BP- 106% bump from Thurs to Fri, then 54.5% from Fri to Sat
If Sunday does as well, Cap could fall in the middle 30% (34.2% for BP).
Probably just a one time instance of this being similar, I'm not expecting Cap to have the legs BP had.
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23 minutes ago, IcarusReborn said:
I don't think the 2nd and 3rd weekend drops will be kind to Captain Marvel. I expect a 70-75% 2nd weekend drop.
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39 minutes ago, LeoC said:
‘Captain Marvel’ Skyrockets To $53M+ Saturday, Kicks Internet Trolls & Flies Toward $157M Opening
53.1 Sat and 157 OW? What kind of Sunday drop does it expect?
Maybe they are expecting something around a a $42m Sunday. With good wom and some places beginning Spring Break this upcoming week, that's a reasonable expectation.
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Didn’t show much, but looked nice though. Full trailer should be awesome. Though I have some reservations about Ritchie’s style.
No Way Home Weekdays/Matrix & Sing Thread (12/20-23) | 37.1M Monday/32M Tues | King's Man 800K Previews
in Numbers and Data
Posted
Oh sorry then