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parkerthegreat

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Posts posted by parkerthegreat

  1. 2 hours ago, JustLurking said:

    That film will be pushed down atleast like 6 spots (assuming no surprises) so it's pretty likely we'll have something like No Hard Feelings at 50.5M as #50, which is not really all that different from 2019, especially with a few strike-related delays (would've been more like 52M range otherwise).

     

    FWIW, I do agree the BO is weaker than pre-pandemic, I just think this specific point is pretty weak.

    Crap, you beat me to it. Sorry for repeating your point. 

  2. 2 hours ago, MysteryMovieMogul said:

    This year has been an absolute crapshoot for the box office.

     

    The 50th highest grossing film domestically in 2023 is 80 for Brady at $39,330,588.

    The 50th highest grossing film domestically in 2019 was Midway at $56,846,802.

    The 50th highest grossing film domestically in 2009 was The Final Destination at $66,477,700.

    The 50th highest grossing film domestically in 1999 was Stigmata at $50,041,732.

     

    Sure, there were superhits like Barbie, Oppenheimer, and The Super Mario Bros. Movie, and we can spend time giving Disney shit for their failures this year, but we're all ignoring the fact that most films, individually, are making less than they made 20 years ago.

    2023 could conceivably end up in the $50-52mil range for number 50, depending on how December goes. Theoretically Wish, Napoleon, Wonka, Aquaman 2, and Color Purple should all be able to clear $50mil, which would put No Hard Feelings as the 50th highest grosser. Picture looks a little less bleak that way, though still not great. 

  3. 7 hours ago, Shawn said:

    Share your final 2nd weekend predictions by 11:59pm ET tonight for Barbie and Oppy.

     

    Closest on each gets a free month of Gold tier (no ads, more likes, etc.).

     

    Must quote this post so it's easy to keep track!

    Barbie 101.7

    Oppenheimer 54.6

    • Like 1
  4. My contribution to help us get to page 200: one of my best friends, who typically sees two to three movies a week in theatres, usually different ones, said Oppenheimer may be the very best movie he’s ever seen. Is it really that good? It can’t possibly be better than older classics, can it? 

  5. 2 minutes ago, across the Jat verse said:

    I think reported numbers are bit high for MI7. Unreported locs nos. are usually high.

     

    I would estimate daily nos as

     

    15

    8

    16.2

    20.5

    16.2 // 75.9

    Assuming this doesn’t include the $2.5 million from early sneaks? Or is it a coincidence that adding those in gets to the official $78.4 million five-day?

  6. 16 minutes ago, Last Man Standing said:

    Apropos of nothing, I saw a list of comedies from 2004 and it made me realize just how much the cinema landscape changed in 20 years:

     

    Mean Girls

    White Chicks

    Anchorman

    Dodgeball

    The Spongebob Movie

    Napoleon Dynamite

    Shaun of the Dead

    13 going on 30

    50 First Dates

    Team America: World Police

    Meet the Fockers

    Harold & Kumar - White Castle

    EuroTrip

    Kung Fu Hustle

    What a great year for comedy that was. There are some real classics on that list and cover everything from innocent family films to raunchy classics.

    • Like 3
  7. 40 minutes ago, M37 said:

    Just thinking out loud: 

     

    Barbenheimer O/U Mario domestic? (~$575M)

    I think that should be doable for the two. I’ve currently got Oppenheimer doing Ted numbers (55/220) and Barbie somewhere in the 130/400 range. Obviously Oppenheimer will be a little more frontloaded on the opening weekend than Ted but I see it holding similarly well weekend by weekend due to IMAX stability and less significant competition. Ted’s only “bad” drop was weekend 4 when TDKR opened, for obvious reasons. 

  8. 3 hours ago, ZattMurdock said:

     If you think that racism in the US and Brazil is bad, be prepared whenever you go to the other South American countries. It’s disheartening.

    As someone who spent two years in Peru on a service mission for my church, I can very much confirm this. The stereotypes of all non-Hispanics are alive and well in their eyes. 
     

    I personally think TLM is off to a less than stellar start because people are tiring of the Disney rehash cycle. Most people I’ve talked to weren’t interested because of their experience with the previous remakes and have decided enough is enough. Haven’t seen that discussed much as a reason for the performance (which isn’t horrible, but it’s doubtfully what Disney was hoping for) so I figured I’d throw in my two cents.

    • Like 3
  9. 2 hours ago, stripe said:

    Who was the first to talk about 700M DOM for TGM? I was on that train since June 6th, but I remember there were a few talking about it earlier. So glad this dream has come true!

    I think the Fallen One was the first that I remember. I could be wrong though.

    • Like 2
  10. 29 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

    Top Gun Maverick - $1.55M / $679.1M

    Down 20% from two weeks ago. Simply incredible. Applying the same drops gives us about $5.6m and a cumulative $683.2m. Should be sitting right around $690m going into Labor Day weekend and I could see it hitting $700m by the end of the following weekend at this rate. 

    • Like 2
  11. 4 hours ago, Doffy said:

    700m  is in tight situation now only one more week until digital release and from then movie will drop hard.

    By the time it is available for digital release (NOT streaming) next week, it should be sitting about $685 mil. I think it’ll be just fine. No need for doom and gloom lol.

    • Like 1
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