Eric S'ennui
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Posts posted by Eric S'ennui
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1 minute ago, filmscholar said:
Funny people had a lot to say about "TLM" but that MD Holiday Opening is looking like Gold right now.
Alas, none of us can be as awesome as Halle 😎
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Hot take: I know that the script for Furiosa had been in the works for decades and Miller's way more passionate over that idea than a direct Fury Road sequel, but I feel like Furiosa would have done way better if it had came out after a second Hardy-Mad Max film was released. That would have benefited way more from the goodwill of Fury Road, made the franchise more popular and relevant, and then would have made people more eager to see a Furiosa prequel that has none of the actors people are familiar with.
This whole situation is basically like when Lego Batman came out before Lego Movie 2.
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5 minutes ago, YM! said:
Keysersoze seemed hopeful for 30m+ OW after strong preview walkups.
Well I trust Keysersoze with my life, so I'll believe him. (The user, not the guy from the movie
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Furiosa I can kind of see (TGM did 6.6x w/ Early Access, 7.5x isn't too crazy IMO), but I call BS on Garfield only getting 10x. This isn't going to play like Little Mermaid or even Aladdin. I can buy it doing worse than IF's IM, but surely something like Cruella's 15.35x IM makes way more sense, right?
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Quorum Updates
The Watchers T-15: 29.44% Awareness, 44.24% Interest
Harold and the Purple Crayon T-71: 15.76% Awareness, 33.81% Interest
The Fire Inside T-78: 12.89% Awareness, 37.56% Interest
Trap T-78: 25.04% Awareness, 47.14% Interest
White Bird T-133: 12.55% Awareness, 38.98% Interest
Mufasa: The Lion King T-211: 48.2% Awareness, 56.14% Interest
Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga T-1: 44.67% Awareness, 44.06% Interest
Final Awareness: 46% chance of 20M, 25% chance of 30M, 16% chance of 40M, 9% chance of 70M
Tentpole Awareness: 100% chance of 20M
Final Interest: 48% chance of 10M, 17% chance of 20M, 9% chance of 30M, 4% chance of 70M
Tentpole Interest: 100% chance of 30M
The Garfield Movie T-1: 61.28% Awareness, 51.29% Interest
Final Awareness: 100% chance of 20M, 92% chance of 30M, 88% chance of 40M, 76% chance of 50M, 60% chance of 60M, 48% chance of 70M, 36% chance of 80M, 28% chance of 100M
Animation/Family Awareness: 100% chance of 50M, 60% chance of 70M, 40% chance of 100M
Final Interest: 79% chance of 20M, 61% chance of 30M, 46% chance of 40M, 33% chance of 50M, 23% chance of 60M, 16% chance of 70M, 15% chance of 80M, 11% chance of 90M, 8% chance of 100M
Animation/Family Interest: 100% chance of 30M, 83% chance of 50M, 50% chance of 90M, 33% chance of 100M
Sight T-1: 12.89% Awareness, 29.62% Interest
Final Awareness: 0% chance of 10M
Low Awareness: 0% chance of 10M
Final Interest: 0% chance of 10M
Low Interest: 0% chance of 20M
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Moderation
Guys we're getting a little off-topic. Please focus on the numbers and tracking.
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5 hours ago, HummingLemon496 said:
@Eric Furiosa and just mods in general, if Deadpool 3 actually ends up topping Joker WW at $1.075B, is there a way that we can give some type of award(s) to @SpiderByte who created the club, as well as @XXR vs XXR, @ZattMurdock, @Arlborn, @Asyulus, @Nero, @TheFlatLannister, @grey ghost who all went IN pre tracking? Such uncanny accuracy needs to be celebrated, so surprised because based on presales I think has a good chance at happening if it is GOTG 3 quality.
I mean we never give awards because people made correct predictions, so no.
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I think Deadpool (and I guess Inside Out?) have taken us back to the evils of Mickey’s Law. For non-Disney movies, anything that can go wrong will go wrong. Things were already bad in our nostalgic toy commercial era. I hate that our culture has regressed itself yet again. It ain’t fun.
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8 minutes ago, ListenHunnyUrOver said:
What culture war issue is surrounding IF?
It’s racist against purple monsters.
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3 hours ago, MysteryMovieMogul said:
I'm extremely fascinated by IF. I haven't seen the film yet, but based on how polarizing the film is, I really want to.
Also, I keep seeing people use the underperformance of the film as proof no one really likes it, but isn't it also the second highest original opening since the pandemic?
I'm genuinely confused why both IF and The Fall Guy are part of some weird culture war on films.
I must be on the wrong part of the Internet. In what universe are IF and Fall Guy part of some culture war?
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Quorum Updates
Inside Out 2 T-23: 57.44% Awareness, 54.33% Interest
Despicable Me 4 T-42: 57.77% Awareness, 56.94% Interest
Maxxxine T-44: 16.51% Awareness, 34.91% Interest
Borderlands T-79: 29.19% Awareness, 44.01% Interest
Cuckoo T-79: 12.07% Awareness, 39.91% Interest
Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga T-2: 44.72% Awareness, 44.5% Interest
Final Awareness: 46% chance of 20M, 25% chance of 30M, 16% chance of 40M, 9% chance of 70M
Tentpole Awareness: 100% chance of 20M
Final Interest: 48% chance of 10M, 17% chance of 20M, 9% chance of 30M, 4% chance of 70M
Tentpole Interest: 100% chance of 30M
The Garfield Movie T-2: 58.61% Awareness, 49.45% Interest
Final Awareness: 92% chance of 20M, 73% chance of 30M, 35% chance of 40M, 23% chance of 50M, 15% chance of 60M
Animation/Family Awareness: 100% chance of 20M, 50% chance of 30M
Final Interest: 48% chance of 10M, 17% chance of 20M, 9% chance of 30M, 4% chance of 70M
Animation/Family Interest: 80% chance of 10M, 50% chance of 20M, 20% chance of 20M, 10% chance of 70M
Sight T-2: 13.22% Awareness, 29.12% Interest
Final Awareness: 0% chance of 10M
Low Awareness: 0% chance of 10M
Final Interest: 0% chance of 10M
Low Interest: 0% chance of 20M
The Bikeriders T-30: 15.83% Awareness, 33.5% Interest
T-30 Awareness: 15% chance of 10M
Low Awareness: 12% chance of 10M
Final Interest: 33% chance of 10M
Low Interest: 27% chance of 10M
A Quiet Place: Day One T-37: 34.27% Awareness, 50.36% Interest
T-30 Awareness: 82% chance of 10M, 54% chance of 20M, 33% chance of 30M, 12% chance of 40M
Horror Awareness: 89% chance of 10M, 55% chance of 20M, 33% chance of 30M, 11% chance of 40M
Final Interest: 94% chance of 10M, 86% chance of 20M, 77% chance of 30M, 67% chance of 40M
Horror Interest: 80% chance of 10M, 40% chance of 30M, 20% chance of 40M
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Can't believe this. Guess the movie's a bomb now.
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41 minutes ago, HummingLemon496 said:
Is not at least kinda funny?
No. Honestly, this whole thing is kind of creepy.
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Sean Baker da GOAT
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Kids are still in school. This seems like a standard drop for IF if you ask me.
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Weekend Numbers [05.24 - 05.27, 2024] | 4-day actuals | 32.3M FURIOSA: A MAD MAX SAGA | 31.3M THE GARFIELD MOVIE | 22.3M IF | 17.6M KINGDOM OF THE PLANET OF THE APES
in Numbers and Data
Posted
IIRC, there were tons of people on the forum who expected it to do as big as 300M+, just on the popularity of the first Lego Movie and the Batman brand alone. Which like...yeah, that was kind of stupid to expect in hindsight for a spin-off. And yeah, I guess 175M does sound right. Maybe it could have gotten to 200M Lego Movie 2 came out in 2017 and Batman came out in 2019? It certainly hurt Lego Movie 2 though, and will likely hurt a Hardy-led Mad Max sequel. By the time it dropped, it didn't really feel like the big direct sequel to a hit movie anymore.