[MaXXXine | July 5, 2024 | A24 | The next follow-up to the movies X and Pearl]

 

[Kinds of Kindness | Searchlight | June 21, 2024 | Lanthimos' newest movie]

 

[Fly Me to the Moon | 7/12/2024 | Apple/Sony | Scarlett Johansson, Channing Tatum]

 

[Borderlands | Lionsgate | Eli Roth to direct | Cate Blanchett is Lilith]

 

[Trap | August 2, 2024 | Warner Bros. | M. Night Shyamalan]

 

[The Bikeriders | 6/21/2024 | Focus | Jodie Comer, Austin Butler, Tom Hardy | Jeff Nichols]

 

[Twisters | Uni/WB | July 19, 2024 | A remake (?) to the 1996 classic]

 

[Alien: Romulus | August 16, 2024 | Fede Alvarez | See the original Alien in theaters on April 26]

 

[Despicable Me 4 | July 3, 2024]

 

[The Watchers | June 7, 2024 | Ishana Night Shyamalan directs | New Line Cinema]

 

[Horizon Part 1 | Kevin Costner-directed Western | June 28, 2024]

 

[Inside Out 2 | June 14, 2024 | Pixar does it again!]

 

[A Quiet Place: Day One | Paramount | June 28, 2024]

 

[Bad Boys: Ride or Die | June 7, 2024]

 

[The Garfield Movie | Sony | May 24, 2024]

 

[Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (yes that's the subtitle) | May 24, 2024 | Anya Taylor-Joy is Furiosa + Chris Hemsworth]

 

[DEADPOOL & WOLVERINE | 07.26.2024 | Disney | latest trailer on page 76]

12 hours ago, HummingLemon496 said:

Everyone, @BadOlCatSylvester was completely correct when he said this movie would blow up. Back in January he was correct even though I was being pessimistic, further cementing his status as one of the most accurate users on this entire forum. 

 

And we need to praise @TheFlatLannister who was also one of the people who predicted this movie to blow up. As well as @XXR vs XXR who made the "above Lion King OW" club (might actually happen) and also @Legion Again who said it would do Captain America: Civil War numbers, and also @SpiderByte who made the "highest grossing R rated movie of all time" club

No offense, but this obsessive fanboy thing you do over other users because people made a few random predictions correctly over a Ryan Reynolds movie? It's kind of weird.

[The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread]

23 minutes ago, kayumanggi said:

 

I mean I'd be very concerned if that wasn't the case, but good for it I guess.

[IF (2024)]

Discuss

[Back to Black (2024)]

Discuss

[The Strangers: Chapter 1 (2024)]

Discuss

[Classic Conversation Thread]

 

[The Fall Guy | May 3, 2024 | Universal | Ryan Gosling, Emily Blunt | Based off the 80s TV show]

1 minute ago, Mad Max007 said:

Extended Cut after 17 days? Man Universal is desperate.
 

 

No? They always put out movies that open below 50 out to PVOD in 17 days. They have been doing that for four years now.

[The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread]

Re: Fandango polls

 

Yes, they are plagued with recency bias and their exact rankings don't typically correlate with reality. And yeah, for specific stuff like horror or action or animation or whatever, I don't pay that any mind (though in the case of IMAX movies, yeah Twisters or Alien won't make as much as Despicable Me 4 or Inside Out 2, but not many are going to seek out IMAX specifically for those, so...)

 

But generally speaking, their top 10s have served as a good rule of thumb and the majority of their films do reach their rankings. If you look at the summer countdowns specifically...

 

Spoiler

Fandango Summer Top 15 2023

1. Across the Spider-Verse

2. M:I Dead Reckoning Part 1

3. The Flash

4. Transformers Rise of the Beasts

5. The Little Mermaid

6. Fast X

7. Barbie

8. Oppenheimer

9. Haunted Mansion

10. TMNT Mutant Mayhem

11. Indiana Jones 5

12. Insidious 5

13. The Meg 2

14. Asteroid City

15. Gran Turismo

 

Actual Summer Top 15 2023

 

1. Barbie

2. Across the Spider-Verse

3. The Little Mermaid

4. Oppenheimer

5. Sound of Freedom

6. Indiana Jones 5

7. M:I Dead Reckoning Part 1

8. Transformers: Rise of the Beasts

9. Elemental

10. Fast X

11. The Flash

12. TMNT Mutant Mayhem

13. Insidious 5

14. Meg 2

15. Haunted Mansion

 

13/15 match (using the top 10, 7/10, was done after Guardians 3 released)

 

Fandango Summer Top 10 2022

1. Doctor Strange 2

2. Thor: Love and Thunder

3. Jurassic World: Dominion

4. Top Gun: Maverick

5. Minions: The Rise of Gru

6. Lightyear

7. Elvis

8. Nope

9. Bullet Train

10. Downton Abbey: A New Era

 

Actual Summer Top 10 2022

 

1. Top Gun: Maverick

2. Doctor Strange 2

3. Jurassic World: Dominion

4. Minions: The Rise of Gru

5. Thor: Love and Thunder

6. Elvis

7. Nope

8. Lightyear

9. Bullet Train

10. DC League of Super-Pets

9/10 match

 

2019 Fandango Summer Top 10

1. Spider-Man: Far From Home

2. Rocketman

3. Godzilla: King of the Monsters

4. Dark Phoenix

5. The Lion King

6. Toy Story 4

7. Men in Black: International

8. Hobbs and Shaw

9. Aladdin

10. The Secret Life of Pets 2

 

2019 Actual Summer Top 10

 

1. The Lion King

2. Toy Story 4

3. Spider-Man: Far From Home

4. Aladdin

5. Hobbs and Shaw

6. Secret Life of Pets 2

7. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

8. Godzilla: King of the Monsters

9. Rocketman

10. Good Boys

8/10 match (done after Endgame/Detective Pikachu released)

 

Fandango Summer 2018

1. Avengers: Infinity War

2. Deadpool 2

3. Solo: A Star Wars Story

4. Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom

5. Incredibles 2

6. Ocean’s 8

7. Mamma Mia! 2

8. Mission: Impossible - Fallout

9. Sicario 2

10. Ant-Man and the Wasp

 

Actual Summer 2018

1. Avengers: Infinity War

2. Incredibles 2

3. Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom

4. Deadpool 2

5. Mission: Impossible - Fallout

6. Ant-Man and the Wasp

7. Solo: A Star Wars Story

8. Crazy Rich Asians

9. Hotel Transylvania 3

10. The Meg

 

7/10 match

 

Like yeah, the metrics have it that for 70% of the time, at least for the summer, these Fandango polls showcase a good barometer on what's connecting, and you can easily use context clues to realize that Asteroid City or Downton Abbey 2 or Sicario 2 will probably get beaten out by a July/August release that doesn't have much advertising or a kids animated movie that won't be on most Fandango users' radar. I think there's value in them IMO

[The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread]

Quorum Updates

Bad Boys: Ride or Die T-18: 60.56% Awareness, 59.12% Interest

The Watchers T-18: 31.07% Awareness, 44.15% Interest

It Ends with Us T-81: 15.47% Awareness, 38.28% Interest

Blink Twice T-95: 10.69% Awareness, 35.19% Interest

Never Let Go T-130: 18.2% Awareness, 42.48% Interest

Wicked T-191: 37.01% Awareness, 45.09% Interest

 

Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga T-4: 43.46% Awareness, 43.51% Interest

Final Awareness: 46% chance of 20M, 25% chance of 30M, 16% chance of 40M, 9% chance of 70M

Tentpole Awareness: 100% chance of 20M

Final Interest: 48% chance of 10M, 17% chance of 20M, 9% chance of 30M, 4% chance of 70M

Tentpole Interest: 100% chance of 30M

 

The Garfield Movie T-4: 56.39% Awareness, 49.62% Interest

Final Awareness: 92% chance of 20M, 73% chance of 30M, 35% chance of 40M, 23% chance of 50M, 15% chance of 60M

Animation/Family Awareness: 100% chance of 20M, 50% chance of 30M

Final Interest: 48% chance of 10M, 17% chance of 20M, 9% chance of 30M, 4% chance of 70M

Animation/Family Interest: 80% chance of 10M, 50% chance of 20M, 20% chance of 20M, 10% chance of 70M

 

Sight T-4: 14.96% Awareness, 33.53% Interest

Final Awareness: 0% chance of 10M

Low Awareness: 0% chance of 10M

Final Interest: 18% chance of 10M 

Low Interest: 9% chance of 20M

 

Horizon: An American Saga Chapter 1 T-39: 19.73% Awareness, 36.57% Interest

T-30 Awareness: 15% chance of 10M

Medium Awareness: 25% chance of 10M

Final Interest: 33% chance of 10M 

Medium Interest: 50% chance of 10M