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Posts posted by Eric Prime
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Not even sure what the goal was here. If you wanted to look for negative review quotes, just go into the archives that these newspapers have that go back decades. It's not that hard.
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32 minutes ago, ThomasNicole said:
Apparently they keep Coraline and actually are expanding it? Very curious about the hold, it did great on weekdays.
Not apparently. They are. I’m seated for it right now. Only a few minutes until the show starts.
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Will say that Blink Twice's potential was kneecapped when the producers decided to name the movie Blink Twice. Like I don't think Pussy Island is that great a title, but at least it's memorable. What the hell does "blink twice" even mean?
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10 minutes ago, John Marston said:
This is why the “everything should be released theatrically” mindset is stupid. These movies shouldn’t be taking away screens from stuff people want to see
I mean these movies take away the screens for movies that either also bombed or have been out for weeks and have already made their money. I don't think Alien or Deadpool or Twisters are hurting or are losing millions because theaters decided to give Blink Twice or The Crow an auditorium that is likely on the smaller side anyways.
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26 minutes ago, emoviefan said:
Holy Shit on Moana 2. Wicked is toast. Not really but I do not think there is a real competition with those 2 movies. Gladiator 2 assuming we get good and not bad Ridley will be number 2 on Thanksgiving weekend.
Important to note this was polled the same week as D23 and a new trailer dropped, so it does have that kind of inflation. That's also why Mufasa and Snow White are on here, though they could stick around over the next few weeks, especially the former.
And Wicked is no slouch in terms of unaided awareness either, though granted that can also be attributed to all the Olympics promotion.
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Fun fact: The Crow has been in development since 2008 (original plan was for this to star Mark Wahlberg!). That's more than 15 years of projects coming and going, directors moving in and out, actors getting shuffled and removed. Was all of this really worth it? Was it? Was it really?
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6 minutes ago, Jonwo said:
Will be an interesting endeavour for Fathom as their distribution strategy has been limited to rereleases and concert films. A new Laika film likely has a lot more costs.
They've actually released original movies. Mainly low-budget Christian stuff, but the precedence is there.
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This is so fucking cool.
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Quorum Updates
The Front Room T-15: 27.33% Awareness, 45.01% Interest
Mufasa: The Lion King T-120: 47.83% Awareness, 57.12% Interest
Paddington in Peru T-148: 28.94% Awareness, 36.5% Interest
Blink Twice T-1: 38.32% Awareness, 47.35% Interest
Final Awareness: 41% chance of 10M
Low Awareness: 29% chance of 10M
Final Interest: 48% chance of 10M
Low Interest: 34% chance of 10M
The Crow T-1: 43.63% Awareness, 49.31% Interest
Final Awareness: 78% chance of 10M
Low Awareness: 60% chance of 10M
Final Interest: 48% chance of 10M
Low Interest: 34% chance of 10M
The Forge T-1: 21.58% Awareness, 41.36% Interest
Final Awareness: 19% chance of 10M
Low Awareness: 14% chance of 10M
Final Interest: 48% chance of 10M
Low Interest: 34% chance of 10M
1992 T-8: 25.2% Awareness, 46.84% Interest
Final Awareness: 19% chance of 10M
Low Awareness: 14% chance of 10M
Final Interest: 48% chance of 10M
Low Interest: 34% chance of 10M
Afraid T-8: 25.78% Awareness, 48.26% Interest
Final Awareness: 19% chance of 10M
Horror Awareness: 33% chance of 10M
Final Interest: 48% chance of 10M
Horror Interest: 43% chance of 10M
Piece by Piece T-50: 16.42% Awareness, 34.28% Interest
T-60 Awareness: 30% chance of 10M
Animation/Family Awareness: 25% chance of 10M
T-60 Interest: 33% chance of 10M
Animation/Family Interest: 33% chance of 10M
Terrifier 3 T-50: 24.44% Awareness, 40.59% Interest
T-60 Awareness: 60% chance of 10M
Horror Awareness: 61% chance of 10M
T-60 Interest: 61% chance of 10M
Horror Interest: 69% chance of 10M
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2 minutes ago, 1Robert1 said:
53,71 domestic, and 53,56 in china
Following Blue Beetle, which it has been holding better by comparison, it gets us to a second weekend (ignoring Blue Beetle's NCD-inflated Sunday of course) of 17.2M. Assuming these better holds continue, we might get to ~19M.
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10 minutes ago, elcaballero said:
I can definitely see the reaction to the trailer intro being... not great. The actual trailer content is pretty solid, if a little uninspired.
Definitely a hard one to predict, not sure what the expectations should be for this, but I have to imagine it at least has a good path to profitability.
This is one of the few times box office-wise where the term "wild card" really means something. You could tell me this is hella niche and only makes 25M, or it's a shocking breakout at around 120M and neither would surprise me. I guess now I'm somewhere in the middle and it'll do above Heron and below the first Pokémon? idk idk idk idk idk
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5 minutes ago, Porthos said:
Animation style is fine. But putting up about 20 seconds or so of LOTR live action footage as a bridge/lead in is... a choice.
If they had stuck to the live action ME map and then segued into an animated version of it, I think it would have been much better and pressed the same nostalgia buttons. Even non-actor shots of the landscape of Rohan/countryside would have worked well enough. But I think they tried to attach a bit too much Remember How Much You Loved LOTR onto this. Or at least I didn't like the way it was done.
Gut instincts still say mid 20s to mid 30s opener, but that's without looking at normie reception (as I already know which corners of Film Twitter are gonna love this).
Yeah, that was such a weird introduction. I guess it's in the Jacksonverse, but when you show footage from the old movies, and then show something completely different...it kinda feels like I'm being catfished, even if the actual movie looks fine enough.
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16 minutes ago, Bob Train said:
So do critics. NWH, Ralph 2 etc. prove critics like nostalgic callbacks and key jangling.
Well I like those movies too (and Romulus!), so like…guess I’m part of the problem. 🙃
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Honey, I think this new Crow movie has bigger problems than the name of the lead actress.
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If you're gonna show the trailer today, why not just show it right now? Weirdos.
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*whispers* The secret is that most audiences actually like member berries and callbacks and nostalgia pandering.
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1 hour ago, JimmyB said:
I don't think two late summer studio dumps like Blink Twice or Crow tells us anything. Two films that will open with low box office numbers and be gone soon after like Cuckoo.
Still funny if it happens tho
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https://deadline.com/2024/08/alien-romulus-blink-twice-channing-tatum-box-office-1236046878/
QuoteDisney is expected to own No. 1 for the ninth time this summer, the likelihood that its 20th Century Studios’ Alien: Romulus will have the upper tail above Deadpool & Wolverine‘s fifth weekend, $18M to $17M. Through Tuesday, the Fede Alvarez-directed Alien: Romulus counts a running box office of $50.6M.
It Ends with Us, from Sony/Wayfarer Studios, will become Blake Lively’s highest-grossing movie at the domestic box office, overtaking Green Lantern ($116.6M) — we’re not counting her secret cameo in D&W. The romantic drama directed by and starring Justin Baldoni is set to do around $13M.
These holdovers will prevail over three studio wide entries, all of which are expected to file in the single-digit millions. What about the overindexing of the summer? Won’t that prevail here against what tracking is seeing? No, because it’s late August, and many are in back-to-school mode. Comscore reports that 33% K-12 are on break, while 58% of colleges are out.
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Quorum Updates
Beetlejuice Beetlejuice T-16: 68.59% Awareness, 66.09% Interest
Kraven the Hunter T-114: 23.02% Awareness, 40.15% Interest
Den of Thieves: Pantera T-142: 19.15% Awareness, 35.18% Interest
The Monkey T-184: 20.17% Awareness, 40.67% Interest
F1 T-310: 20.55% Awareness, 37.19% Interest
Blink Twice T-2: 35.93% Awareness, 46.89% Interest
Final Awareness: 41% chance of 10M
Low Awareness: 29% chance of 10M
Final Interest: 48% chance of 10M
Low Interest: 34% chance of 10M
The Crow T-2: 44.05% Awareness, 50.11% Interest
Final Awareness: 78% chance of 10M
Low Awareness: 60% chance of 10M
Final Interest: 94% chance of 10M
Low Interest: 50% chance of 10M
Bagman T-30: 18.83% Awareness, 43% Interest
T-30 Awareness: 15% chance of 10M
Horror Awareness: 17% chance of 10M
T-30 Interest: 59% chance of 10M
Horror Interest: 68% chance of 10M
Transformers One T-30: 40.97% Awareness, 48.08% Interest
T-30 Awareness: 100% chance of 10M, 96% chance of 20M, 85% chance of 30M
Animation/Family Awareness: 100% chance of 20M, 80% chance of 30M
T-30 Interest: 59% chance of 10M, 35% chance of 20M, 20% chance of 30M
Animation/Family Interest: 87% chance of 10M, 75% chance of 20M, 37% chance of 30M
The Wild Robot T-37: 26.06% Awareness, 40.15% Interest
T-30 Awareness: 54% chance of 10M, 18% chance of 20M
Animation/Family Awareness: 67% chance of 10M, 33% chance of 20M
T-30 Interest: 59% chance of 10M, 35% chance of 20M
Animation/Family Interest: 87% chance of 10M, 75% chance of 20M
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Megalopolis l September 27, 2024 | Lionsgate | Francis Ford Coppola's future magnum opus l CINEMA HAS BEEN SAVED
in Box Office Discussion
Posted
Do you think The Godfather insists upon itself, WU?