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Eric Prime

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Posts posted by Eric Prime

  1. 32 minutes ago, ThomasNicole said:

    Apparently they keep Coraline and actually are expanding it? Very curious about the hold, it did great on weekdays.

    Not apparently. They are. I’m seated for it right now. Only a few minutes until the show starts.

    • Astonished 1
  2. 10 minutes ago, John Marston said:

    This is why the “everything should be released theatrically” mindset is stupid. These movies shouldn’t be taking away screens from stuff people want to see

    I mean these movies take away the screens for movies that either also bombed or have been out for weeks and have already made their money. I don't think Alien or Deadpool or Twisters are hurting or are losing millions because theaters decided to give Blink Twice or The Crow an auditorium that is likely on the smaller side anyways.

    • Like 13
  3. 26 minutes ago, emoviefan said:

    Holy Shit on Moana 2. Wicked is toast. Not really but I do not think there is a real competition with those 2 movies. Gladiator 2 assuming we get good and not bad Ridley will be number 2 on Thanksgiving weekend.

    Important to note this was polled the same week as D23 and a new trailer dropped, so it does have that kind of inflation. That's also why Mufasa and Snow White are on here, though they could stick around over the next few weeks, especially the former.

     

    And Wicked is no slouch in terms of unaided awareness either, though granted that can also be attributed to all the Olympics promotion.

    • Like 1
  4. Fun fact: The Crow has been in development since 2008 (original plan was for this to star Mark Wahlberg!). That's more than 15 years of projects coming and going, directors moving in and out, actors getting shuffled and removed. Was all of this really worth it? Was it? Was it really?

    • Like 3
  5. Quorum Updates

    The Front Room T-15: 27.33% Awareness, 45.01% Interest

    Mufasa: The Lion King T-120: 47.83% Awareness, 57.12% Interest

    Paddington in Peru T-148: 28.94% Awareness, 36.5% Interest

     

    Blink Twice T-1: 38.32% Awareness, 47.35% Interest

    Final Awareness: 41% chance of 10M

    Low Awareness: 29% chance of 10M

    Final Interest: 48% chance of 10M

    Low Interest: 34% chance of 10M

     

    The Crow T-1: 43.63% Awareness, 49.31% Interest

    Final Awareness: 78% chance of 10M

    Low Awareness: 60% chance of 10M

    Final Interest: 48% chance of 10M

    Low Interest: 34% chance of 10M

     

    The Forge T-1: 21.58% Awareness, 41.36% Interest

    Final Awareness: 19% chance of 10M

    Low Awareness: 14% chance of 10M

    Final Interest: 48% chance of 10M

    Low Interest: 34% chance of 10M

     

    1992 T-8: 25.2% Awareness, 46.84% Interest

    Final Awareness: 19% chance of 10M

    Low Awareness: 14% chance of 10M

    Final Interest: 48% chance of 10M

    Low Interest: 34% chance of 10M

     

    Afraid T-8: 25.78% Awareness, 48.26% Interest

    Final Awareness: 19% chance of 10M

    Horror Awareness: 33% chance of 10M

    Final Interest: 48% chance of 10M

    Horror Interest: 43% chance of 10M

     

    Piece by Piece T-50: 16.42% Awareness, 34.28% Interest

    T-60 Awareness: 30% chance of 10M

    Animation/Family Awareness: 25% chance of 10M

    T-60 Interest: 33% chance of 10M

    Animation/Family Interest: 33% chance of 10M

     

    Terrifier 3 T-50: 24.44% Awareness, 40.59% Interest

    T-60 Awareness: 60% chance of 10M

    Horror Awareness: 61% chance of 10M

    T-60 Interest: 61% chance of 10M

    Horror Interest: 69% chance of 10M

    • Like 4
  6. 2 minutes ago, 1Robert1 said:

    53,71 domestic, and 53,56 in china

    Following Blue Beetle, which it has been holding better by comparison, it gets us to a second weekend (ignoring Blue Beetle's NCD-inflated Sunday of course) of 17.2M. Assuming these better holds continue, we might get to ~19M.

    • Like 3
  7. 10 minutes ago, elcaballero said:

    I can definitely see the reaction to the trailer intro being... not great. The actual trailer content is pretty solid, if a little uninspired. 

     

    Definitely a hard one to predict, not sure what the expectations should be for this, but I have to imagine it at least has a good path to profitability. 

    This is one of the few times box office-wise where the term "wild card" really means something. You could tell me this is hella niche and only makes 25M, or it's a shocking breakout at around 120M and neither would surprise me. I guess now I'm somewhere in the middle and it'll do above Heron and below the first Pokémon? idk idk idk idk idk

    • Like 2
  8. 5 minutes ago, Porthos said:

    Animation style is fine.  But putting up about 20 seconds or so of LOTR live action footage as a bridge/lead in is... a choice.

     

    If they had stuck to the live action ME map and then segued into an animated version of it, I think it would have been much better and pressed the same nostalgia buttons. Even non-actor shots of the landscape of Rohan/countryside would have worked well enough.  But I think they tried to attach a bit too much Remember How Much You Loved LOTR onto this.  Or at least I didn't like the way it was done.

     

    Gut instincts still say mid 20s to mid 30s opener, but that's without looking at normie reception (as I already know which corners of Film Twitter are gonna love this).

    Yeah, that was such a weird introduction. I guess it's in the Jacksonverse, but when you show footage from the old movies, and then show something completely different...it kinda feels like I'm being catfished, even if the actual movie looks fine enough.

    • Like 1
  9. 1 hour ago, JimmyB said:

    I don't think two late summer studio dumps like Blink Twice or Crow tells us anything.  Two films that will open with low box office numbers and be gone soon after like Cuckoo.

    Still funny if it happens tho

  10. https://deadline.com/2024/08/alien-romulus-blink-twice-channing-tatum-box-office-1236046878/

     

    Quote

    Disney is expected to own No. 1 for the ninth time this summer, the likelihood that its 20th Century Studios’ Alien: Romulus will have the upper tail above Deadpool & Wolverine‘s fifth weekend, $18M to $17M. Through Tuesday, the Fede Alvarez-directed Alien: Romulus counts a running box office of $50.6M.

     

    It Ends with Us, from Sony/Wayfarer Studios, will become Blake Lively’s highest-grossing movie at the domestic box office, overtaking Green Lantern ($116.6M) — we’re not counting her secret cameo in D&W. The romantic drama directed by and starring Justin Baldoni is set to do around $13M.

     

    These holdovers will prevail over three studio wide entries, all of which are expected to file in the single-digit millions. What about the overindexing of the summer? Won’t that prevail here against what tracking is seeing? No, because it’s late August, and many are in back-to-school mode. Comscore reports that 33% K-12 are on break, while 58% of colleges are out.

     

  11. Quorum Updates

    Beetlejuice Beetlejuice T-16: 68.59% Awareness, 66.09% Interest

    Kraven the Hunter T-114: 23.02% Awareness, 40.15% Interest

    Den of Thieves: Pantera T-142: 19.15% Awareness, 35.18% Interest

    The Monkey T-184: 20.17% Awareness, 40.67% Interest

    F1 T-310: 20.55% Awareness, 37.19% Interest

     

    Blink Twice T-2: 35.93% Awareness, 46.89% Interest

    Final Awareness: 41% chance of 10M

    Low Awareness: 29% chance of 10M

    Final Interest: 48% chance of 10M

    Low Interest: 34% chance of 10M

     

    The Crow T-2: 44.05% Awareness, 50.11% Interest

    Final Awareness: 78% chance of 10M

    Low Awareness: 60% chance of 10M

    Final Interest: 94% chance of 10M

    Low Interest: 50% chance of 10M

     

    Bagman T-30: 18.83% Awareness, 43% Interest

    T-30 Awareness: 15% chance of 10M

    Horror Awareness: 17% chance of 10M

    T-30 Interest: 59% chance of 10M

    Horror Interest: 68% chance of 10M

     

    Transformers One T-30: 40.97% Awareness, 48.08% Interest

    T-30 Awareness: 100% chance of 10M, 96% chance of 20M, 85% chance of 30M

    Animation/Family Awareness: 100% chance of 20M, 80% chance of 30M

    T-30 Interest: 59% chance of 10M, 35% chance of 20M, 20% chance of 30M

    Animation/Family Interest: 87% chance of 10M, 75% chance of 20M, 37% chance of 30M

     

    The Wild Robot T-37: 26.06% Awareness, 40.15% Interest

    T-30 Awareness: 54% chance of 10M, 18% chance of 20M

    Animation/Family Awareness: 67% chance of 10M, 33% chance of 20M

    T-30 Interest: 59% chance of 10M, 35% chance of 20M

    Animation/Family Interest: 87% chance of 10M, 75% chance of 20M

    • Like 4
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