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Eric Prime

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    Winter Game SOTM 2 - Extrapolate to accumulate: DEADLINE Thurs 28th at 11:59pm

    in Chasmmi's Infamous Box Office Game

    Posted

    1. Rocky 3: $125.05M   2000 / 1000

    2. Divergent Insurgent: $130.18  3000 / 2000 

    3. Mission Impossible 3:  $134.02M 5000 / 3000

    4. Rush Hour 3: $140.1M   7000 / 5000

     

    5. X-Men First Class $146.4M  10000 / 7000

    6. Mad Max: Fury Road $153.6M   13000 / 10000

    7. Die Another Day $160.9M   16000 / 13000

    8. Three Men and a Baby $167.78M  20000 / 16000

     

    9. Rain Man $172.8M 25000 / 20000

    10. How to Train Your Dragon 2 $177.0M  32000 / 25000

    11. Jurassic park 3 $181.1M   40000 /  30000

    12. Mr and Mrs Smith $186.3M   50000 /36000

    • Like 1

    The Dark Tower | August 4, 2017 | McConaughey, Elba | Reviews coming in, it's a bomb etc. etc. - we know this drill by now

    in Box Office Discussion

    Posted

    15 minutes ago, marveldcfox said:

    First time director...great actors...beloved source material..studio system...no guarantee it will be any good. 

    If this turns out bad then everyone will say they should have hired a seasoned director.

    Hopefully it is at least on the level of Constantine.

    This isn't a first-time director, though.

    Winter Game Week 1 - Unlike Jack, we do go back...

    in Chasmmi's Infamous Box Office Game

    Posted

    Here is the first set of weekly questions. The deadline for these questions will always be midnight on the Thursday before the weekend questions are designed for.

     

    All questions are related to the top 12, are for the 3 day weekend and are worth 1000 points unless otherwise stated: 

     

    1. Will Jack Reacher open to more than $19M? YES

    2. Will Jack Reacher open to more than $22M? 2000 NO

    3. Will Madea open to more than $15M? YES

    4. Will Madea open to more than $18M? YES

    5. Will Ouija open to more than $10M? YES

    6. Will Ouija open to more than $12.5M? 3000 YES

     

    7. Will Keeping up With the Joneses open to more than $10M? NO

    8. Will Keeping up With the Joneses open to more than $12.5M? NO

    9. Will Keeping up With the Joneses open to more than Ouija? 2000 NO

    10. Will Ouija and Joneses combine to more than Jack Reacher? YES

    11. Will the top 3 films all be new entries? 3000 NO

    12. Will the Accountant drop less than 48%? NO

    13. Will Miss Pereguine pass $77.5M total Domestic? NO

     

    14. Will Kevin Hart drop more that 52%?   2000 YES

    15. Will Max Steel have a weekend above $2M? NO

    16. Will The Handmaiden have a PTA above $6,500? YES

    17. Will I'm not Ashamed have a PTA above $8,000? 3000 NO

    18. Will Storks still be in the top 11 at the end of the weekend? YES

    19. Will Birth of a Nation stay above Sully? NO

    20. Will Jack Reacher inevitably go back during the course of his film? YES

     

    Bonus:

     

    14/20 2000

    15/20 3000

    16/20 5000

    17/20 7000

    18/20 10000

    19/20 14000

    20/20 20000

     

    Part 2: Closest predictor wins 5000 points (Added Bonus: If prediction is within 10% win 6000, 5% 7000,  2.5% 9000, 1% 12000)

     

    1. Predict Madea's Friday total. $8M

    2. Predict Ouija's Sunday PTA $1.65K

    3. Predict the total gross of the 5 highest new openers. 64.63M

     

     

    Part 3: Predict the films that place in the following positions:

     

    1. Jack Reacher: Never Go Back

    3. The Accountant

    6. The Girl on the Train

    8. Kevin Hart: What Now?

    11. Middle School

    15. Sully

     

    3/6 2000 points

    4/6 5000 points

    5/6 8000 points

    6/6 13000 points

    The Dark Tower | August 4, 2017 | McConaughey, Elba | Reviews coming in, it's a bomb etc. etc. - we know this drill by now

    in Box Office Discussion

    Posted

    17 minutes ago, Arlborn said:

    Do you guys think low quality and obviously unfinished leaked stuff can negatively affect a movie like this?

    Nah. Most unfinished leaked footage is usually taken down within a couple of hours, is pretty much only talked about by fanboy websites (aka not the GA), and usually is release a couple of months before the actual marketing takes place. No need to panic. :)

    • Like 1

    #UnpopularOpinions: Movies you think will overperform vs. movies you think will underperform given general expectations

    in Box Office Discussion

    Posted

    Overperform

    Well I'm the one who has the "Fantastic Beasts over Half-Blood Prince" club, so I clearly think Beasts will oveperform and be #2 this winter behind Rogue One. It's got the Harry Potter brand, a brand that's still insanely popular and well-respected I might add, easy 4-quad appeal, and it will have appeal to people who didn't join the Potter craze, by virtue of being an original story.

     

    This movie hasn't gotten much discussion, if at all, but I feel Rock That Body has potential to be the biggest comedy next summer. The premise seems very Hangover-like, its script was in a huge bidding war, and it has a stellar cast, with its leading lady being Scarlett Johannson, and a supporting cast including four potential rising stars, one of them being an Emmy winner I might add. The only real speed bump with that movie could be The House, but if RTB strikes a chord and ends up being really funny, I think it could be a real surprise.

     

    Most people think that Ninjago will do around Hotel Transylvania numbers, but I think it could be the first September movie to cross $200M. Lego Movie was a smash hit, and Lego Batman will do the same, and Tsujihara is reportedly focusing on Lego being a huge moneymaker for WB, so with that brand recognition, WB's marketing powah, and it being one of the most popular toylines currently for Lego Group, this movie's gon' explode.

     

    Underperform

    Next March looks to be YUGE, but I feel Logan could get hurt by it. With Kong and Beauty and the Beast being the main attractions for moviegoers, Logan wasn't going to be a huge hit regardless, but I feel that it has potential to be the lowest-rated X-Men movie. Its title doesn't scream "X-Men" to me, and its R rating could potentially be a hinderance. Yeah yeah yeah, I know about Deadpool, but that had the virtues of being much more unique in the superhero landscape, thanks to lampooning the genre and its oddball character. It'll still do good, but around Origins: Wolverine numbers, or even Apocalypse numbers? Nah.

     

    War for the Planet of the Apes I just don't see crossing $200M. Dawn's only major competition it had to face was Transformers 4, which severely underperformed, and Lucy, which did just a cool $125M. War will be surrounded by Despicable Me 3, Spider-Man, and Dunkirk. Yeah, Dawn had amazing reception, and War could be the same, yadda yadda yadda, but Dawn's explosion was largely in part because there was nothing else out in theaters when it was released IMO. War won't have that benefit, so it'll probably chill in the $160-190M range.

     

    This is all I have so far.

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