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Dipl Eng Kalin Kamenov

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Posts posted by Dipl Eng Kalin Kamenov

    Tues #s (Asgard pg 136) R1 22.4 Sing 17.7 Pass 6 Moan 4.6 Ass 3.6 WH 3.4 Fen 3.1 LLL 2.6

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    5 minutes ago, terrestrial said:

    It's high noon in Anchorage.... +1h in LA, and nearly 4 o'clock in the afternoon in NY ;)

    Ok, thanks. I'm just asking because I'm on the other side on the planet and here now is 23:00 PM on Tuesday evening. I'm asking because i don't know when exactly estimates and official number came out in US. Other wise I know that the official numbers came out to my time on the next day somewhere between 22:00-23:00 PM. Now I'm waiting for official 4-day weekend and just wondering for Tuesday numbers. So I,m going to bed now and when IU woke up I'm gonna know ;) Thanks.

    • Like 4

    What Year Will China Pass Domestic?

    in China At The Box Office

    Posted

    On 5.12.2015 г. at 3:50 PM, No Prisoners said:

    The slow down begins next year. I say less than 20% growth occurs and the flattening of the curve begins the economic numbers suggest.

     

    Contest: I'll buy a gold account for the closest to pick the percentage increase or decrease, if you dare, for next year's CBO.

    I'll go with 18.2%. Number must be posted here by 12/31/15. % increase will be base on Yuan

    Minimum Increments of .2%

    32,4%

    • Like 1

    STAR WARS: THE FORCE AWAKENS | 1131.6 M overseas | 2068.2 M worldwide

    in International Box Office

    Posted · Edited by Dipl Eng Kalin Kamenov

    1 hour ago, solaris said:

    Current question - can TFA make it to the same OS ballpark as F7 ($1.1bn) without China? Are there any other territories left to open? It seems to be pretty much pacing identically to its NA performance... most of us have it finishing at or just shy of $1bn there, can it do the same or a bit more OS?

     

    Also, what is the latest view on China OW and performance? Am I right in thinking that there's not much optimism?

    Actually, to be honest it is almost certain that will make 1.1 billion without China. Rather, I think it is possible to reach 1.2 or even 1.3 billion. if show staying power through January and not fall quickly. There are indication to continue to show strength.
     

    On the other hand China is too risky, but will see. Hayp and nostalgia and the rest of the world is understandable, but particularly to China is quite difficult to predict because of the reason that when the original trilogy came out China had no market. And just because it does not know how many Chinese fall for Star Wars. But assuming that fall as much as in the US, then the figure will be very big. I'm sure that SW8 will be bigger than current SW7 because right now chinese people will fall to SW Universe....

    After asking about China I tell you that I read some article that initial indications are currently about in low end of 200 to high end of 320 million there. Yes in HK, Taiwan and SK SW7 is under perform... The three country usually show how some movie will perform in Mainland (China). But I still believe that SW will blow up there.....

    • Like 2

    STAR WARS: THE FORCE AWAKENS | 1131.6 M overseas | 2068.2 M worldwide

    in International Box Office

    Posted

    OK, I do some other math.. If we take the numbers ofHP7 P2 (that is way more front loaded) for Thursday night, the Friday numbers and the decline on Saturday and Sunday... will have 119 mill Friday... 55 Saturday and 47 Sunday.. That's still make 221 million OW!!!!! Тhis is just a assumption. And I really don't think SW will be that front loaded and will do with a way better legs....

     

    So, if SW goes like JW will make 480 million, if goes like HP7 P2 will make 221 million..

     

    I stick with my prediction...

    Over 120 OD
    Over 254,45 OW
    Over 850 DOM (possibility of 1 billion)
    Over 3 billion WW (possibility of 3,5 billion)
    Over 500 in China... maybe ;)

    • Like 1

    STAR WARS: THE FORCE AWAKENS | 1131.6 M overseas | 2068.2 M worldwide

    in International Box Office

    Posted

    1 hour ago, Purple Minion said:

    First estimates on Thu night shows in the US, so you all fine people can start estimating the WW OW...

     

    1 hour ago, Purple Minion said:

    Holly shit Thursday night report... 55 mil for SW!!!!!!!

    If we take the numbers of Jurassic World for Thursday night, the numbers for Friday and the decline on Saturday and Sunday... will have 188 mill Friday... 160 Saturday and 131 Sunday.. That's make 480 million OW!!!!! That's FUCKING impossible...!!!
    Or maybe not? ;)

     

     

     

     

    STAR WARS: THE FORCE AWAKENS | 1131.6 M overseas | 2068.2 M worldwide

    in International Box Office

    Posted · Edited by Dipl Eng Kalin Kamenov

    25 minutes ago, peludo said:

    Agreed with the 3 first figures. The other two are, at very least, very risky predictions. I would say close to impossible. You should be fine with $150m in China.

    Yes. I agree with you for China is too risky, but will see. And I highly doubt on China to make so much money, but not impossible .... and so I wrote maybe. Hayp and nostalgia and the rest of the world is understandable, but particularly to China is quite difficult to predict because of the reason that when the original trilogy came out China had no market. And just because it does not know how many Chinese fall for Star Wars. But assuming that fall as much as in the US, then the figure is not impossible.Is not impossible, but like I said. maybe ;) 

    • Like 1
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