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Empire

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    Summer Game Week 2 - The Artrival of the Big Guns

    in Chasmmi's Infamous Box Office Game

    Posted

    Part A:

     

    1. Will Endgame Make more than $160M? 1000 Yes

    2. Will Endgame make more than $200M? 2000  No

    3. Will Endgame make more than $180M? 3000 No

    4. Will The Intruder Open in 2nd Place? 4000 No

    5. Will the top 4 new entries' combined 3 day OWs total more than Endgame's 2nd Friday? 5000 No

     

    6. Will UglyDolls make more than Long Shot?  1000 No

    7. Will Captain Marvel drop more than 40%? 2000 Yes

    8. Will La Llorona stay above Breakthrough? 3000 No

    9. Will Little stay above Dumbo? 4000 No

    10. Will Penguins stay in the top 12? 5000 No

     

    11. Will Pet Semetary's PTA stay above $450? 1000 No

    12. Will Shazam drop less than 55%? 2000 Yes

    13. Will Missing Link  increase more than 90% on Saturday? 3000 No

    14. Will Endgame cross $2B WW by the end of the weekend? 4000 Yes

    15. Will Disney pull the rest of its summer slate from the release schedules now because really... what's the point, there's no money left in the world? 5000 No way. 

     

    Bonus: 

     

    9/15    5000

    10/15   8000

    11/15    12,000

    12/15   16,000 

    13/15    20,000

    14/15    24,000 

     15/15   30,000  

     

     

    Part B:

     

    The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:

     

    Closest:  Within 1% - 15,000,  Within 2,5% - 12000,   Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000  Outside 10% - 3000 points  

    2nd Closest:  Within 1% - 12,000,  Within 2,5% - 10000,   Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000  Outside 10% - 2000 points

    3rd Closest:  Within 1% - 10,000,  Within 2,5% - 8000,   Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000  Outside 10% - 1000 points

     

    1. Long Shot? 17.234M

    2. What will be the percentage change for Us? -44.93

    3. What will Endgame's PTA be? 35,924

     

     

    Part 😄

     

    There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:

     

    2. Longshot

    4. Uglydolls

    6. Breakthrough 

    9. Dumbo

    11. Us 

    13. Pet Sematary 

     

    Because I realised bonuses are stupid...

     

    1/6   4,000

    2/6   10,000

    3/6   18,000

    4/6   25,000

    5/6   36,000

    6/6 - 50,000

    Summer Game SOTM 4 - Overs and Unders, it's always this one first...

    in Chasmmi's Infamous Box Office Game

    Posted

    1. Long Shot $50M Too Low

    2. Uglydolls $48M Too High

    3. The Hustle $41M Too High

    4. A Dog's Journey  $41.3M Too High

    5. John Wick 3  $106M Too Low

     

    6. Sun is also a Star  $36M Too High

    7. Ma  $63M Too High

    8. MIB International  $107M Too Low

    9. Shaft $100M Too High

    10. Child's Play  42.5M Too Low

     

    1. Sun is Also a Star

    2. Child’s Play

    3. No

    4. No

    5. No

    6. Higher 

    7. JW3

    8. Shaft

    9. Yes

    10. Yes

     

    Avengers: Endgame Tuesday Thread (4/30): 33.11M (3rd best Tuesday ever, 2nd best non-opening)

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted · Edited by Empire

    19 minutes ago, RtheEnd said:

    -1st Photo 24 characters + Android Q (Android 10) + 5(.5). 34.5

    -ignore 1st, main screen has 24 icons + android 10 + .5

    -or top pick is avengers #345

    Or any combo you can come up with 😝 

    Generally involves all images 

     

    Rth EndGames

     

    This is a page from Avengers #345. Looked at my trade to confirm. 

    • Astonished 2

    AVENGERS: ENDGAME WEEKEND THREAD l Actuals: $357.115M | $866.526M OS, $1.223B WW l Russos true box office kings l *** NO SPOILERS - Even Tagged ***| SALE NOW LIVE: 50% Off Gold Montly, 25% Off Gold Annually

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    3 minutes ago, Shawn said:

    Whatever it takes.

     

     

    $1.209B Global Estimate (5 Days)

     

    $109.0M Saturday Estimate Domestic

     

    Fri: $156.7M

    Sat: $109.0M

    Sun: $84.3M

    Dom Wknd: $350.0M

     

    (official Disney #s)

    This will definitely go up with actuals. 

    • Like 2

    AVENGERS: ENDGAME WEEKEND THREAD l Actuals: $357.115M | $866.526M OS, $1.223B WW l Russos true box office kings l *** NO SPOILERS - Even Tagged ***| SALE NOW LIVE: 50% Off Gold Montly, 25% Off Gold Annually

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    1 hour ago, Truckasaurus said:

    5TH UPDATE, Friday 10:14 PM: And with a snap, Avengers: Endgame is getting bigger, just as expected.  Industry estimates as tonight see $157M for Friday (including $60M record previews), which is $37.9Mmore than Star Wars: The Force Awakens’ opening and single day record of $119.1M. And as for the weekend, right now the mean is around $349M at the widest theatrical release ever of 4,662. Saturday is expected to ease between -30% and -35% for a take between $102M-$109M.

    Yeah, this is hitting 350M opening weekend. Will be completely shocked if it doesn’t now. 

    • Like 2

    Summer Game SOTM 3 - The one you are supposed to just abstain but probably won't...

    in Chasmmi's Infamous Box Office Game

    Posted

    1. Avengers, Lion King, and Pikachu's combined OW will be:

    A. Less than $550M

    B. Between $550M and $650M

    C. Over $650M

     

    2. Godzilla 2's China Box office will be:

    A. Less than $100M

    B. Between $100M and $150M

    C. Over $150M

     

    3. Avengers' Total admissions in South Korea will be:

    A. Less than 8.5M

    B. Between 8.5M and 10M

    C. Over 10M

     

    4. Secret Life of Pets 2's UK gross will be:

    A. Less than $40M

    B. Between $40M and $55M

    C. Over $55M

     

    5. The film with the best mulitplier will be:

    A. Lion King

    B. Aladdin

    C. Toy Story 4

     

    6. Avengers' number of weekends in the domestics top 5 + Lion King's number of weekends in the domestics top 5 + Toy Story's number of weekends in the domestics top 5 will be:

    A. Less than 14

    B. 14-16

    C. Over 16

     

    7. Toy Story 4's Domestic Gross divided by Child's Play and Annabelle's combined Domestic Gross will be:

    A. Less than 2.75

    B. Between 2.,75 and 3.5

    C. Over 3.5

     

    8. Hobbs and Shaw's Overseas (excluding Domestic) Box office will be:

     

    A. Less than $700M

    B. Between $700M and $900M

    C. Over $900M

    Summer Game Week 1 - The End is just the beginning... Deadline April 25th at midnight forum times.

    in Chasmmi's Infamous Box Office Game

    Posted

    Weekly Questions will have 15 questions, except for the following weeks:

     

    Week 1  20 questions

    Aladdin Weekend Weekend  20 questions

    Toy Story Weekend    20 questions

    Hobbs and Shaw Weekend    20 questions

    Final Weekend    25 questions

     

     

    Part A:

     

    1. Will Avengers Open to more than $260M? 1000 YES

    2. Will Avengers Open to more than $300M? 2000 YES

    3. Will Avengers Open to more than $280M? 3000 YES

    4. Will Avengers Saturday increase from its true Friday (excluding Thursday previews)? 4000 YES

    5. Will Will Avengers' make more than 82.5% of all the box office of every film reported by BOM when actuals are released? 5000 YES 

     

    6. Will La Larona drop less than 56%?  1000 NO

    7. Will Pet Semetary stay above Us? 2000 NO

    8. Will Avengers Endgame overtake Dumbo's Domestic total on its opening day? 3000 YES

    9. Will any film in the top 15 drop more than 65%? 4000 NO

    10. Will Hellboy's PTA stay above $750? 5000 NO

     

    11. Will Little increase more than 40% on Saturday? 1000 NO

    12. Will Shazam drop more than 33% on Sunday? 2000 YES

    13. Will the White Crow have a PTA above $12k? 3000 YES

    14. Will After stay above PEnguins? 4000 YES

    15. Will Captain Marvel decrease less than 20%? 5000 YES

     

    16. Will Shazam's domestic total on Saturday be closer to the domestic total of Dumbo or How to Train Your Dragon? 1000 HTTYD

    17. Will Pet Semetary have the worst PTA in the top 10? 2000 YES

    18. Will Breakthrough overtake Hellboy DOmestically by the end of the weekend? 3000 YES

    19. How many films will make more than $2.5M this weekend? 4000 7

    20. Will Thanos ultimately be defeated by the power of friendship? 5000 YES 

     

    Bonus: 

     

    12/20    3000

    13/20    5000

    14/20    8000

    15/20   12000

    16/20    16,000

    17/20   20,000 

    18/20    26,000

    19/20    32,000 

     20/20   40,000  

     

     

    Part B:

     

    The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:

     

    Closest:  Within 1% - 15,000,  Within 2,5% - 12000,   Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000  Outside 10% - 3000 points  

    2nd Closest:  Within 1% - 12,000,  Within 2,5% - 10000,   Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000  Outside 10% - 2000 points

    3rd Closest:  Within 1% - 10,000,  Within 2,5% - 8000,   Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000  Outside 10% - 1000 points

     

    1. What will Avengers make for its 3 day OW? 314.728

    2. What will Dumbo's Sunday gross be? 810K 

    3. What will Missing Link's PTA be for the 3 day weekend? 842

     

     

    Part 😄

     

    There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:

     

    1. ENDGAME

    3. CAPTAIN MARVEL

    6. LITTLE

    8. PET SEMETARY

    9. US

    11.  MISSING LINK

     

    Because I realised bonuses are stupid...

     

    1/6   4,000

    2/6   10,000

    3/6   18,000

    4/6   25,000

    5/6   36,000

    6/6 - 50,000

    Summer Game 2019 Preseason prediction Thread

    in Chasmmi's Infamous Box Office Game

    Posted

    TOP 15 ETC PREDICTION TEMPLATE

     

    Below is a helpful template to use for making predictions. All Players who use this template for their predictions will receive 10,000 bonus points for making my life easier when I have to score everything at the end of the game.

     

    A: Domestic top 15:

     

    1) Avengers Endgame - 864M

    2) Toy Story 4 - 453M

    3) The Lion King - 431M

    4) Spider-Man: Far From Home - 354M

    5) Hobbs & Shaw - 321M

     

    6) Secret Life of Pets 2 - 311M

    7) Detective Pikachu - 286M

    😎Godzilla: King of All Monsters - 233M

    9) Once Upon A Time in Hollywood - 215M

    10) Aladdin - 205M

     

    11) MIB: International - 167M

    12) It Chapter 2 - 142M

    13) Dark Phoenix - 121M

    14) Goodboys - 116M

    15) Longshot - 103M

     

    Backup 16*) Rocketman - 101M

     

    *Only used if a film above exits the game

     

    B: Top 7 Domestic OW:

     

    1) Endgame - 312M

    2)  Lion King - 152M

    3) Far From Home - 142M 

    4) It - 129

    5) Toy Story 4 - 126

     

    6) Hobbs & Shaw - 118M

    7) Pets - 90M

     

    Backup 8*) 

     

    *Only used if a film above exits the game

     

    😄 Worldwide top 12:

     

    1) Endgame - 2.8B

    2) Lion King - 1.3B

    3) Far From Home - 1.26B

    4) Toy Story - 1.24B

     

    5) Pikachu -  923M

    6) Pets - 821M

    7) Hobbs & Shaw - 808M

    😎Aladdin - 795M

     

    9) Godzilla - 743M 

    10) MIB - 523M

    11) Rocketman - 346M

    12) Dark Phoenix - 328M

     

    Backup 13*) John Wick - 256M

     

    *Only used if a film above exits the game

     

    😧 TOP 5 Weekends

     

    1) 4/26 to 4/28 - 368M

    2) 7/19 to 7/21 - 256M

    3) 6/21 to 6/23 - 234M

    4) 5/10 to 5/12 - 223M

    5) 5/31 to 6/2 - 220M

     

    backup 6*) 7/5 to 7/7 - 210M

     

    *Only used if a film above exits the game

     

    E: Multipliers

     

    1) Goodboys - 4.1 

    2) TS4 - 3.6

    3) Rocketman - 3.4

    4) Once Upon A Time in Hollywood - 3.24

    5) Pets - 3.15

     

    backup 6*) Lion King - 2.85

     

    *Only used if a film above exits the game

     

    F: Total Grosses

     

    Top 15 DOM) 4.3B

    Top7 OW) 1.06B

    Top 12 WW) 11.8B

    Top 5 W/E) 1.3B

    Average Multi) 3.4

     

     

    G: RANDOM FREE QUESTIONS

     

    RFQ1: Predict which film will finish closest to each of the following milestones domestically by the end of the game:

     

    A: 100M Rocketman

    B: 200M Aladdin

    😄 300M Pets

    😧 400M The Lion King 

    E: 500M Toy Story 4

     

    RFQ2: Predict which film will finish closest to each of the following milestones Worldwide by the end of the game:

     

    A: $1.5B Lion King

    B: $1B Pikachu

    😄 800M Pets

    😧 600M MIB

    E: 400M Rocketman

     

    RFQ3: Predict the top grossing film of each month:

     

    A: April Endgame

    B: May Pikachu

    😄 June Toy Story 3

    😧 July Lion King

    E: August Hobbs and Shaw

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