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Saurabh

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Posts posted by Saurabh

  1. 43 minutes ago, ZeeSoh said:

    Very surprised and happy with Happy Medium’s opening. It was a good movie with one of the best Indian actors of our times. I hope it has good legs and its sitting at a 9.1 rating. 

     

    It looks like another movie that will gross more in China than it did in India

    It wld do for sure.I think it wld do more than 3 times in China than what it did in India.

  2. 7 minutes ago, The Dark Rock said:

    Bollywood movies have started to catch attention in China thanks to Dangal/Aamir. Hindi medium opening is too good considering it doesn't have big stars/names.

    Yes very surprised to see such nos. for HM.I think Aamir and Dangal has created huge visibility for Indian movies in China.Can't imagine the opening nos. for Aamir's next 'Thugs of Hindostan'.I m hearing it may release this year only in China probably a parallel release.Is 50-60M$ OW possible for Thugs?

  3. 3 hours ago, peludo said:

    Wow. That means that most of sources have been wrong for a long time:

     

    https://www.google.es/amp/s/www.forbes.com/sites/niallmccarthy/2014/09/03/bollywood-indias-film-industry-by-the-numbers-infographic/amp/

     

    https://www.google.es/amp/wap.business-standard.com/article-amp/companies/india-s-box-office-growth-runs-into-a-screen-problem-116011801209_1.html

     

    http://greenash.net.au/thoughts/2011/07/world-domination-by-box-office-cinema-admissions/

     

    Why do you think there is a so big gap between sources? The general feeling outside India is that they usually go to see movies and if the 0.98 billion data is true, it means less than 1 ticket per person and year. And why they would produce over 1,500 films per year with a so low ratio of moviegoers? Something does not fit... 980 million admissions does not seem an impressive data taking into account the size of the country, production and the Bollywood fame.

     

    Just questioning, of course. I am not saying that the 0.98b data is wrong. It is just that it seems a bit strange.

    Hardly 150 of those 1500 get a decent to good release even in these hardly 20 or so wld be those which taste success.So all this 1500 or whatever fig. is bullshit.Indian Cinema is not only Bollywood(Hindi Cinema) as there are several regional industries as well mainly Telugu and Tamil which both combined wld be bigger than Bollywood itself.North-South barrier is the biggest hurdle for achieving the max. BO potential within India. Baahubali 2 broke that divide and had 102 million admissions.Also movies are hardly watched by 10-15% of total population in India in  theatres.Movie watching is not a priority in India as is shown to the outside world.Piracy is very rampant which is also a factor.All this Bollywood fame is bullshit as in South they prefer their regional movies(Telugu.Tamil,Kannada and Malayalam) over BW anyday.Plus I read ticket admissions have reduced considerably in last decade or so may be upto 50% due to advent of multiplexes with much higher ticket price which also keep General public a bit more away from theatres. So it is very much possible that this 2 Billion admissions fig. is a decade old fig.as each year there is a considerable drop.2017 might be an exception to this due to Baahubali 2.I hope i have put across good enough points.

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  4. 13 hours ago, ZeeSoh said:

    I dont think it will do well. No matter how good a movie it may be but it doesnt have Aamir Khan in it. Plus it is coming only 2 weeks after the super blockbusters which will still be going strong so yeah i wouldnt expect too mich from it 

    Can you give a range of how much it can do in China.I don't think there is any visibility for non-Aamir Indian movies in China.

    2-5M$

    6-10M$

    11-20M$

  5. 29 minutes ago, POTUS said:

     

    China now has 50k screen, US at 40k.

    CNY sells out shows from 6am to midnight.  Its like an SW OD for all movies. Domestic doesnt have a day in the year like this. Our holidays boost BO but xmas nys and 4th of july are not like this. 

    Over all ticket prices are 40% cheaper than donestic and box office was 35% in revenue last year  so the number of tickets sold has surpassed domestic but india leads the world with 2b annual tickets sold.

    Donestic $11b BO 1.1b tix $10 average

    China $7.7b BO  1.4b tix  $5.20 average

    India $2b BO  2.2b tix  $1.10 average

     

    India has more screens, number unknown due to 1000s of garage sized cinimas setup in villages through out the country.

     

    I am from India.Don't go by wiki.Screens in India wld be close to 10k. 2.2b admissions is more than impossible.Even the biggest Blockbusters nowadays have less than 40 million admissions in India. Baahubali2(105 million) was an exception as it cut the North-South barrier.Even Dangal had around 39.5million admissions and apart from Dangal and Sultan(32.5million) no other movie in 2016 even hit 15 million admissions.I think 1.1-1.2 billion annual admissions likely for India.

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  6. 2 hours ago, POTUS said:

    Ferdinand going to bump today. looks like it could be a half-sized Coco.

    Maze 3 is the only large opener next week. Fer will keep a lot of shows.  If it holds better than average tomorrow(60-70%) and flat or up on Tuesday it'll try for 640m/$100m 

    Don't think it wld go that high as YF and SS are having a great wom too in addition to the Maze runner opening next week.

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