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altglascontainer

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Posts posted by altglascontainer

  1. On 12/15/2022 at 3:03 PM, LPLC said:

    What happened ?

     

    Presales took a nosedive from a very good spot and comps gained momentum. :whosad:

     

    Monday-Trend:

    Avatar 2 1.332,5T (5Day)

    Räuber Hotzenplotz 75T

    Black Panther Wakanda Forever 32,5T

    Strange World 30T

    Einfach mal was Schönes 27,5T

     

    On 12/15/2022 at 10:27 AM, Aristis said:

    So Avatar 2 had the 2nd best OD of the pandemic. 

     

    #1 NTTD 230k

    #2 Avatar 2 172k

    #3 DS2 161k

    #4 T:L&T 153k

    #5 TG:M 141k

     

    Where do you have the numbers of Thor and TG:M from. I have 110k for Thor and 83k for TG:M from insidekino. These are huge discrepancies. Just asking because of my comps.

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  2. Avatar 2 (Dec 14th) Ba-Wü Preview Seat Report T-0

     

       Sellouts Shows Seats Sold Total Seats % Sold
    Total 2 276 12,460 54,950 22.68%

     

    Total Seats Sold Last Day: 1,717

     

    Comp

    0.957x DS 2 T-0 (1.63M€/154.000 Adm. OD)

    1.785x Thor LT T-0 (2.06M€/197.00 Adm. OD)

    JW3 - missed

    2.761x The Batman T-0 (1.40M€/135.750 Adm. OD)

    2.158x TGM T-0 (1.83M€/179.250 Adm. OD)

    2.289x BP WF T-0 (1.95M€/170.000 Adm. OD)

     

    Allrighty final day. Ok day, slightly behind DS2 but i think thats not a big problem. SH movies are more frontloaded per se, and expecting better legs for Avatar 2. Critics are good for this movie so WOM will be the deciding factor if it can go beyond 8 million.

    As for the OD, still sticking with my prediction but will narrow it down to 185-215k.

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  3. Avatar 2 (Dec 14th) Ba-Wü Preview Seat Report T-1

     

       Sellouts Shows Seats Sold Total Seats % Sold
    Total 1 275 10,743 54,350 19.77%

     

    Total Seats Sold Last Days: 968

     

    Comp

    0.980x DS 2 T-1 (1.67M€/157.750 Adm. OD)

    1.825x Thor LT T-1 (2.10M€/201.250 Adm. OD)

    2.201x JW3 T-1 (2.53M€/221.500 Adm. OD)

    2.937x The Batman T-1 (1.49M€/144.250 Adm. OD)

    2.181x TGM T-1 (1.85M€/181.250 Adm. OD)

    2.372x BP WF T-1 (2.01M€/176.000 Adm. OD)

     

    Okay from bad to worse. It seems like Avatar 2 has lost steam presale wise. I mean the presales are not bad, but i expected a little bit more. For Comparison presales between T-2 to T-1.

    DS 2 1.426

    JWD 1.028

    Thor 917

    I expected something more like DS2. With this slight downward trend im giving a more pessimistic Prediction of 170k - 220k.

    This would still be the best OD of the year, if it does the bare minimum of 170k.

    For reasons to this downward trend im guessing flu season. i have many many showings which dropped like 2-5 seats. But this is just a shot in the dark. Presales are nonetheless pretty good, as of right now second best to DS2. Lets wait for the grande finale tomorrow.

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  4. On 12/8/2022 at 5:55 PM, altglascontainer said:

    Avatar 2 (Dec 14th) Ba-Wü Preview Seat Report T-6

     

       Sellouts Shows Seats Sold Total Seats % Sold
    Total 2 272 7,358 53,897 13.65%

     

    Total Seats Sold Last Day: 1,081

     

    Comp

    1.049x DS 2 T-6 (1.79M€/168.850 Adm. OD)

    2.297x Thor LT T-6 (2.65M€/253.250 Adm. OD)

    3.844x JW3 T-6 (4.41M€/386.750 Adm. OD)

    3.854x The Batman T-6 (1.96M€/189.250 Adm. OD)

    2.625x TGM T-6 (2.23M€/218.000 Adm. OD)

    3.038x BP WF T-6 (2.59M€/225.619 Adm. OD)

     

    Ok, this is getting out of hand. Avatar 2 overtook DS2 at the same point of presales.

    Cautiously optimistic prediction OD: 300 - 330k.

     

    Avatar 2 (Dec 14th) Ba-Wü Preview Seat Report T-2

     

       Sellouts Shows Seats Sold Total Seats % Sold
    Total 2 275 9,775 54,350 17.99%

     

    Total Seats Sold Last 4 Days: 2,417

     

    Comp

    1.025x DS 2 T-2 (1.75M€/165.000 Adm. OD)

    1.968x Thor LT T-2 (2.27M€/217.000 Adm. OD)

    2.537x JW3 T-2 (2.91M€/255.250 Adm. OD)

    The Batman - missed

    TGM - missed

    2.516x BP WF T-2 (2.14M€/186.750 Adm. OD)

     

    Hmm, all comps dropped relatively high. will wait for tommorow when all comps have data, but as things stand right now my prediction was a little too optimistic and will have to be corrected down. :sadfleck:

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  5. 8 minutes ago, IndustriousAngel said:

    Early estimates for Germany's weekend from insidekino.de:

    #1: Hotzenplotz - 150k incl. previews

    #2: BP2 - 75k

    #3: Einfach mal - 50k

     

    at least an ok start for the domestic children's book adaption which should do well across the holidays (and got some pretty favourable reviews). Otherwise, still horrible. (some very "good" holds but from a deflated level ...)

     

    Damn BP2 fell off a cliff. Beating BP1 is a fever dream now :whosad:

  6. Avatar 2 (Dec 14th) Ba-Wü Preview Seat Report T-6

     

       Sellouts Shows Seats Sold Total Seats % Sold
    Total 2 272 7,358 53,897 13.65%

     

    Total Seats Sold Last Day: 1,081

     

    Comp

    1.049x DS 2 T-6 (1.79M€/168.850 Adm. OD)

    2.297x Thor LT T-6 (2.65M€/253.250 Adm. OD)

    3.844x JW3 T-6 (4.41M€/386.750 Adm. OD)

    3.854x The Batman T-6 (1.96M€/189.250 Adm. OD)

    2.625x TGM T-6 (2.23M€/218.000 Adm. OD)

    3.038x BP WF T-6 (2.59M€/225.619 Adm. OD)

     

    Ok, this is getting out of hand. Avatar 2 overtook DS2 at the same point of presales.

    Cautiously optimistic prediction OD: 300 - 330k.

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  7. Avatar 2 (Dec 14th) Ba-Wü Preview Seat Report T-7

     

       Sellouts Shows Seats Sold Total Seats % Sold
    Total 2 272 6,277 53,897 11.65%

     

    Total Seats Sold Last 2 Days: 1,249

     

    Comp

    0.983x DS 2 T-7 (1.68M€/158.250 Adm. OD)

    2.373x Thor LT T-7 (2.73M€/261.750 Adm. OD)

    3.666x JW3 T-7 (4.21M€/369.000 Adm. OD)

    The Batman - missed

    TGM - missed

    BPWF - missed

     

    Another great progress for Avatar 2. Nearly Level with DS 2 presales, but the trajectory looks like it will overtake it pretty soon.

    I cant really predict a number, because data is still too much scattered. Tomorrow i will have all comps with data, so maybe we will get a clearer picture.

     

    As of Today Avatar 2 has eclipsed every final Presale Number except for Thor and DS2. Thor will be eclipsed tomorrow and DS2 should be eclipesd at t-1 or t-0.

    • Like 4
  8. Avatar 2 (Dec 14th) Ba-Wü Preview Seat Report T-9

     

       Sellouts Shows Seats Sold Total Seats % Sold
    Total 0 238 5,028 47,678 10.55%

     

    Total Seats Sold Last 12 Days: 3,577

     

    Comp

    3.409x The Batman T-9 (1.75M€/167.500 Adm. OD)

    0.928x DS 2 T-9 (1.58M€/149.500 Adm. OD)

    2.763x Thor LT T-9 (3.18M€/304.750 Adm. OD)

    JWLK - missed

    TGM - missed

    BPWF - missed

     

    Insanse uptick for Avatar 2 in presales. Nearly level with DS 2 presales at the same point. Just for comparison the Final numbers (t-0) of BP2, Top Gun and The Batman.

    Black Panther 2: 5,444

    Top Gun Maverick: 5,775

    The Batman: 4,513

     

    So 9 days out Avatar has nearly eclipsed the final presale numbers of BP2 or TGM or has already eclipsed it (batman). This movie is in its own stratosphere together with DS 2. I'm really excited if 300k OD can happen.

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  9. 24 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

    When did you start tracking JWD and TGM. 300K OD wouldn't be surprising.

     

    I have first numbers for TGM at T-20, so tomorrow, and JWD at T-15 unfortunately. black panther will start with comps at t-19.

     

    300k OD? you're making me excited. just Imagine a 300k OD combined with the legs of Avatar 1. Monster 😲

  10. Avatar 2 (Dec 14th) Ba-Wü Preview Seat Report T-21

     

       Sellouts Shows Seats Sold Total Seats % Sold
    Total 0 222 1,451 43,901 3.31%

     

    Total Seats Sold: 1,451

     

    Comp

    0.440x DS 2 T-21 (0.75M€/71.000 Adm. OD)

    2.879x Thor LT T-21 (3.32M€/317.500 Adm. OD)

     

    Yeah, nothing really to predict. Too much scattering, will have to wait for more comps.

     

    But interesting to see that avatar 2 already has more shows and total seats 3 weeks out than bp2 had at t-0.

    And Wednesday Previews start at 0:01 on Wednesday. :D This is getting out of hand. Why stop there, just do a james bond and preview the movie for a whole week.

    • Like 4
  11. Black Panther 2 (Nov 9th) Ba-Wü Preview Seat Report T-0

     

       Sellouts Shows Seats Sold Total Seats % Sold
    Total 0 197 5,444 43,847 12.42%

     

    Total Seats Sold Since Yesterday: 914

     

    Comp

    1.206x The Batman T-0 (0.61M€/59.250 Adm. OD)

    0.418x DS 2 T-0 (0.71M€/67.250 Adm. OD)

    0.943x TG Maverick T-0 (0.79M€/77.500 Adm. OD)

    JW Dominion T-0 - missed

    0.780x Thor LT T-0 (0.90M€/86.000 Adm. OD)

     

    Sorry, but i'm missing one cinema because of problems with the online ticket service. The problems occur the whole morning. Nonetheless the numbers arent taking the world apart, besides that one cinema. They're not bad per se, but i expected something around 1,000 tickets sold since yesterday. Because of that I'm slightly decreasing my prediction to 75-85k OD.

     

    Maybe i can update the last cinema in time.  updated

    • Like 4
  12. Black Panther 2 (Nov 9th) Ba-Wü Preview Seat Report T-1

     

       Sellouts Shows Seats Sold Total Seats % Sold
    Total 0 197 4,530 43,847 10.33%

     

    Total Seats Sold Since Yesterday: 645

     

    Comp

    1.238x The Batman T-1 (0.63M€/60.750 Adm. OD)

    0.413x DS 2 T-1 (0.70M€/66.500 Adm. OD)

    0.920x TG Maverick T-1 (0.78M€/76.500 Adm. OD)

    0.928x JW Dominion T-1 (1.06M€/93.500 Adm. OD)

    0.770x Thor LT T-1 (0.89M€/85.000 Adm. OD)

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  13. Black Panther 2 (Nov 9th) Ba-Wü Preview Seat Report T-2

     

       Sellouts Shows Seats Sold Total Seats % Sold
    Total 0 197 3,885 43,847 8.86%

     

    Total Seats Sold Last 4 Days: 1,463

     

    Comp

    0.407x DS 2 T-2 (0.69M€/65.500 Adm. OD)

    1.008x JW Dominion T-2 (1.16M€/101.500 Adm. OD)

    0.782x Thor LT T-2 (0.90M€/86.250 Adm. OD)

     

    Still sticking to my 80/90k OD prediction, as it lost ground to JW2 and doesnt follow its trajectory. Otherwise it gained ground on DS2 and TLT, so im assuming a sales trajectory similar to the marvel movies.

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  14. Black Panther 2 (Nov 9th) Ba-Wü Preview Seat Report T-6

     

       Sellouts Shows Seats Sold Total Seats % Sold
    Total 0 190 2,422 42,478 5.70%

     

    Total Seats Sold Last 10 Days: 1,383

     

    Comp

    1.269x The Batman T-6 (0.64M€/62.500 Adm. OD)

    0.345x DS 2 T-6 (0.59M€/55.500 Adm. OD)

    0.864x TG Maverick T-6 (0.73M€/71.750 Adm. OD)

    1.265x JW Dominion T-6 (1.45M€/127.250 Adm. OD)

    0.756x Thor LT T-6 (0.87M€/83.250 Adm. OD)

     

    Right now BP2 is pacing behind DS2 and Thor. Prediction as of now would be something in the ballpark 80 - 90k Admissions OD. Let's how the last week of presales pans out.

     

    Cant wait to track Avatar 2. Hopefully it will blow the reigning Pre-Sale King Doctor Strange 2 out of the Water. :D

     

     

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